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Technical Analysis Fallacy

  • #39,821
  • Edited 7:05pm Apr 19, 2013 6:36pm | Edited 7:05pm
The last song sang in public in 1994 at a certain a i r for ce bas e.
but this not that clip. Died mysteriously in 199505.
If i ever release that clip and wh at w as said,

i think i may not be around very long also.

regards
  • #39,822
  • Edited 7:18pm Apr 19, 2013 6:42pm | Edited 7:18pm
This the la st song. Sorry i can not show you.
thats why, not be too free spirited.
everything is own ed. egor can be dangerous. never too big to fall.


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  • #39,823
  • Apr 19, 2013 7:05pm Apr 19, 2013 7:05pm
funny that they didn't kill this clip.
This was the last seen in public. This the b ase.

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i see why. its all jumbled together lots irrelevent clips
  • #39,824
  • Apr 19, 2013 9:25pm Apr 19, 2013 9:25pm
Quoting frz
just revealed the powerful healing of rescue. since all this time i have misinterpreted it, hence misused. thanks God. thanks Fti. :-)

Hi Frz

Would you like to expand on this?

Regards

Li
  • #39,825
  • Apr 19, 2013 11:24pm Apr 19, 2013 11:24pm
Quoting liqidone
Hi Frz Would you like to expand on this? Regards Li
hi Li

since i'm still learning maybe my answer is not sufficient enough to expand.
but i try to expand it as clear as i understand.

if i'm going into rescuing a position, there are 3 things that i must consider:

1. Size.
how big size of rescue that must be deployed to cover the bleeding positions.
i.e the bleeding positions = amount of units in amount of negative pips,
to cover it, then i have to deploy rescue = amount units to gather amount of pips.

2. Trend.
watch the major trend, tempo and range (volatility).
don't deploy the rescue against the trend or against the impulse.
if strong movement still occurs,
the choice is only flipping into trend moves and kill the bleeding positions.
if the rescue is deployed against the pulse, then we only add averaging into losses.

3. Timing.
watch the windows open. look for the opportunity. be nimble.
the purpose of rescue is protecting capital against loss.
rescue must be deployed as brief as possible.
make decision based on current condition in benefit to you,
if the book had show whether the losses shrink into smallest amount it could be,
or book had neutral position already (neither loss nor profit),
or book had have small profit,
then kill both positions (the rescue and the bleeding position).
don't proctated the battle.

mission accomplished.
no position bleeding is open and capital was protected from loss.
we can start over again, placing another scout in the current move.

hope this helps


Regards
steady as she goes
  • #39,826
  • Apr 20, 2013 1:19am Apr 20, 2013 1:19am
Quoting frz
hi Li since i'm still learning maybe my answer is not sufficient enough to expand. but i try to expand it as clear as i understand. if i'm going into rescuing a position, there are 3 things that i must consider: 1. Size. how big size of rescue that must be deployed to cover the bleeding positions. i.e the bleeding positions = amount of units in amount of negative pips, to cover it, then i have to deploy rescue = amount units to gather amount of pips. 2. Trend. watch the major trend, tempo and range (volatility). don't deploy the rescue against the...
I see it, Thankyou, hope I can add value at some stage.

Regards

Li
  • #39,827
  • Edited 5:45am Apr 20, 2013 4:39am | Edited 5:45am
Quoting frz
hi Li since i'm still learning maybe my answer is not sufficient enough to expand. but i try to expand it as clear as i understand. if i'm going into rescuing a position, there are 3 things that i must consider: 1. Size. how big size of rescue that must be deployed to cover the bleeding positions. i.e the bleeding positions = amount of units in amount of negative pips, to cover it, then i have to deploy rescue = amount units to gather amount of pips. 2. Trend. watch the major trend, tempo and range (volatility). don't deploy the rescue against the...
you missed most important component.
Your state of your book.
rescue, every one can.
question is whether they can afford it.

Eating every one can also.
Those who dare not eat are normally those who cannot shit anymore.
The worst is when after nice chewing , one cannot swallow it.

There ways time the rescue , so as to minimise the cost and maximise the productivity.
There also way just use the ego.
if have lots money normally just will use the egor. Thats surest way get into a big hole.

