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  • #26,781
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:41pm Feb 2, 2013 9:41pm
Quoting Coondawg71
Thank you for the greetings,

1. Daily chart attached. Here is one way that I see it...Aud/Usd vs Aud/Nzd lagging correlation on the Daily chart.

2. Weekly chart shows price breaking down.

3. Shortest cycle period has already rolled over and price is declining. Last weekly price bar was low volume, low volatility Doji.

I very well could be wrong but that is what appears to be happening. Feb 6 will mark the 60 day period mark from the last Strong Sell signal.

thanks,

sjc

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1359865249...
I am not familiar with shortest cycle period. ChikBear may be able to comment on this issue. As to the weekly chart, not sure about the meaning of price breaking down.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,782
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:09pm Feb 2, 2013 10:09pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...4&d=1359870297.
not euphoria follower
  • #26,783
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:20pm Feb 2, 2013 10:20pm
Could you explain your chart in plain English?

Quoting iqyu5an
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...4&d=1359870297.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,784
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:43pm Feb 2, 2013 10:43pm
meaning :

i love the ratio of 1.61 . how ever still probability to re test prev low. there we could see nfp impact... overall nfp broke the down trend channel

but let time tell what next....
Quoting DaddyBear
Could you explain your chart in plain English?
not euphoria follower
  • #26,785
  • Feb 3, 2013 7:39am Feb 3, 2013 7:39am
What happens to the AUD when the yen and euro turn around? The yen COT suggests the downside in the yen is very close to the bottom, the euro is now @ the largest net short by commercials in over a full year (1 yr,5 months). We are near major turning points everywhere. Be on the lookout.


Not sure what the AUD is going to do but with the extreme COT readings the PA is very limited to the upside. The smart money commercials have been slamming the market everytime it gets up to the 10500-10600 zone. So the day may be very near where everybody just shrugs their shoulders and say OK boys, if she don't wanna go up no more then let er go down instead. Lets just sell, sell. sell.

CAUTION : Very interesting PA directly ahead.
  • #26,786
  • Feb 3, 2013 7:45am Feb 3, 2013 7:45am
EURJPY weekly- 020113

IMO a decent size retracement is in the cards.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EY-020113-W.JPG Size: 45 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,787
  • Feb 3, 2013 7:49am Feb 3, 2013 7:49am
Quoting chiknthief
What happens to the AUD when the yen and euro turn around? The yen COT suggests the downside in the yen is very close to the bottom, the euro is now @ the largest net short by commercials in over a full year (1 yr,5 months). We are near major turning points everywhere. Be on the lookout.


Not sure what the AUD is going to do but with the extreme COT readings the PA is very limited to the upside. The smart money commercials have been slamming the market everytime it gets up to the 10500-10600 zone. So the day may be very near where everybody just...
I think the Yen is not bottoming yet but a huge retracement is coming anytime soon.
As to the Aussie, an overdue breakout to the upside is in the cards.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,788
  • Feb 3, 2013 7:57am Feb 3, 2013 7:57am
EURYPY Monthly - 020113

Is this a reversal or just a pop?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EY-020113-M.JPG Size: 67 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,789
  • Feb 3, 2013 8:00am Feb 3, 2013 8:00am
"Growth in China's increasingly important services sector ticked up slightly in January, the fourth straight monthly rise, adding to evidence that the recovery in the world's second-largest economy is a modest one. China's official purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the non-manufacturing sector rose to 56.2 in January from 56.1 in December, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Sunday."
-CNBC-
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,790
  • Feb 3, 2013 8:02am Feb 3, 2013 8:02am
Quoting DaddyBear
I think the Yen is not bottoming yet but a huge retracement is coming anytime soon.
As to the Aussie, an overdue breakout to the upside is in the cards.
You may be right BUT the extreme commercial COT net short position in the AUD will have to change for the better first. In other words, we're weeks and possibly months away from a resumption of the uptrend. Maybe after the retracement in the yen and euro are finished, we'll see that uptrend crank back up. The COT is never wrong. Now the news in Australia and China is confirming the COT setup. More will surely come.
  • #26,791
  • Feb 3, 2013 8:05am Feb 3, 2013 8:05am
The Aussie will have a very volatile week ahead.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,792
  • Feb 3, 2013 11:26am Feb 3, 2013 11:26am
Quoting DaddyBear
The Aussie will have a very volatile week ahead.
Or not and continue what it has been doing .
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #26,793
  • Feb 3, 2013 12:53pm Feb 3, 2013 12:53pm
Quoting DaddyBear
The Aussie will have a very volatile week ahead.

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/currency-wars-heating-up-again-what-it-means-for-you-51321
  • #26,794
  • Feb 3, 2013 1:27pm Feb 3, 2013 1:27pm
Quoting forexalien
Or not and continue what it has been doing .
Gap up. This is just the beginning...
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,795
  • Feb 3, 2013 2:05pm Feb 3, 2013 2:05pm
good evening,

added short @ 1.0428
AU H1:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Picture0140.jpg Size: 107 KB
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #26,796
  • Feb 3, 2013 2:48pm Feb 3, 2013 2:48pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Gap up. This is just the beginning...
Of the end......hehehe. Take care Bear ...
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #26,797
  • Feb 3, 2013 2:59pm Feb 3, 2013 2:59pm
Quoting forexalien
This post has not changed in the last 2 months, I know PA moves the stochastics, Price is falling, Blue colored stochastic has crowned to the downside. You can see where all 3 stochastics have topped back in July of 2011.
The Green Stochastic continues it's trip downward with the PA triangle....
The Black stochastic has made a higher high ,BUT the PA has made a lower low, so I am reporting Divergance to the downside.
Now while anything can happen to move these items higher, the possibility is unlikely.
The Black Stochastic at this time is moving...

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1359820173
Alien, could you update this chart?
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,798
  • Feb 3, 2013 3:02pm Feb 3, 2013 3:02pm
Quoting forexalien
Of the end......hehehe. Take care Bear ...
This is just the beginning... of the end ..... of the bears.........
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,799
  • Feb 3, 2013 3:04pm Feb 3, 2013 3:04pm
Quoting USD-Bear
good evening,

added short @ 1.0428
AU H1:
Attachment

Good evening, you just made a wrong move......... IMO.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,800
  • Feb 3, 2013 3:04pm Feb 3, 2013 3:04pm
Quoting DaddyBear
This is just the beginning... of the end ..... of the bears.........
why's that Daddy?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
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