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NZD/USD

  • #1,261
  • Apr 7, 2013 11:58pm Apr 7, 2013 11:58pm
Quoting namitak007
Well at 0.835 the trend was bearish. So I was expecting a profit at 0.82 but I misjudged and caught into red. Well any chances it will break 0.835 sooner or later?
I don't have that answer.Nobody can predict the future 100% however probability of Price retracing below 84 is greater then going 85 or higher to me.
I seriously advise you learn money management.I suspect your position is larger then normal 2%
Healthy technique I suggest.As soon as you are in profit 10pips or so move your stop break even and gradually move your stops to protect profits.This way if price goes against you are are not turning winner into a loser.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #1,262
  • Apr 8, 2013 6:16am Apr 8, 2013 6:16am
Quoting Davit
I don't have that answer.Nobody can predict the future 100% however probability of Price retracing below 84 is greater then going 85 or higher to me. I seriously advise you learn money management.I suspect your position is larger then normal 2% Healthy technique I suggest.As soon as you are in profit 10pips or so move your stop break even and gradually move your stops to protect profits.This way if price goes against you are are not turning winner into a loser.
well it crossed 84 and still looking bullish!
  • #1,263
  • Apr 8, 2013 11:55am Apr 8, 2013 11:55am
nzd usd

time h4

pattern : crab - butterfly

http://pcmbrokers.org/pcmfileupload/...5440087131.gif
  • #1,264
  • Apr 8, 2013 12:04pm Apr 8, 2013 12:04pm
  •  Noeliu
  • | Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Hit SL?? Clicked the wrong button | 51 Posts
Hi there!
Any predictions on NZD NZIER Business Confidence today?
will it dive and bounce or skyrocket?

For shorts, what could be a safe SL? 1.8515? what do you think? (I have a short at 1.8420)
If it goes up with strenght, could it go to 1.86?

Thanks for sharing your wisdom!
  • #1,265
  • Apr 9, 2013 7:49am Apr 9, 2013 7:49am
oh dear! why it's so bullish?
  • #1,266
  • Apr 9, 2013 12:12pm Apr 9, 2013 12:12pm
Pending Short @ .85200

No stop,

Target is .83500
Money never sleeps...
  • #1,267
  • Apr 9, 2013 12:14pm Apr 9, 2013 12:14pm
Quoting Noeliu
Hi there! Any predictions on NZD NZIER Business Confidence today? will it dive and bounce or skyrocket? For shorts, what could be a safe SL? 1.8515? what do you think? (I have a short at 1.8420) If it goes up with strenght, could it go to 1.86? Thanks for sharing your wisdom!

Where you getting the 1 from on 1.8515? it is a zero 0

Anyway, judging by the PA historically I would hold that short
Money never sleeps...
  • #1,268
  • Apr 9, 2013 1:31pm Apr 9, 2013 1:31pm
closed 2 of my shorts at 8490 -120pips
Just so people don't accuse me of only posting winners.UP for the month+60pips
I have still live 4 shorts which I will keep.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #1,269
  • Apr 9, 2013 1:33pm Apr 9, 2013 1:33pm
Quoting inpatient
Pending Short @ .85200 No stop, Target is .83500
Great number and same here
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #1,270
  • Edited 2:52pm Apr 9, 2013 2:03pm | Edited 2:52pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Well davit, im not longing up here... if you read i longed down at 0.8250 i wouldnt recommend longing now but overall longing on the NZDUSD is the safer bet due to the longer term trend. i am fully aware that anytime the RBNZ can come out to say they'll intervene and NZDUSD can dip 200 pips but im already well secure since im BE+120 SL on my long trades from 0.8250
that was when NZDUSD is down at around 0.8380 or so.... NZDUSD up to 0.8530.... simply showin folks around here why trading in the direction of the trend is far better than trading or scalping against the trend...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #1,271
  • Apr 9, 2013 2:15pm Apr 9, 2013 2:15pm
Quoting fxtyrant
that was when EURUSD is down at around 0.8380 or so.... NZDUSD up to 0.8530.... simply showin folks around here why trading in the direction of the trend is far better than trading or scalping against the trend...
I don't think I disagreed with you on trend following but I find it ironic you quoting yourself to prove an obvious point.
Had the trend turned around earlier I doubt you would of posted the same. Hindsight does marvelous things to ego.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #1,272
  • Apr 9, 2013 2:54pm Apr 9, 2013 2:54pm
Quoting Davit
I don't think I disagreed with you on trend following but I find it ironic you quoting yourself to prove an obvious point. Had the trend turned around earlier I doubt you would of posted the same. Hindsight does marvelous things to ego.
i think its known around forexfactory that im prone to my own egotistical behaviour. but my ego is whats giving myself confidence in my trading, if i ever lose that, i dont think ill be able to trade with conviction.
my ego is my coping mechanism so please bear with me.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #1,273
  • Apr 10, 2013 9:34am Apr 10, 2013 9:34am
Quoting inpatient
Pending Short @ .85200 No stop, Target is .83500
i'm short too @.8564 no SL and TP @0.8150

