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Trading EURUSD only

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  • Post #42,261
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:36am Apr 5, 2013 7:36am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Live coverage of NFP. I would wait till 5 minutes before. I usually tune in to hear the number released rather than wait to read it later.

http://www.dailyfx.com/live_forex_trading_room
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,262
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:42am Apr 5, 2013 7:42am
  •  sesigina
  • | Joined Mar 2013 | Status: Member | 4 Posts
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Disliked
Live coverage of NFP. I would wait till 5 minutes before. I usually tune in to hear the number released rather than wait to read it later. http://www.dailyfx.com/live_forex_trading_room
Ignored
Hi ETJD,
what happen if NFP have strong number?
 
 
  • Post #42,263
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  • Apr 5, 2013 7:48am Apr 5, 2013 7:48am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Quoting sesigina
Disliked
Hi ETJD, what happen if NFP have strong number?
Ignored
IMO any number over 200K USD SHOULD soar and euro will go down

But like Steve says news is just catalyst. I would watch PA for a few min first. Often the knee jerk moves are totally wrong
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,264
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  • Apr 5, 2013 7:54am Apr 5, 2013 7:54am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
RANsquawk US Non-Farm Payrolls Preview - 5th April 2013

Inserted Video
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,265
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  • Apr 5, 2013 8:08am Apr 5, 2013 8:08am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
long @ 40 ITM

Glad I listened to the RSI3 and got out of my short @30
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,266
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:13am Apr 5, 2013 8:13am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
EURUSD posting new session highs ahead of NFPs

Now 1.2945 on talk of weaker than expected jobs data
Sell orders at 1.2950-55
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,267
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  • Apr 5, 2013 8:17am Apr 5, 2013 8:17am
  •  luckyl
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 370 Posts
Iīll give it a 1% trade

with direction according to number and SL8 TP16 each

(Or should i just open both and see what happens... hmm )
just kidding, I donīt plan on doing that^^
 
 
  • Post #42,268
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  • Apr 5, 2013 8:18am Apr 5, 2013 8:18am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Big boys estimates

Non-Farm Payroll Preview

 

  1. Deutsche Bank 160K
  2. HSBC 174K
  3. Goldman Sachs 175K
  4. Citi 175K
  5. Barclays Capital 175K
  6. UBS 190K
  7. Bank of America 200K
  8. JP Morgan 210K

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,269
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:18am Apr 5, 2013 8:18am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts

  1. Market sits on hands ahead of NFP as 1.2900/40 range holds
  2. Talk of solid bids 1.2875/85 aid to contain bottom, solid offers 1.2940/50 cap top
  3. Talk light stops above 1.2950 & more near 1.2965
  4. Pair holds above old TL res & 21 DMA, RSI bullish & USD yield advantage slips
  5. All suggest higher levels, break of 1.2950 has mkt eye Mar 25 high 1.3050
  6. Chart: http://link.reuters.com/mum27t

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,270
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  • Apr 5, 2013 8:20am Apr 5, 2013 8:20am
  •  sypherBG
  • | Joined Feb 2013 | Status: Luck is my middle name. | 196 Posts
I thought of something i dont like about this forum, you have to refresh it to check for new posts. They should make it auto refreshing ET JD You are on fire with analysis again! Watching that NFP closely heh?
Mind you, my first name is Bad. ..."Nunc Id Vides, Nunc Ne Vides"...
 
 
  • Post #42,271
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  • Apr 5, 2013 8:22am Apr 5, 2013 8:22am
  •  luckyl
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 370 Posts
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Disliked
Big boys estimates Non-Farm Payroll Preview Deutsche Bank 160K HSBC 174K Goldman Sachs 175K Citi 175K Barclays Capital 175K UBS 190K Bank of America 200K JP Morgan 210K
Ignored
Best would be some 220ish or better.
That would give a nice crush imo.

If it wewnrīt for NFP, Iīd have traded the breakout upwards just now. maybe. Itīs rather long gone already...

the pessimistic numbers from european banks given, I will look for short only, else flat. Think that gives highest chane for a winner

edit: and THANKS FOR THE NUMBERS!!
 
 
  • Post #42,272
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:26am Apr 5, 2013 8:26am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Another view
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: pic11.jpg
Size: 240 KB
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,273
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:28am Apr 5, 2013 8:28am
  •  luckyl
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 370 Posts
GL to all who might get involved
Letīs rock!
 
 
  • Post #42,274
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:28am Apr 5, 2013 8:28am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Quoting sypherBG
Disliked
I thought of something i dont like about this forum, you have to refresh it to check for new posts. They should make it auto refreshing ET JD You are on fire with analysis again! Watching that NFP closely heh?
Ignored
Thanks Bro I am just funneling the info as I get it.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,275
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:29am Apr 5, 2013 8:29am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Quoting luckyl
Disliked
Best would be some 220ish or better. That would give a nice crush imo. If it wewnrīt for NFP, Iīd have traded the breakout upwards just now. maybe. Itīs rather long gone already... the pessimistic numbers from european banks given, I will look for short only, else flat. Think that gives highest chane for a winner edit: and THANKS FOR THE NUMBERS!!
Ignored
My long@40 ITM waiting to short
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,276
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:30am Apr 5, 2013 8:30am
  •  luckyl
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 370 Posts
88
WTF
 
 
  • Post #42,277
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:31am Apr 5, 2013 8:31am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
March Non-Farm Payrolls Print at 95K vs Expected 190K. . .
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,278
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:34am Apr 5, 2013 8:34am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Out of long for +84 have existing long @ 1.3031
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
  • Post #42,279
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:37am Apr 5, 2013 8:37am
  •  luckyl
  • | Joined Jul 2012 | Status: Member | 370 Posts
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Disliked
Out of long for +84 have existing long @ 1.3031
Ignored


I remained flat. Couldīve hit the putton around 65 though - missed that spot so I didnīt want to jump "behind the train".
 
 
  • Post #42,280
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2013 8:38am Apr 5, 2013 8:38am
  •  EuroTraderJD
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2012 | 3,178 Posts
Added new short @ 06
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
 
 
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