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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #43,701
  • Mar 28, 2013 12:12am Mar 28, 2013 12:12am
Quoting chonchy
.......I wonder if some one is selling this bothom here, daily looks oversold to me, it could retrace today if the banks open and people don't make a run for the banks, what do you all think? help here needed to understand this mess......
Hello sir, hope you're well.. with the Cyprus Bearfest coming to an end, we may see a relief rally from these levels.. however, the up coming Japanese fiscal year end may be the catalyst to spark a major near term correction or turn..

with Euro, GBP & Gold having already undergone a massive sell off plus the equity market showing no signs of acrophobia so far.. we may see the Japanese exporters close their fiscal year buying Yen & Majors vs the Dollar & Yen.. causing Cable, Euro & Gold rise against the Dollar & Yen setting off a round of short covering across the board..

so whether this probe below 1.28 is just an under-shoot or a full blown blast down to the sub 1.2650 abyss may be resolved as we approach Monday's April Fool day.. LOL.. (btw, another figure down to 1.2650 is also in my radar where I see massive interests for the Eurlow)

btw, COT Open Interest suggest Smart Money didn't participate in the recent move.. however, the decline from 1.37 may had been exaggerated with SM covering their massive profits as suggested by the drop in OI since 1.37..

more "Bottoms" for our friends..
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1364437646
  • #43,702
  • Mar 28, 2013 12:44am Mar 28, 2013 12:44am
Quoting cdndollar
Hello sir, hope you're well.. with the Cyprus Bearfest coming to an end, we may see a relief rally from these levels.. however, the up coming Japanese fiscal year end may be the catalyst to spark a major near term correction or turn..

with Euro, GBP & Gold having already undergone a massive sell off plus the equity market showing no signs of acrophobia so far.. we may see the Japanese exporters close their fiscal year buying Yen & Majors vs the Dollar & Yen.. causing Cable, Euro & Gold rise against the Dollar & Yen setting off a round...
thanks Sir. cdn for this detail explanation of events.......

can you explain me one more thing Sir...

.....If the run for the bank is to extract your own money that is supose to be in the bank for safe keeping and earn interest, why is this trucks bringing the money back, where was my money that I left at the bank for sfekeeping and to earn interest?

lol.......

http://www.businessinsider.com/truck...t-banks-2013-3

http://static2.businessinsider.com/i...ucks-euros.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #43,703
  • Mar 28, 2013 3:34am Mar 28, 2013 3:34am
Hmmm intresting slovenia next ???? http://www.forexpros.nl/rates-bonds/...ear-bond-yield
  • #43,704
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:04am Mar 28, 2013 4:04am
Quoting ingmarforex
Hmmm intresting slovenia next ???? http://www.forexpros.nl/rates-bonds/...ear-bond-yield
people there seem to be blissfully ignorant so black swan event will magnify response.

worth keping eye on it. It s 2x bigger than cyprus so double effect .
  • #43,705
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:09am Mar 28, 2013 4:09am
Quoting seaman2
people there seem to be blissfully ignorant so black swan event will magnify response.

worth keping eye on it. It s 2x bigger than cyprus so double effect .
I dont know why they dont default it only spreads they do it probally on a longer time period so economics recover and they can pay of there debts but then europe first need to change there growth problem thats what concerns me the most otherwise the ecb will blowupp and whe see a catastrophic event where lehman was actually a joke
  • #43,706
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:12am Mar 28, 2013 4:12am
Inserted Video
  • #43,707
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:16am Mar 28, 2013 4:16am
Inserted Video
  • #43,708
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:18am Mar 28, 2013 4:18am
Quoting ingmarforex
I dont know why they dont default it only spreads they do it probally on a longer time period so economics recover and they can pay of there debts but then europe first need to change there growth problem thats what concerns me the most otherwise the ecb will blowupp and whe see a catastrophic event where lehman was actually a joke
i dont see how EU can grow.
- none or too little army to matter
- too expensive workforce
- fierce global competition
- germans sold out EU to chinese for their own benefit
- inflexible and way too large public servant sector
- people have this 'i am entitled to ...' attitude
- overrating and inflexibility of education

And not last, growing racial tensions and rise of fascism & dark ages

war would turn this around.

eh well, at least baguettes are nice.
  • #43,709
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:24am Mar 28, 2013 4:24am
Quoting seaman2
i dont see how EU can grow.
- none or too little army to matter
- too expensive workforce
- fierce global competition
- germans sold out EU to chinese for their own benefit
- inflexible and way too large public servant sector
- people have this 'i am entitled to ...' attitude
- overrating and inflexibility of education

And not last, growing racial tensions and rise of fascism & dark ages

war would turn this around.

eh well, at least baguettes are nice.
yeah thats what concerns me aswell a war or they spilt up so a norther euro what will be trading around 1.90 and a southern around 0.90. Really intresting what the ecb gonna do next meeting if they gonna cut rates or follow some kind of qe program like the rest of the world to spur economy this austerity is killing europe. Also the empirior is starting to lose her clothes a bit with those recent nrs
  • #43,710
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:32am Mar 28, 2013 4:32am
Quoting ingmarforex
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VfdlCVWQisM
hum, is reserve bank really that good ?