Believe me egor knows how to hide.
sometimes sees him as just bias.
He most powerful when he masquerading as salvation.
Becomes the beast to take on the beast, save everyone by becoming that which was opressing in the 1st. But of course he is different, only the opression is the same. Or he can masquarade, "die die la, what to do, cockkedoodledoo, any cock will do" mode. Some thinks this death match.
But after enter the battleground, always will find excuse to leave for home.

regards

rescue, is just a skill set.
its just your chance reset, upsize and not make same mistake again.
if upsized , and all remain status quo, then is just can be an illusion the mind does to ease its constapation while the reality remains the same.

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  • #39,828
  • Apr 20, 2013 6:02am Apr 20, 2013 6:02am
umm.. these are subjects that i'm still calculating..
since i've just revealed it last night. hehe.

if i'm not mistaken.. it's related to importance leaving great back up in advance skews.

this my new base unit: 1 = 0.1% per single trade
(honestly, i still not determine it yet, maybe between 0.1%-0.5% per single trade)
the skews is 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13

since i do not averaging the loss, then small possibility all skews are trapped into negative position.

the worst case, if the all skews is being damaged,
1+1+2+3+5+8+13 = 3.3% (0.1 % as base unit)
then, capital damaged = position loss (6.6% against 200 pips) + margin (3.3%) = 9.9% in total is being used.
i can used the 90% left margin to rescue.

also that's why i'm now considering overnight position is prefer to be avoided if not necessary.
and do not averaging the loss as well.

the more suggestion is all i need.

Regards
steady as she goes
  • #39,829
  • Apr 20, 2013 6:05am Apr 20, 2013 6:05am
Quoting frz
umm.. these are subjects that i'm still calculating.. since i've just revealed it last night. hehe. if i'm not mistaken.. it's related to importance leaving great back up in advance skews. this my new base unit: 1 = 0.1% per single trade (honestly, i still not determine it yet, maybe between 0.1%-0.5% per single trade) the skews is 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 since i do not averaging the loss, then small possibility all skews are trapped into negative position. the worst case, if the all skews is being damaged, 1+1+2+3+5+8+13 = 3.3% (0.1 % as base...
ywa you talking chance, thats correct at the most minimum.
ability to dance is basics.
Do you dance?
If i tango, would you be jiveing?
The skills is not in the maths,that is a prerequisite.
The skill is in the adjustability.

regards

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  • #39,830
  • Apr 20, 2013 6:13am Apr 20, 2013 6:13am
unfortunately, i'm still learning to dance..

in the range i can dance properly with basic line chart.
i can see where the deception lays, when swopping the sitting duck.

but, when it's forming into a trend.. i still cannot gauge it or feel it.
almost all the time i become a duck in the trend.


Regards
steady as she goes
  • #39,831
  • Edited 6:38am Apr 20, 2013 6:21am | Edited 6:38am
Quoting frz
unfortunately, i'm still learning to dance.. in the range i can dance properly with basic line chart. i can see where the deception lays, when swopping the sitting duck. but, when it's forming into a trend.. i still cannot gauge it or feel it. almost all the time i become a duck in the trend. Regards
That means you good at certain fequencies.
at other fequencies, learn to sit on your hands, until you learn dance that fequency.
To be able dance all fe=requencies , you need very nimble and pure mind.

The transition from one into another must be as seemless as possible.
learn from markets when rhythm is begining to change.
early birds catch the early worms.

You can only learn if you paying attention.
If you following a stick, how can you know? until the stick breaks.

regards

all these clips suppose tell you somethings. its been rehashed so many times.
unfortunately the internet is same, keeps moving on, nothing archieves, so is keeps disappearing.the lessons.

not only one needs have ability understand but also ability practise.
in my state now 1 spin and i reaching for my camp bed already.
  • #39,832
  • Edited 6:47am Apr 20, 2013 6:35am | Edited 6:47am
Quoting fti
That means you good at certain fequencies. at other fequencies, learn to sit on your hands, until you learn dance that fequency. To be able dance all fe=requencies , you need very nimble and pure mind. The transition from one into another must be as seemless as possible. learn from markets when rhythm is begining to change. early birds catch the early worms. You can only learn if you paying attention. If you following a stick, how can you know? until the stick breaks. regards all these clips suppose tell you somethings. its been rehashed so many...
ok, captain.
maybe i should wait when the flow hitting the walls.

i will watching boogie shoes clip, i know there's clue within it.


