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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #43,721
  • Mar 28, 2013 3:50am Mar 28, 2013 3:50am
Quoting smikester
Are you running those stops Ingmar? Bad boy.
http://screencast.com/t/fzfQ67r7 naah i am not buying the bounce got short this morning again yen pairs eu pairs in and out now have nothing but might tommorow if i see something i like.Thought whe pushed bit lower. To be honiest was aiming for 1.2650 80 area wanted to try there counter for friday see if this thing is valid or not http://screencast.com/t/fzfQ67r7 tech wise then. Got fiscal year end comming up in the yen etc to much things i dont like to be long so will sit out. and wait
  • #43,722
  • Mar 28, 2013 3:50am Mar 28, 2013 3:50am
Quoting ingmarforex
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VfdlCVWQisM
all is very nice in this video, only that all those loans to the small banks and to the goverment by the federal reserve will come to a very rude awakening when interest rates go up, wish eventualy will come some day......at least iceland is back into recovery already and some day will recuperate from the loses, here we haven't even started yet, oh well but the goverment know what is doing, I don't have to worrie about it......
The Chonchy
  • #43,723
  • Mar 28, 2013 3:54am Mar 28, 2013 3:54am
Quoting smikester
SPX still might make a higher high and if it is today, then shorts better watch out. Everything will be just fine again...
i will short 1600
  • #43,724
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:01am Mar 28, 2013 4:01am
Quoting chonchy
all is very nice in this video, only that all those loans to the small banks and to the goverment by the federal reserve will come to a very rude awakening when interest rates go up, wish eventualy will come some day......at least iceland is back into recovery already and some day will recuperate from the loses, here we haven't even started yet, oh well but the goverment know what is doing, I don't have to worrie about it......
1 of the reasons why i like usd
  • #43,725
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:08am Mar 28, 2013 4:08am
I like this M15 bar off 1.28.
Gone to a better place
  • #43,726
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:13am Mar 28, 2013 4:13am
Quoting ingmarforex
can you give me some reasons why you think aud 1.40
1. early '80 high 1.4, height of the resources boom.
2. AU has no exports except commodities & agriculture. therefore less sensitive to stregnth of AUD. Also AU structurally set for extremly high exchange rates. Around 1900, another resource boom, AU salaries were many times higher than anwhere else. So everything was expensive accordingly.
3. currencies move from low double triple x5... AUD has passed doubling. Tripling gets us to 1.4x
4. Armstrong cycle analysis points to even larger number for AUDUSD = 2.0000
5. Everyone hates AUD

oops forgot the big one : inflation & gold & geopolitical issues
  • #43,727
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:17am Mar 28, 2013 4:17am
Quoting smikester
I like this M15 bar off 1.28.
Ussually the yankee boys like to make the low or high in eu but the next move down if it breaks lows gonna be the low of the day then watch potential levels price action 1.27 1.2680 watch on a 1min how it react there if it surges hard in to it it is a liquidity surge then if you see strong bids means whe hitted a pocket of orders then what for a small base to build on the lower timeframe so small range wait for the breakout of that range and buy the retest for the friday run stop runbut close before weekend with thsi eu drama going on you never know if whe gap lower
  • #43,728
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:19am Mar 28, 2013 4:19am
thanks for the V mr Ingmar
  • #43,729
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:26am Mar 28, 2013 4:26am
Quoting seaman2
1. early '80 high 1.4, height of the resources boom.
2. AU has no exports except commodities & agriculture. therefore less sensitive to stregnth of AUD. Also AU structurally set for extremly high exchange rates. Around 1900, another resource boom, AU salaries were many times higher than anwhere else. So everything was expensive accordingly.
3. currencies move from low double triple x5... AUD has passed doubling. Tripling gets us to 1.4x
4. Armstrong cycle analysis points to even larger number for AUDUSD = 2.0000
5. Everyone hates AUD

oops...
No i think aud is the best country 1 of the best to be in now so i see your point problem is risk assets i dont think whe gonna have crash naah in equities allwel you never know but just some decent size correction what will be a buy offcourse when the media gets panicked but correction might be shallow actually if you look in the past all secular bearmarkets whe range bound in equities but some good decent size correction would be nice will it happen well whe never know in front but sentiment get bit crowdy here. just waiting for markets to show there hands
  • #43,730
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:32am Mar 28, 2013 4:32am
Quoting seaman2
thanks for the V mr Ingmar
welcome i like your independent thinking
  • #43,731
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:00am Mar 28, 2013 5:00am
Agree, AU is good place to be. Real fresh air. I also like AUD as it provided 90% of gains for my account last year

One scenario I am looking for is aud to break upside as everyone believes resources boom is over. Second leg of bull should surprise market and provide some high RR opportunities.