It allows creation of money out of nothing.

NZ clip, skip add

http://tvnz.co.nz/seven-sharp/paying...-video-5336329

banks are in business of creating money in AUS. Every loan is new blood to economy guaranteed by poor borrower with all he has

there is no money in the first place. So bank pockets whole interest !!! That is profitable business !!!

Of course big 4 control the whole show and they are protected for good of society.
  • #43,711
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:50am Mar 28, 2013 4:50am
Quoting seaman2
hum, is reserve bank really that good ?

It allows creation of money out of nothing.

NZ clip, skip add

http://tvnz.co.nz/seven-sharp/paying...-video-5336329

banks are in business of creating money in AUS. Every loan is new blood to economy guaranteed by poor borrower with all he has

there is no money in the first place. So bank pockets whole interest !!! That is profitable business !!!

Of course big 4 control the whole show and they are protected for good of society.
Thanks for link amazing serious thats some real bussines lol and if you in the shit you get a bailout
  • #43,712
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:01am Mar 28, 2013 5:01am
Quoting ingmarforex
Thanks for link amazing serious thats some real bussines lol and if you in the shit you get a bailout
see, easy to comprehend.

So all the people that have large loans think like that :

they cant bank let go down because in national interest, so I will be safe if I boorow as much as possible and have the lowest paying job possible. Ideally on a dole. Then I will be part of bank and safe.

Couple of weeks ago treasurer said that vunerable in this society and their assets must be protected.

So they got it right

Works until it doesn't
  • #43,713
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:07am Mar 28, 2013 5:07am
Quoting seaman2
see, easy to comprehend.

So all the people that have large loans think like that :

they cant bank let go down because in national interest, so I will be safe if I boorow as much as possible and have the lowest paying job possible. Ideally on a dole. Then I will be part of bank and safe.

Couple of weeks ago treasurer said that vunerable in this society and their assets must be protected.

So they got it right

Works until it doesn't
true
  • #43,714
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:14am Mar 28, 2013 5:14am
That explains why AUD is the nerve of global economy.

i am bullish AUD and expect 1.4 or more against USD before focus turns towards AUD and makeup of AU economy.
  • #43,715
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:22am Mar 28, 2013 5:22am
Quoting seaman2
That explains why AUD is the nerve of global economy.

i am bullish AUD and expect 1.4 or more against USD before focus turns towards AUD and makeup of AU economy.
i am also bullish aud in general allwel depends what equities gonna do here seeing spx not going much further 1600 max but i preffer to short euraud gbpaud then to use as carry then the price where it trades here i dont like you really belive 1.40 in aud what assumptions myself i am not a china bear but they been slowing down a bit allwel aud economy keeps outperforming. 1.4 intresting i like how the aud keeps strong against usd. i tryed to short it couple of times but shorting aud is actually a bullshit game if you wanna do longerterm trades with high intrest rates. I actually waiting for a good sellof in stocks to buy this pair lower i am not sure if i get it but parity or 0.90 would be a gift. (longerterm then) but maybe this is already the move to 1.40 you saying i see you come from australia on your profile can you give me some reasons why you think aud 1.40
  • #43,716
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:25am Mar 28, 2013 5:25am
Happy holiday,,, time is holiday ...
happy weekend all ...

i am stop trading now ... and start trade again next month ...

many people need holiday, i hope EU up now and next month ...
  • #43,717
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:27am Mar 28, 2013 5:27am
Quoting Fermy17
Happy holiday,,, time is holiday ...
happy weekend all ...

i am stop trading now ... and start trade again next month ...

many people need holiday, i hope EU up now and next month ...
you 2 maybe tommorow you get already up end of quarter so great for a shortsquueze on those fridays run some weak shorts but i preffer to sell spikes
  • #43,718
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:40am Mar 28, 2013 5:40am
Quoting ingmarforex
you 2 maybe tommorow you get already up end of quarter so great for a shortsquueze on those fridays run some weak shorts but i preffer to sell spikes
I will still keep my long until next month ,,
  • #43,719
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:43am Mar 28, 2013 5:43am
Quoting ingmarforex
you 2 maybe tommorow you get already up end of quarter so great for a shortsquueze on those fridays run some weak shorts but i preffer to sell spikes
Are you running those stops Ingmar? Bad boy.
Gone to a better place
  • #43,720
  • Mar 28, 2013 5:48am Mar 28, 2013 5:48am
SPX still might make a higher high and if it is today, then shorts better watch out. Everything will be just fine again...
Gone to a better place
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