GL
  • #1,274
  • Apr 10, 2013 10:44am Apr 10, 2013 10:44am
Quoting pcca-matrix
i'm short too @.8564 no SL and TP @0.8150 GL
Well it looks you hit SL

NZD/USD is overbought ridiculously! No wonder if it touch 0.86

Just hope for the best!
  • #1,275
  • Apr 10, 2013 10:47am Apr 10, 2013 10:47am
Quoting namitak007
Well it looks you hit SL NZD/USD is overbought ridiculously! No wonder if it touch 0.86 Just hope for the best!
No SL = No stoploss
  • #1,276
  • Apr 10, 2013 10:52am Apr 10, 2013 10:52am
Quoting pcca-matrix
No SL = No stoploss
oh sorry! I misread it! Well my charts are f**ked up! by this pair! I have all SL at 0.865 I just pray for not to cross this!
What about you? What do you think about this pair? Will it start correction any near?
  • #1,277
  • Apr 10, 2013 11:11am Apr 10, 2013 11:11am
Recent highest was in July 2011 8842. Can it go there again ?Not likely but will not rule out.
I have 5 shorts still active. Looking for TP 61.8 fib 8320.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 39 KB
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #1,278
  • Apr 10, 2013 11:29am Apr 10, 2013 11:29am
Quoting namitak007
oh sorry! I misread it! Well my charts are f**ked up! by this pair! I have all SL at 0.865 I just pray for not to cross this! What about you? What do you think about this pair? Will it start correction any near?
I never put a fixed SL all my sl are hidden and managed by EA.

I think retrace is coming this week .

This is based on a multi-tf currency strenght EA/indicator i'v made , i noticed when a currency was bullish in every TF (3h,12h,24h,5d,21d) retracement is coming in 80% of cases.



anyway good luck with this crazy currency.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzd.png Size: 21 KB
  • #1,279
  • Apr 10, 2013 12:10pm Apr 10, 2013 12:10pm
Quoting pcca-matrix
i'm short too @.8564 no SL and TP @0.8150 GL

added again @ .854, .857

moved TP to 0.82

Will keep adding with every move up,

Keep your faith guys and just glance at the longer timeframes if your running low on confidence. We are at the same level it reached in Aug 2011 right now, if it pokes through here it could run for a while yet but the higher it goes the further it will fall.

An appreciating pair such as this runs out of competitiveness the higher it gets, trust in logic and keep your emotions in check.
Money never sleeps...
  • #1,280
  • Apr 10, 2013 12:12pm Apr 10, 2013 12:12pm
Quoting Davit
Recent highest was in July 2011 8842. Can it go there again ?Not likely but will not rule out. I have 5 shorts still active. Looking for TP 61.8 fib 8320. {image}
Possible but expected to retrace before and then rise later to maybe uncharted territory !

i'm Waiting for NZ Manufacturing Index if flat i'm begin to be long on GBP/NZD a great opportunity too.
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