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AUD/USD - is it still risk adverse?

  • #61
  • Feb 28, 2013 3:06pm Feb 28, 2013 3:06pm
Quoting John Gray
Hmm yes you are right it hasnt really worked out as planned.

Can't change the name, expired time.. might get rid of it
Don't let him bully you like that

Or... no one should interfere with the DB cartoon gallery ??

Doesn't matter to me
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #62
  • Feb 28, 2013 3:32pm Feb 28, 2013 3:32pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Yes, you can change the name.
No it says expired...

Is there another way to change it DB?

Thanks DB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Changing Title.PNG Size: 23 KB
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #63
  • Feb 28, 2013 3:41pm Feb 28, 2013 3:41pm
Quoting John Gray

Is there another way to change it DB?

Thanks DB

Awwww... what a shame

Another that must be led about ???

no offense..... just bored
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #64
  • Feb 28, 2013 3:51pm Feb 28, 2013 3:51pm
oh... wait !!!! there is another solution

simply stop posting here and the thread will quickly vanish

why didn't I think of that


end
When the Joker is in the deck.. fear not and play it well
  • #65
  • Feb 28, 2013 7:06pm Feb 28, 2013 7:06pm
John, i like ur idea "new thread as a more direct source of information with less noise". i visit ur thread when i see this is all about for aud/usd. its really very helpful. continue it.
Trade with Patience
  • #66
  • Feb 28, 2013 7:35pm Feb 28, 2013 7:35pm
Quoting Slim Buffett
oh... wait !!!! there is another solution

simply stop posting here and the thread will quickly vanish

why didn't I think of that


end

Bye?
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #67
  • Feb 28, 2013 7:36pm Feb 28, 2013 7:36pm
Quoting ayub11
John, i like ur idea "new thread as a more direct source of information with less noise". i visit ur thread when i see this is all about for aud/usd. its really very helpful. continue it.
Thank you Ayub11,

Will keep the thread open
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #68
  • Feb 28, 2013 10:12pm Feb 28, 2013 10:12pm
Quoting lasty
Plenty of account holders who were on the wrong side of the market in real money FX funds as well as equities.

You get days like these.

Italian election and Japanese central banker comments.

Best way to protect yourself is to proceed with caution in up and coming known political events.
Lasy, you are right, 100%. bUT...HOW DOES ONE PROCEED WITH CAUTION? When 400 pip swings take out day and swing traders,if you make your stops smaller, you just have to keep re-entering. So what is the answer? Maybe it is to make the stops bigger. Or.......have an alert to tell you when something abnormal is happening ,but then...which way do you go? with the suckers and follow the momentum, or sit back and wait for resumption of trend? So many variables. For me, I need 2 systems, one for 60 min bars one for daily to feel comfortable in most conditions. Anyone else here have solutions?
  • #69
  • Mar 2, 2013 9:45am Mar 2, 2013 9:45am
Quoting John Gray
No it says expired...

Is there another way to change it DB?

Thanks DB
Not that I know of...
daddybearforex. com
  • #70
  • Mar 2, 2013 9:51am Mar 2, 2013 9:51am
Quoting ayub11
John, i like ur idea "new thread as a more direct source of information with less noise". i visit ur thread when i see this is all about for aud/usd. its really very helpful. continue it.
How frequently will you post messages in this forum? How much technical analysis can you provide per day? It's easier said than done. This is a very narrow approach thread. Unless the traffic can pick up in a timely manner, you may see fewer people like you visiting this forum.

Having said this, I still wish John's thread a successful one. He may have to devote more time and energy to run this thread in a more attractive setting like running a profitable business.
daddybearforex. com
  • #71
  • Mar 2, 2013 10:36am Mar 2, 2013 10:36am
About 30% of exports go to China. China is currently not good. Plus RBA says that AUD is overvalued. This think is going to tank sooner or later.
  • #72
  • Mar 3, 2013 1:14am Mar 3, 2013 1:14am
Quoting DaddyBear
How frequently will you post messages in this forum? How much technical analysis can you provide per day? It's easier said than done. This is a very narrow approach thread. Unless the traffic can pick up in a timely manner, you may see fewer people like you visiting this forum.