Regards
steady as she goes
  • #39,833
  • Edited 6:55am Apr 20, 2013 6:41am | Edited 6:55am
Quoting frz
ok, captain. maybe i should wait when the flow hitting the walls. i will watching boogie shoes clip, i know there's clue within it. Regards
i have been telling for how many years already?
just relax understand some stuff indepth then watch it being executed in markets.
is just that simple.
no rocket science.

but from a learned perspective, I sometimes cannot see why some points not understood.
thats because i not able go to unlearned mode see whats not clear.
thats my weakness.

Is supposed to be very natural stuff.
simple and natural, but maybe its not?
otherwise all would love eat sashimi?

regards

someone a few post ago mentioned pivots.
yes is very powerful stuff, pivots. Is the extreme equilibrium point.
easily see in in price charts visually.
Need calculate it?
  • #39,834
  • Apr 20, 2013 6:56am Apr 20, 2013 6:56am
Quoting fti
i have been telling for how many years already? just relax understand some stuff indepth then watch it being executed. is just tat simple. no rocket science. but from a learned perspective, I sometimes cannot see why some points not understood. thats because i not able go to unlearned mode see whats not clear. thats my weakness. regards
the correction in the middle of trend always bothering me.

once, when i use my moving average..
i can gauge the trend, how strong it is and knowing the types of terrain.
since i have remove it. i cannot feel the trend nor knowing the current terrain.

now if i put it in my chart, i can't dance properly and it's cannot sync my current MO.
maybe i need more time to fix it and figure out everything.

have a nice rest, sir

Regards


oh i see, i'm still studying that stuff. maybe it can helps.
steady as she goes
  • #39,835
  • Apr 20, 2013 6:58am Apr 20, 2013 6:58am
Quoting frz
the correction in the middle of trend always bothering me. once, when i use my moving average.. i can gauge the trend, how strong it is and knowing the types of terrain. since i have remove it. i cannot feel the trend nor knowing the current terrain. now if i put it in my chart, i can't dance properly and it's cannot sync my current MO. maybe i need more time to fix it and figure out everything. have a nice rest, sir Regards
Ya these days i can hardly walk without a walking stick too.

regards

come think about it , once upon a time, i could wheelie a scrambler feets off the ground just using my fingers and palm.
reminds me of 1 time i had a pillon rider. I took off and she was standing exact spot where she mounted.
  • #39,836
  • Apr 20, 2013 7:03am Apr 20, 2013 7:03am
Quoting fti
Ya these days i can hardly walk without a walking stick too. regards
ups.. hahaha, c'mon you're not that old.


Regards
steady as she goes
  • #39,837
  • Edited 9:00am Apr 20, 2013 7:10am | Edited 9:00am
Quoting frz
ups.. hahaha, c'mon you're not that old. Regards
oh you don't know.
its ok some things never clear. is ok.


regards

trying learn it?
yamaha not eaisy do la, easiest is a suzuki100/125
yamaha built the sexiest looking machines
and spoilers mud guards too low.
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  • #39,838
  • Edited 7:43am Apr 20, 2013 7:15am | Edited 7:43am
Quoting fti
oh you don't know. its ok some things never clear. is ok. regards
sorry, i was jesting.

i know what its mean.
i'm currently studying the dow theory and edwards magee book.
i think it has give me some light.

Regards

now i'm really confused, what's the clue between yamaha and suzuki?
but personally, i prefer honda.
steady as she goes
  • #39,839
  • Apr 20, 2013 7:52am Apr 20, 2013 7:52am
Quoting frz
sorry, i was jesting. i know what its mean. i'm currently studying the dow theory and edwards magee book. i think it has give me some light. Regards now i'm really confused, what's the clue between yamaha and suzuki? but personally, i prefer honda.
weight balance ratio, cg shift flexibility.
torque ratio y is superior, also too balanced.
To maneuver needs manage quick cg shifts.
managing in unbalance.

if cg shift is flexible even a tank can wheeleeeee.
: ) by design.
polite machines and performance machines

regards
  • #39,840
  • Edited 8:23am Apr 20, 2013 8:03am | Edited 8:23am
Quoting fti
weight balance ratio, cg shift flexibility. torque ratio y is superior, also too balanced. To maneuver needs manage quick cg shifts. managing in unbalance. if cg shift is flexible even a tank can wheeleeeee. : ) by design. polite machines and performance machines regards
yes, it's clear sir.

it's the basic foundation of my current MO in the range.
maybe i shoud see it in the bigger context.

i just don't suppose it can wheleee..
wow. i can see it now.
many thanks fti.


Regards
steady as she goes
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