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AUD/USD

  • #58,061
  • May 8, 2013 7:56am May 8, 2013 7:56am
AUD has a very strong basis. The base interest rate is one of the highest rates among the currencies. In fundamental terms it has the potential for positive carrier trades with a very steady and stable monetary policy. Also it has a very transparent environment in economics with the minimum fraud reports.
But there is still one question and that is:
Why AUD doesn't act instantaneous with US index in the pair of AUD/USD?
It has a very boring delay in response to US index but finally is consistent with it.
Anybody have Idea about this event?
  • #58,062
  • May 8, 2013 8:14am May 8, 2013 8:14am
Quoting seaman2
increased chance of quick sharp seloff. that may help http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...506-2j3nr.html
friendly reminder that sellof is not over and larger part of it still to be experienced.
  • #58,063
  • May 8, 2013 3:30pm May 8, 2013 3:30pm
Quoting akbari_51
AUD has a very strong basis. The base interest rate is one of the highest rates among the currencies. In fundamental terms it has the potential for positive carrier trades with a very steady and stable monetary policy. Also it has a very transparent environment in economics with the minimum fraud reports. But there is still one question and that is: Why AUD doesn't act instantaneous with US index in the pair of AUD/USD? It has a very boring delay in response to US index but finally is consistent with it. Anybody have Idea about this event?
A couple of weeks ago, they start exchanging Australian dollars directly with China. Thus by passing the middle man. (The U.S.A.)
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #58,064
  • May 8, 2013 4:30pm May 8, 2013 4:30pm
aud did not go down as expected.

back to sidelines.
  • #58,065
  • May 8, 2013 5:15pm May 8, 2013 5:15pm
Quoting seaman2
aud did not go down as expected. back to sidelines.
Dono its been ranging for almost a year now within the 500 pip range, slow, steady and predictable in just about any time frame, a true buy low sell high, boring but steady income
  • #58,066
  • May 8, 2013 6:02pm May 8, 2013 6:02pm
AUDUSD with UP momentum... what is a good target?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdbuy1.png Size: 40 KB
  • #58,067
  • May 8, 2013 6:19pm May 8, 2013 6:19pm
Quoting Peepo
AUDUSD with UP momentum... what is a good target? {image}
1.054? maybe 55 dono or just take the profit now, im long long but then again im nutters so dont listen to me.
  • #58,068
  • May 8, 2013 6:34pm May 8, 2013 6:34pm
Quoting Kissa
{quote} 1.054? maybe 55 dono or just take the profit now, im long long but then again im nutters so dont listen to me.
I just closed with 10 pips, I had not realized that the dayly trend is very bearish.
  • #58,069
  • May 8, 2013 7:05pm May 8, 2013 7:05pm
Quoting iqyu5an
Bullish 3 Drives for AU
Right!
Ready to fly....
  • #58,070
  • May 8, 2013 7:30pm May 8, 2013 7:30pm
Quoting hansetb
Hi. I'm newbie in forex. Just want to see your opinions here. If AUD/USD close above 1.0180, will it repeat 8-10-2012 and 6-9-2012? Can someone give explanation about news, etc in that days? Thank you
Be wary of relying too much on what has happened in the past to predict the future. One close will not determine price direction. Price movement is a complex combination of technical & fundamental factors. Focus more on risk management, developing a trading plan and trading small whilst you learn. No one can tell you with certainty which way price will go. Today's movement will largely depend on employment numbers. Longer term can be influenced by what is happening locally, in China, the US and Europe.

If you must know about news events from last year have a look under the forex factory "market" tab on a daily or 4 hr chart and find the dates you are after and the red links at bottom of chart have major news items related to the times. The September bull movement was probably linked to QE3 speculation as the actual release was 14th Sept.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #58,071
  • May 8, 2013 7:52pm May 8, 2013 7:52pm
The September bull movement was probably linked to QE3 speculation as the actual release was 14th Sept.


Thank you for the explanation. I have checked the news and didn't find very surprising news in that days, but you give the explanation.

I just wondering how it can go very bullish without 'obvious' signal (at least I can't look the signal)
  • #58,072
  • May 8, 2013 8:14pm May 8, 2013 8:14pm
Quoting hansetb
The September bull movement was probably linked to QE3 speculation as the actual release was 14th Sept. Thank you for the explanation. I have checked the news and didn't find very surprising news in that days, but you give the explanation. I just wondering how it can go very bullish without 'obvious' signal (at least I can't look the signal)
The nature of forex is that some things are obvious at the time but will be difficult to find at a later point in time, particularly if you don't know what to look for. Other times explanations will be given but people will disagree over the validity of an explanation. This can be because of the range of factors impacting price movement. I've also heard it said that it can also just be price reaching a point where bears are satisfied and bulls take control, not because of particular news but as a function of price level and who has the dominant view. JPLAZARD explains this a lot better than me but from a quick look I couldn't find the explanation.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #58,073
  • May 8, 2013 8:27pm May 8, 2013 8:27pm
Quoting dab
{quote} The nature of forex is that some things are obvious at the time but will be difficult to find at a later point in time, particularly if you don't know what to look for. Other times explanations will be given but people will disagree over the validity of an explanation. This can be because of the range of factors impacting price movement. I've also heard it said that it can also just be price reaching a point where bears are satisfied and bulls take control, not because of particular news but as a function of price level and who has the dominant...
very agree... thats words i can't to say... thanks Dab
  • #58,074
  • May 8, 2013 8:28pm May 8, 2013 8:28pm
News in 2 minutes
Quoting iqyu5an
Bullish 3 Drives for AU
*** in blue color
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ausie shark.png Size: 46 KB
not euphoria follower
  • #58,075
  • May 8, 2013 8:32pm May 8, 2013 8:32pm
Wow...got 41 pips...Holding long since yesterday. Good luck everyone.
  • #58,076
  • May 8, 2013 8:34pm May 8, 2013 8:34pm
I've never seen a rate cut improve things so quickly! (HEAVY SARCASM)
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #58,077
  • May 8, 2013 8:35pm May 8, 2013 8:35pm
Surprises from nzd and aud,

200 pips up from low, give it less than 1 week from now.
  • #58,078
  • May 8, 2013 8:37pm May 8, 2013 8:37pm
god dammit, the sudden drop before rise triggered a sell for me ><;
Lose in spoonfulls, win in buckets
  • #58,079
  • May 8, 2013 8:40pm May 8, 2013 8:40pm
make it simple ..

Quoting iqyu5an
lower interest rate ..actually is good for economy recovery... as a whole........... lower cost etc and etc {quote}

Quoting dab
I've never seen a rate cut improve things so quickly! (HEAVY SARCASM)
not euphoria follower
  • #58,080
  • May 8, 2013 8:41pm May 8, 2013 8:41pm
Quoting 5percent
Surprises from nzd and aud, 200 pips up from low, give it less than 1 week from now.
I'm confused, given we are less than 100 pips from the recent low (1.0155) and well less than 200 from the 1.0115 previous low, are you saying that in less than a week we will be 200 pips from one of these?
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
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