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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #5,821
  • Apr 11, 2013 12:08am Apr 11, 2013 12:08am
I had got this wedge on XAUUSD:

http://s3.picofile.com/file/7721697632/XAUUSDH1_2.png
  • #5,822
  • Apr 15, 2013 5:09am Apr 15, 2013 5:09am
Quoting siavash
I had got this wedge on XAUUSD: {image}
Hey, good to see you around as well.
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  • #5,823
  • Apr 15, 2013 5:13am Apr 15, 2013 5:13am
Quoting shahab8b
EURAUD: I usually don't trade crosses (except EURGBP), but this 4hr chart is really interesting. {image}
long on EA as suggested earlier.
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  • #5,824
  • Apr 15, 2013 5:18am Apr 15, 2013 5:18am
long on UCAD
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  • #5,825
  • Apr 15, 2013 5:22am Apr 15, 2013 5:22am
S&P500 future; I think whether a top is in place or it's around the corner
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  • #5,826
  • Apr 16, 2013 7:32am Apr 16, 2013 7:32am
AU: possible short setups
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,827
  • Apr 16, 2013 7:50am Apr 16, 2013 7:50am
UJ: COT divergence; I like the idea of going short UJ
Attached Image
  • #5,828
  • Apr 16, 2013 7:57am Apr 16, 2013 7:57am
Crude:
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  • #5,829
  • Apr 16, 2013 8:51am Apr 16, 2013 8:51am
Quoting shahab8b
UJ: COT divergence; I like the idea of going short UJ {image}
UJ
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  • #5,830
  • Apr 16, 2013 6:01pm Apr 16, 2013 6:01pm
Hi Shahab, I agree with you Aussie view/potential set up. Also look at the corelation below between the Aussie and the Permanent Portfolio (Bonds/Cash/Equities and Gold all 25%, re-weighted quarterly). Bizarre corelation but it's compeling in my opinion. Aussie and Kiwi dollars down!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,831
  • Apr 17, 2013 1:46pm Apr 17, 2013 1:46pm
Quoting Hyperion
Hi Shahab, I agree with you Aussie view/potential set up. Also look at the corelation below between the Aussie and the Permanent Portfolio (Bonds/Cash/Equities and Gold all 25%, re-weighted quarterly). Bizarre corelation but it's compeling in my opinion. Aussie and Kiwi dollars down! {image}
Hi, thanks for the chart, very interesting correlation indeed.
  • #5,832
  • Apr 17, 2013 1:48pm Apr 17, 2013 1:48pm
Quoting shahab8b
AU: possible short setups {image}
AU: update on our short trades
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  • #5,833
  • Apr 17, 2013 5:06pm Apr 17, 2013 5:06pm
GU: possible short setup on the chart
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  • #5,834
  • Apr 17, 2013 8:51pm Apr 17, 2013 8:51pm
Hi Shahab8b,

first time to post here

I found these two interesting. would u agree with me on this two heads (double bottom?)

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and may lead to an advance of usdchf (as also expecting ear usd to drop at the same time)

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the only thing concerned me is the last weeks COT reduction of the short position of both CHF and EUR, further squeeze of the short position could still be supportive to the pairs and crosses as mentioned above( instead of going the way as we expected)

Share me your precious mind on these

With kind regards

Fred
  • #5,835
  • Apr 18, 2013 12:49am Apr 18, 2013 12:49am
Quoting shahab8b
AU: update on our short trades {image} {image}
Brilliant analysis, thanks for sharing again Shahab8b!
Know Your Trading Edge and Trade It
  • #5,836
  • Apr 18, 2013 7:52am Apr 18, 2013 7:52am
Hi Shahab,

What do you thing about this raising wedge for UJ?
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  • #5,837
  • Apr 18, 2013 8:13am Apr 18, 2013 8:13am
Quoting TradeYourEdg
Brilliant analysis, thanks for sharing again Shahab8b!
Thank you!
  • #5,838
  • Apr 18, 2013 8:15am Apr 18, 2013 8:15am
Quoting frederic119
Hi Shahab8b, first time to post here I found these two interesting. would u agree with me on this two heads (double bottom?) {image} {image} and may lead to an advance of usdchf (as also expecting ear usd to drop at the same time) {image} the only thing concerned me is the last weeks COT reduction of the short position of both CHF and EUR, further squeeze of the short position could still be supportive to the pairs and crosses as mentioned above( instead of going the way as we expected) Share me your precious mind on these With kind regards Fred...
Hey, I'll pass EURCHF for the time being. I don't like all the policies involved with this pair. As for EURUSD and USDCHF, I'm waiting for PA to unfold.
  • #5,839
  • Apr 18, 2013 8:16am Apr 18, 2013 8:16am
Quoting hlakhani
Hi Shahab, What do you thing about this raising wedge for UJ? {image}
sounds good to me, go for it! I'm already short UJ but for different reasons that I explained earlier.
  • #5,840
  • Apr 22, 2013 7:48pm Apr 22, 2013 7:48pm
AUDUSD - Just something I'm looking at. Would be interested if it breaks out north
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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