Having said this, I still wish John's thread a successful one. He may have to devote more time and energy to run this thread in a more attractive setting like running a profitable business.
It's worth a shot..
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #73
  • Mar 3, 2013 10:51am Mar 3, 2013 10:51am
Hi all,

Prior to market opening would like to post this pic, monthly outlook on AUDUSD using the daily chart.

We are ranging between 1.015 and 1.06, a break below 1.015, I believe would see us down to parity and a break below that, targeting previous low of 0.9663

If 1.015 holds I predict a bullish rally to 1.06 a break above 1.06, I will post later.

For new traders: I made this analysis using tops and bottoms
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD D1 Monthly Outlook.PNG Size: 61 KB
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #74
  • Mar 3, 2013 11:04am Mar 3, 2013 11:04am
Quoting John Gray
Hi all,

Prior to market opening would like to post this pic, monthly outlook on AUDUSD using the daily chart.

We are ranging between 1.015 and 1.06, a break below 1.015, I believe would see us down to parity and a break below that, targeting previous low of 0.9663

If 1.015 holds I predict a bullish rally to 1.06 a break above 1.06, I will post later.

For new traders: I made this analysis using tops and bottoms
Fundamentally, the below-expectations non-manufacturing PMI data could cause the Aussie Dollar to continue falling and break the 1.015-1.020 zone support.

But it is non-manufacturing and is less correlated with the AUD than the manufacturing PMI.

So we will undoubtedly see a bearish gap, size is the question, but whether is has any impact further out than a trading session we will be in the dark.
Perhaps a scalp with TP closer side of market close.

Draghi also had a speech after market closed, so the Aussie Dollar could also experience a gap, either making it bigger, or somewhat balancing the effects.

Whatever it is, A gap is expected in my books
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #75
  • Mar 3, 2013 1:18pm Mar 3, 2013 1:18pm
0.98 against the dollar.

very strong dollar.
  • #76
  • Mar 3, 2013 2:17pm Mar 3, 2013 2:17pm
Quoting Emanuel
0.98 against the dollar.

very strong dollar.
Watch out might rally, watching 1.015 at critical point
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #77
  • Mar 3, 2013 2:24pm Mar 3, 2013 2:24pm
No real gap on the AUDUSD...

Suprisingly no gap from Draghi's speech after Market close.

Anyway, Fundamentally just viewing USD-based pairs,

the EURUSD and GBPUSD, have fallen 7 and 12 cents respectively, the AUDUSD has fallen only 4-5,

Now I think it's fair to say that the Aussie is favoured over the Euro and the Pound.
And pairs have dropped due to USD strength.

I believe when the USD Index reverses and estalishes a bearish movement, the Aussie will rise more than the corresponding USD-based pairs...

Just collating thoughts here really, memory bank

Comments always appreciated
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #78
  • Mar 3, 2013 5:48pm Mar 3, 2013 5:48pm
Quoting John Gray
Sorry, it just happened now...
closed short, entered 1 long @ 1.01656 TP 1.022
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #79
  • Mar 3, 2013 8:08pm Mar 3, 2013 8:08pm
Quoting John Gray
closed short, entered 1 long @ 1.01656 TP 1.022
same here, opened 5 longs @ 1.016x TP- 1.023
prepare for worst & expect the best
  • #80
  • Mar 3, 2013 8:11pm Mar 3, 2013 8:11pm
Quoting John Gray
No real gap on the AUDUSD...

Suprisingly no gap from Draghi's speech after Market close.

Anyway, Fundamentally just viewing USD-based pairs,

the EURUSD and GBPUSD, have fallen 7 and 12 cents respectively, the AUDUSD has fallen only 4-5,

Now I think it's fair to say that the Aussie is favoured over the Euro and the Pound.
And pairs have dropped due to USD strength.

I believe when the USD Index reverses and estalishes a bearish movement, the Aussie will rise more than the corresponding USD-based pairs...

Just collating thoughts...
Yes I'm expecting the USD index to reverse too, how much more or less the AUD, EUR and GBP rises against the dollar.. will see.
prepare for worst & expect the best
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