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  • #27,221
  • Feb 7, 2013 10:59am Feb 7, 2013 10:59am
i just went for buy at 1.0283 aiming 1.0330
  • #27,222
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:08am Feb 7, 2013 11:08am
Is there any doubt now?
Attached Image
  • #27,223
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:09am Feb 7, 2013 11:09am
Quoting Arman_A
where the hell is everyone? Maybe i should get to bed myself
bulls must be bleeding
bears are too humble to say i told u so...
  • #27,224
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:09am Feb 7, 2013 11:09am
Quoting chiknthief
is there any doubt now?
welcome back !!!
We miss u !!
  • #27,225
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:24am Feb 7, 2013 11:24am
Quoting HelloOz
welcome back !!!
We miss u !!
I figured I'd sit out for a few days. Didn't wanna rub it in too much with DB. He's strangely silent right now. My weekly MAC red line stands @ 10336. I knew it would contain the rally. Next comes the weekly close on friday. Looking for further follow thru south for a confirmed failure on the weekly scale = very bearish. This thing could well go much further south before its all over with. Sell rallies.
  • #27,226
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:27am Feb 7, 2013 11:27am
Quoting HelloOz
bulls must be bleeding
bears are too humble to say i told u so...


I've noticed that DB's technical analysis as of late consists of 'PA has been preset'. EWP is no longer applicable, I suppose^^

Anyways, audusd has more or less followed through on the previously set bearish monthly candles. What I'm interested in now is how this month will close. If it's going to be a bearish red candle, then the sell off will carry on into March, but if it closes at 1.04 - thus creating a hammer candle, it may imply a move higher.
  • #27,227
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:35am Feb 7, 2013 11:35am
Quoting maximmm


I've noticed that DB's technical analysis as of late consists of 'PA has been preset'. EWP is no longer applicable, I suppose^^

Anyways, audusd has more or less followed through on the previously set bearish monthly candles. What I'm interested in now is how this month will close. If it's going to be a bearish red candle, then the sell off will carry on into March, but if it closes at 1.04 - thus creating a hammer candle, it may imply a move higher.
Cycles/seasonals suggest holding shorts at a minimum until march 31 and maybe even until the middle of april. The extreme COT setup also comfirms this scenario. Sell rallies.
  • #27,228
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:47am Feb 7, 2013 11:47am
Quoting chiknthief
Cycles/seasonals suggest holding shorts at a minimum until march 31 and maybe even until the middle of april. The extreme COT setup also comfirms this scenario. Sell rallies.
Next levels to watch is the bottom weekly bollinger band @ the 10200 area. Bollingers are very narrowly contracted on both the weekly and monthly scales indicating a massive move may be at hand. A break below 10200 makes the monthly MAC red line the next target (10088). A break below 10088 might produce a rapid descent down to 9650. I think we'll get there.
  • #27,229
  • Feb 7, 2013 11:58am Feb 7, 2013 11:58am
This is the first time prices have been below the weekly MAC red line since june 1012. Its represents a major failure. Clearly in the bear zone. Will need further downside follow through for two week confirmation (two closes below red line). This thing could really T-A-N-K !!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud weekly mac.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #27,230
  • Feb 7, 2013 2:13pm Feb 7, 2013 2:13pm
Quoting chiknthief
This is the first time prices have been below the weekly MAC red line since june 1012. Its represents a major failure. Clearly in the bear zone. Will need further downside follow through for two week confirmation (two closes below red line). This thing could really T-A-N-K !!!
Todays minute can do more damage
  • #27,231
  • Feb 7, 2013 2:17pm Feb 7, 2013 2:17pm
Quoting chiknthief
Is there any doubt now?
No, it is very convincing...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #27,232
  • Feb 7, 2013 2:30pm Feb 7, 2013 2:30pm
Il be back... at parity.
  • #27,233
  • Feb 7, 2013 4:29pm Feb 7, 2013 4:29pm
Quoting Kissa
Il be back... at parity.
you seems so confident..
  • #27,234
  • Feb 7, 2013 4:53pm Feb 7, 2013 4:53pm
Quoting HelloOz
you seems so confident..
Not really confident on that, I try not to predict price other than TP lvls but will be looking at 020 for an long, if it is there il take it if not Im happy waiting further down.

Edit, might miss a good long doing that tho
  • #27,235
  • Feb 7, 2013 5:07pm Feb 7, 2013 5:07pm
Quoting Kissa
Not really confident on that, I try not to predict price other than TP lvls but will be looking at 020 for an long, if it is there il take it if not Im happy waiting further down.

Edit, might miss a good long doing that tho
todaya minutes could be the end of downtrend..
i dont know..
sell on rumours buy on fact???

lol....
  • #27,236
  • Feb 7, 2013 5:28pm Feb 7, 2013 5:28pm
Wont be up that long, just waiting for JPY news and then to lala land.
  • #27,237
  • Feb 7, 2013 5:35pm Feb 7, 2013 5:35pm
IMO the downward movement is not completed yet.
daddybearforex. com
  • #27,238
  • Feb 7, 2013 5:38pm Feb 7, 2013 5:38pm
Morning DB
  • #27,239
  • Feb 7, 2013 5:51pm Feb 7, 2013 5:51pm
Quoting DaddyBear
IMO the downward movement is not completed yet.
Yes, it is certainly possbile or probable that the downward move is not over.

However, based on the sentiment in your thread, I am having a hard time not assuming this is over and it is time to go long.

But I will wait.

The emotions expressed in this thread are a perfect exmample of why EWP works.

Good luck all.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #27,240
  • Feb 7, 2013 5:56pm Feb 7, 2013 5:56pm
Quoting Kissa
Morning DB
Evening Kissa.
daddybearforex. com
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