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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #5,781
  • Mar 19, 2013 2:14pm Mar 19, 2013 2:14pm
Quoting bassramy
You deserve a lot more then these kind words , glad to see you back, I'm in these exact trades + UCAD Short.

Regards,
B.R.
Thank you B.R.
what levels are you watching for short UCAD? it seems it just started its uptrend after getting support at the confluence of monthly pivot+ 23 fib
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  • #5,782
  • Mar 19, 2013 2:54pm Mar 19, 2013 2:54pm
Quoting shahab8b
Thank you B.R.
what levels are you watching for short UCAD? it seems it just started its uptrend after getting support at the confluence of monthly pivot+ 23 fib
Welcome back Shahab.Hope everything is fine.You were really missed in here.
Can't wait to learn more from you again.

Regards
Mike
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,783
  • Mar 20, 2013 5:02am Mar 20, 2013 5:02am
Quoting shahab8b
Thank you B.R.
what levels are you watching for short UCAD? it seems it just started its uptrend after getting support at the confluence of monthly pivot+ 23 fib
My TA was :

- PA Stalled @ 78.6 Fibo of the last Bearish move making a 11 days Range, Reversed in Breaking both DP and WP downward, rejected again from the Pivots levels from below forming 2 Bearish pinbars under these levels and then carry on to breakdown the Rising Trendline and support @ 2160 where my sell stop was waiting to be triggered knowing that the RSI was screaming bearish divergence too, then hit the MP and the 23.6 Fibo and reversed to retest the Break and the Trendline from below .

Regards,
B.R.
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Master Your Setup, Master Your self. (NQoos)
  • #5,784
  • Mar 20, 2013 11:44am Mar 20, 2013 11:44am
Hey Shahab, was concerned you may have had issues with FX Pro being based in cyprus, good to see its business as usual
  • #5,785
  • Mar 21, 2013 8:17am Mar 21, 2013 8:17am
Quoting tpaulbeaumon
Hey Shahab, was concerned you may have had issues with FX Pro being based in cyprus, good to see its business as usual
nothing that I've known of.
  • #5,786
  • Mar 21, 2013 8:23am Mar 21, 2013 8:23am
UCAD, intraday short setup:
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  • #5,787
  • Mar 25, 2013 4:31am Mar 25, 2013 4:31am
GOLD, looking a the hidden divergence, there might be a possibility for a short setup.
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  • #5,788
  • Mar 25, 2013 5:00am Mar 25, 2013 5:00am
Quoting shahab8b
UCAD, intraday short setup:
PA didnt turn out as expected even though it's in green.
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  • #5,789
  • Mar 25, 2013 7:19am Mar 25, 2013 7:19am
Quoting shahab8b
GOLD, looking a the hidden divergence, there might be a possibility for a short setup.
Gold trade: a trade based on textbook hidden divergence.
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  • #5,790
  • Mar 25, 2013 12:51pm Mar 25, 2013 12:51pm
Quoting shahab8b
It seems we might see a deeper correction in UJ given the divergence.
This is a follow up with my last week comments on UJ (i.e classic div on both COT and RSI).
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  • #5,791
  • Mar 25, 2013 1:10pm Mar 25, 2013 1:10pm
Quoting shahab8b
I think we are about to see a long term top in equities sooner than later.looking at S&P future, it might go a bit higher from this level, but a sharp fall will be inevitable. That can be explained both fundamentally and technically.
I got couple of PMs regarding my count on S&P500. I'm not a fortune teller, but I think there is a good chance that we see a deep decline in the equity markets. picking tops and bottoms are very difficult and most of the times futile. use of divergence, some instinct, and defining your exit points may help.
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  • #5,792
  • Mar 25, 2013 1:45pm Mar 25, 2013 1:45pm
Quoting shahab8b
I got couple of PMs regarding my count on S&P500. I'm not a fortune teller, but I think there is a good chance that we see a deep decline in the equity markets. picking tops and bottoms are very difficult and most of the times futile. use of divergence, some instinct, and defining your exit points may help.
Too bad I don't have an access to SP500 (with CitiFX and Oanda)...
I "feel" that the market is in a process of a major trend change (Euro and JPY in particular). Maybe Cyprus triggers a bank panic in Europe
I really like shahab8b's reading
  • #5,793
  • Mar 25, 2013 7:46pm Mar 25, 2013 7:46pm
some thoughts on UCHF
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  • #5,794
  • Mar 27, 2013 5:15am Mar 27, 2013 5:15am
Quoting shahab8b
some thoughts on UCHF
Update on UCHF long trade
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  • #5,795
  • Edited Mar 28, 2013 12:36am Mar 27, 2013 11:57pm | Edited Mar 28, 2013 12:36am
Hey Shahab8b, glad your back on the forums. Nice chart of the S&P, I agree fully that the 09 bull is done ths year. I think it might take another 6 months or so for the bearish momentum to really get hold though. Will be an interesting next few years nonetheless.
  • #5,796
  • Mar 28, 2013 4:07am Mar 28, 2013 4:07am
Quoting shahab8b
I got couple of PMs regarding my count on S&P500. I'm not a fortune teller, but I think there is a good chance that we see a deep decline in the equity markets. picking tops and bottoms are very difficult and most of the times futile..
//---

hey shahab..... agree..... currently short dia , spy and qqq..... option expire date january 2014.....

slightly in the red on most..... prepared for a possible april bump up in the markets.... actually would prefer it..... vix so low right now, figured i'd dive in early.....h
to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #5,797
  • Mar 28, 2013 7:35am Mar 28, 2013 7:35am
AU: possible long setup
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  • #5,798
  • Mar 28, 2013 7:39am Mar 28, 2013 7:39am
Quoting amyc
Hey Shahab8b, glad your back on the forums. Nice chart of the S&P, I agree fully that the 09 bull is done ths year. I think it might take another 6 months or so for the bearish momentum to really get hold though. Will be an interesting next few years nonetheless.
Hey Amy, good to hear from you as well. yea, I think we'll finally see how the markets look like without some QE buff.
  • #5,799
  • Edited 7:57am Mar 28, 2013 7:42am | Edited 7:57am
Quoting hayseed
//---

hey shahab..... agree..... currently short dia , spy and qqq..... option expire date january 2014.....

slightly in the red on most..... prepared for a possible april bump up in the markets.... actually would prefer it..... vix so low right now, figured i'd dive in early.....h
Hey HS, nice trade, better to buy options when vix is low, you pay less. when markets start crashing, everyone panics and it'll jump up. we may still see higher levels from here, but it'll reverse sooner than later.
  • #5,800
  • Apr 1, 2013 6:41am Apr 1, 2013 6:41am
hi shahab8b,

I cannot send pm to you why?
thanks
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