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  • #28,041
  • Feb 24, 2013 11:12am Feb 24, 2013 11:12am
Quoting DaddyBear
Not bad. 9 pips is better than nothing.
I'll take what I can get as long as it's positive...
  • #28,042
  • Feb 24, 2013 11:14am Feb 24, 2013 11:14am
Quoting petehnm
I'll take what I can get as long as it's positive...
I believe you will make it in the end.
daddybearforex. com
  • #28,043
  • Feb 24, 2013 11:36am Feb 24, 2013 11:36am
Quoting DaddyBear
I believe you will make it in the end.
Good morning papa...was just looking at this weeks calender and with the exception of today's news coming out of china there really is nothing going on with the AUD this week...could this make it lag and drop to the 1.02 area before starting it's way back up again...just wondering
  • #28,044
  • Feb 24, 2013 11:46am Feb 24, 2013 11:46am
Quoting petehnm
Good morning papa...was just looking at this weeks calender and with the exception of today's news coming out of china there really is nothing going on with the AUD this week...could this make it lag and drop to the 1.02 area before starting it's way back up again...just wondering
In my previous post, I saw the pop a correction move. Further drop below 1.02 may be in the cards. In the meantime, iron ore price is heading higher. Will be watching the unfolding of the EWC.
daddybearforex. com
  • #28,045
  • Feb 24, 2013 11:48am Feb 24, 2013 11:48am
Quoting DaddyBear
In my previous post, I saw the pop a correction move. Further drop below 1.02 may be in the cards. In the meantime, iron ore price is heading higher. Will be watching the unfolding of the EWC.
thanks for the heads up...
  • #28,046
  • Feb 24, 2013 11:52am Feb 24, 2013 11:52am
Quoting petehnm
thanks for the heads up...
Pete, have a nice trading week ahead.
daddybearforex. com
  • #28,047
  • Feb 24, 2013 12:09pm Feb 24, 2013 12:09pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Pete, have a nice trading week ahead.
likewise my friend....
  • #28,048
  • Feb 24, 2013 1:37pm Feb 24, 2013 1:37pm
someone else might find this useful:

http://www.safehaven.com/article/204...of-the-markets (http://www.safehaven.com/article/204...of-the-markets)

P.S. I posted this link in Euro Yen Institute thread already...Sorry for repeatuing myself but I found content very inspirational....so I took a risk.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #28,049
  • Feb 24, 2013 2:42pm Feb 24, 2013 2:42pm
massive gaps today - after Friday's late UK downgrade.
  • #28,050
  • Feb 24, 2013 4:40pm Feb 24, 2013 4:40pm
Quoting maximmm
massive gaps today - after Friday's late UK downgrade.
massive for some brokers..
mine only 14pips gaps..
i bet there are brokers showing 30 pips gap
  • #28,051
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:11pm Feb 24, 2013 5:11pm
Quoting HelloOz
massive for some brokers..
mine only 14pips gaps..
i bet there are brokers showing 30 pips gap
Are you inside the gap?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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daddybearforex. com
  • #28,052
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:17pm Feb 24, 2013 5:17pm
Quoting HelloOz
massive for some brokers..
mine only 14pips gaps..
i bet there are brokers showing 30 pips gap
Yes, I had 30 pip gap.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #28,053
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:19pm Feb 24, 2013 5:19pm
hmm I have my signal to sell but are we going to close the weekend gap?

1.0260 would be my arbitrary line in the sand where I would bring my sl to BE and target a further down move.

Your thoughts DB are going to close or remain in a freefall, also have you seen EYEN a larger gap was created what are the chances of that being filled as it has not been filled once before (should I have posted this in the other thread?)
  • #28,054
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:26pm Feb 24, 2013 5:26pm
Quoting whyphi
hmm I have my signal to sell but are we going to close the weekend gap?...Your thoughts DB are going to close or remain in a freefall, also have you seen EYEN a larger gap was created what are the chances of that being filled as it has not been filled once before (should I have posted this in the other thread?)
Great Questions.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #28,055
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:33pm Feb 24, 2013 5:33pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Are you inside the gap?
No..
this week could be interesting..
8 days to RBA meet..
  • #28,056
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:40pm Feb 24, 2013 5:40pm
Quoting HelloOz
No..
this week could be interesting..
8 days to RBA meet..
It's a long way to go. In between, the PA may move up and down a few times.
daddybearforex. com
  • #28,057
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:42pm Feb 24, 2013 5:42pm
hmm if I recall EU gapped lower last year as well and I number of "Investment places" and Professional analysts had a sell idea on the close of the gap, however the pair never closed the gap and continued to head lower regardless, just like the Yen at the beginning of this year.

If the AU closes the gap I will reassess but I am not selling at this stage with a wider sl than I have to, even though risk is managed. The probabilities are just not right atm.
  • #28,058
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:45pm Feb 24, 2013 5:45pm
Based on H1 chart reading, a further drop is still likely. The retest of the previous daily LL is in the cards.
daddybearforex. com
  • #28,059
  • Feb 24, 2013 5:47pm Feb 24, 2013 5:47pm
Quoting whyphi
hmm if I recall EU gapped lower last year as well and I number of "Investment places" and Professional analysts had a sell idea on the close of the gap, however the pair never closed the gap and continued to head lower regardless, just like the Yen at the beginning of this year.

If the AU closes the gap I will reassess but I am not selling at this stage with a wider sl than I have to, even though risk is managed. The probabilities are just not right atm.
Sometime the gap may not be filled right away. Could be delayed until next leg up.
daddybearforex. com
  • #28,060
  • Feb 24, 2013 6:05pm Feb 24, 2013 6:05pm
Quoting whyphi
....The probabilities are just not right atm.
Kindly, how do you calculate probabilities? Thank you.
The Market pays you to be disciplined
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