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Trading EURUSD only

  • #42,261
  • Apr 5, 2013 6:36am Apr 5, 2013 6:36am
Live coverage of NFP. I would wait till 5 minutes before. I usually tune in to hear the number released rather than wait to read it later.

http://www.dailyfx.com/live_forex_trading_room
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,262
  • Apr 5, 2013 6:42am Apr 5, 2013 6:42am
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Live coverage of NFP. I would wait till 5 minutes before. I usually tune in to hear the number released rather than wait to read it later. http://www.dailyfx.com/live_forex_trading_room
Hi ETJD,
what happen if NFP have strong number?
  • #42,263
  • Apr 5, 2013 6:48am Apr 5, 2013 6:48am
Quoting sesigina
Hi ETJD, what happen if NFP have strong number?
IMO any number over 200K USD SHOULD soar and euro will go down

But like Steve says news is just catalyst. I would watch PA for a few min first. Often the knee jerk moves are totally wrong
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,264
  • Apr 5, 2013 6:54am Apr 5, 2013 6:54am
RANsquawk US Non-Farm Payrolls Preview - 5th April 2013

Inserted Video
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,265
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:08am Apr 5, 2013 7:08am
long @ 40 ITM

Glad I listened to the RSI3 and got out of my short @30
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,266
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:13am Apr 5, 2013 7:13am
EURUSD posting new session highs ahead of NFPs

Now 1.2945 on talk of weaker than expected jobs data
Sell orders at 1.2950-55
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,267
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:17am Apr 5, 2013 7:17am
I´ll give it a 1% trade

with direction according to number and SL8 TP16 each

(Or should i just open both and see what happens... hmm )
just kidding, I don´t plan on doing that^^
  • #42,268
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:18am Apr 5, 2013 7:18am
Big boys estimates

Non-Farm Payroll Preview

 

  1. Deutsche Bank 160K
  2. HSBC 174K
  3. Goldman Sachs 175K
  4. Citi 175K
  5. Barclays Capital 175K
  6. UBS 190K
  7. Bank of America 200K
  8. JP Morgan 210K

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,269
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:18am Apr 5, 2013 7:18am

  1. Market sits on hands ahead of NFP as 1.2900/40 range holds
  2. Talk of solid bids 1.2875/85 aid to contain bottom, solid offers 1.2940/50 cap top
  3. Talk light stops above 1.2950 & more near 1.2965
  4. Pair holds above old TL res & 21 DMA, RSI bullish & USD yield advantage slips
  5. All suggest higher levels, break of 1.2950 has mkt eye Mar 25 high 1.3050
  6. Chart: http://link.reuters.com/mum27t

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,270
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:20am Apr 5, 2013 7:20am
I thought of something i dont like about this forum, you have to refresh it to check for new posts. They should make it auto refreshing ET JD You are on fire with analysis again! Watching that NFP closely heh?
Mind you, my first name is Bad. ..."Nunc Id Vides, Nunc Ne Vides"...
  • #42,271
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:22am Apr 5, 2013 7:22am
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Big boys estimates Non-Farm Payroll Preview Deutsche Bank 160K HSBC 174K Goldman Sachs 175K Citi 175K Barclays Capital 175K UBS 190K Bank of America 200K JP Morgan 210K
Best would be some 220ish or better.
That would give a nice crush imo.

If it wewnr´t for NFP, I´d have traded the breakout upwards just now. maybe. It´s rather long gone already...

the pessimistic numbers from european banks given, I will look for short only, else flat. Think that gives highest chane for a winner

edit: and THANKS FOR THE NUMBERS!!
  • #42,272
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:26am Apr 5, 2013 7:26am
Another view
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pic11.jpg Size: 240 KB
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,273
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:28am Apr 5, 2013 7:28am
GL to all who might get involved
Let´s rock!
  • #42,274
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:28am Apr 5, 2013 7:28am
Quoting sypherBG
I thought of something i dont like about this forum, you have to refresh it to check for new posts. They should make it auto refreshing ET JD You are on fire with analysis again! Watching that NFP closely heh?
Thanks Bro I am just funneling the info as I get it.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,275
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:29am Apr 5, 2013 7:29am
Quoting luckyl
Best would be some 220ish or better. That would give a nice crush imo. If it wewnr´t for NFP, I´d have traded the breakout upwards just now. maybe. It´s rather long gone already... the pessimistic numbers from european banks given, I will look for short only, else flat. Think that gives highest chane for a winner edit: and THANKS FOR THE NUMBERS!!
My long@40 ITM waiting to short
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,276
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:30am Apr 5, 2013 7:30am
88
WTF
  • #42,277
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:31am Apr 5, 2013 7:31am
March Non-Farm Payrolls Print at 95K vs Expected 190K. . .
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,278
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:34am Apr 5, 2013 7:34am
Out of long for +84 have existing long @ 1.3031
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #42,279
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:37am Apr 5, 2013 7:37am
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Out of long for +84 have existing long @ 1.3031


I remained flat. Could´ve hit the putton around 65 though - missed that spot so I didn´t want to jump "behind the train".
  • #42,280
  • Apr 5, 2013 7:38am Apr 5, 2013 7:38am
Added new short @ 06
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
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