I cant see larger AUD falls as AU is happy with strong AUD and there are other countries desperate to lower their currency.
  • #43,732
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:11am Mar 28, 2013 5:11am
Quoting seaman2
Agree, AU is good place to be. Real fresh air. I also like AUD as it provided 90% of gains for my account last year

One scenario I am looking for is aud to break upside as everyone believes resources boom is over. Second leg of bull should surprise market and provide some high RR opportunities.

I cant see larger AUD falls as AU is happy with strong AUD and there are other countries desperate to lower their currency.


Sweet well i just want it fo a better price but probally not gonna get strong monhly close range getting tighter and tighter. 1.4 hmmm it ahs been in this range for longtime i believe you in this aud lets see i missed the last recent dip in range lows because i was to focus on other pairs sucks a bit because aud is best pair to long on good entries and to hold for swing or position trading then
  • #43,733
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:31am Mar 28, 2013 5:31am
anyway gonna call it a day gonna watching only 1.01000 in usd cad for long thats the only setup i right now like for the rest i dont see any what i like only data whe have is cad data later on. For the rest things liquidity drying up (holidays) probally give some bullish undertone in the ny session. chopy bull move up in eu and other risk assets but i rather miss this choppy upmove with a boat full with pikers it could sink. now if it migth comeback to 1.27 today i would long it but doubt thats gonna happen range fucking end of the week not t really intrested in that shit. Happy holidays and good weekend
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  • #43,734
  • Mar 28, 2013 6:16am Mar 28, 2013 6:16am
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Illegitimi non carborundum - Noli pati a scelestis opprimi.
  • #43,735
  • Mar 28, 2013 10:09am Mar 28, 2013 10:09am
Quoting Rufus
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tVDk7dJMJRk
.......OMG it dosn't get any bether than this, smikestter will agree with me on this one.......
The Chonchy
  • #43,736
  • Mar 28, 2013 10:14am Mar 28, 2013 10:14am
Quoting ingmarforex
anyway gonna call it a day gonna watching only 1.01000 in usd cad for long thats the only setup i right now like for the rest i dont see any what i like only data whe have is cad data later on. For the rest things liquidity drying up (holidays) probally give some bullish undertone in the ny session. chopy bull move up in eu and other risk assets but i rather miss this choppy upmove with a boat full with pikers it could sink. now if it migth comeback to 1.27 today i would long it but doubt thats gonna happen range fucking end of the week not t...
happy eastern to all.......
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The Chonchy
  • #43,737
  • Mar 28, 2013 10:16am Mar 28, 2013 10:16am
Inserted Video
The Chonchy
  • #43,738
  • Mar 28, 2013 10:19am Mar 28, 2013 10:19am
Quoting chonchy
.......OMG it dosn't get any bether than this, smikestter will agree with me on this one.......
I do agree. It's well funny. I have no idea what is being said, but that does not matter, as long as they don't kill anyone.
Gone to a better place
  • #43,739
  • Mar 28, 2013 10:28am Mar 28, 2013 10:28am
Quoting smikester
I do agree. It's well funny. I have no idea what is being said, but that does not matter, as long as they don't kill anyone.
......agree, no wars, wars is for the elite only, and people that don't know how to be happy any other way......

we are happy with love and compasion, and some pips once in a while , lol, oh and art, where is roro?


http://www.girlsinpics.com/?p=4410

http://www.girlsinpics.com/wp-conten...bledon_008.jpg

http://www.girlsinpics.com/wp-conten...radise_011.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #43,740
  • Mar 28, 2013 11:26am Mar 28, 2013 11:26am
......could it be that this things are of the interest of the banks to lend more money, the IMF printers should be in full swing lately


don't they run out of ink?



http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/0...0CK2LN20130328
The Chonchy
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