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  • #26,721
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:17am Feb 2, 2013 9:17am
Quoting Arel
this is usually what happens. i get stopped out at BE. this has nothing with luck to do right?
it just touches the BE and turns back immediately.
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1359779985 (http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=1128644&d=1359779985)

Maybe Monitor your trade with fibo retracement from the New Low back after your trade to the Old High before your trade and set SL on the Fibo levels.......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: a fibo monitor.JPG Size: 82 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #26,722
  • Edited 10:35am Feb 2, 2013 9:24am | Edited 10:35am
Quoting forexalien
You are very good with " Picture Stories ", It is the best way to teach and get your point across to others..... They work well if you want someone to remember something or change their feelings about something......
To be able to change one's feelings will make them remember your thoughts......
I believe Aliens have higher IQ than humans. To deliver one's thoughts to the audience, using analogies is
a better way to do it. Never use an apple to decipher another apple.

Jesus always talked in this way, so did Zen masters.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: BEAR VIEW-2.JPG Size: 78 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,723
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:28am Feb 2, 2013 9:28am
Quoting forexalien
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1359779985 (http://www.forexfactory.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=1128644&d=1359779985)

Maybe Monitor your trade with fibo retracement from the New Low back after your trade to the Old High before your trade and set SL on the Fibo levels.......

How would one exactly go about that? Just pick a level and then a random number of pips away from that level?
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #26,724
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:36am Feb 2, 2013 9:36am
Quoting maximmm
I'm very excited because of two very bearish monthly candles (they are not bearish on their own, but they imply a very bearish month ahead).
I know you have been very bearish for quite a while but I really cannot find that two candles in the monthly chart. May I suggest you going to this place at a high plateau........
Attached Image
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,725
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:39am Feb 2, 2013 9:39am
Quoting GnarlyPips
How would one exactly go about that? Just pick a level and then a random number of pips away from that level?
GP IMO there is no set rule of placing SL. It depends on one's trading style and risk tolerance.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,726
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:42am Feb 2, 2013 9:42am
Quoting maximmm
I'm very excited because of two very bearish monthly candles (they are not bearish on their own, but they imply a very bearish month ahead).
I hope you have learned from last poll result and not to make same judgment this time....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: POLL.JPG Size: 71 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,727
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:52am Feb 2, 2013 9:52am
Quoting DaddyBear
Can you post a chart to support your opinion?
look at monthly chart - both candles for the past two months are inverse hammers.

Having said that, it is possible that we will see yet another inverse hammer next month (which would imply that it'll be yet another consolidation month - unlikely, but I suppose there's always that possibility). The point being, aud will not go much higher until it goes much lower first.
  • #26,728
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:53am Feb 2, 2013 9:53am
This post has not changed in the last 2 months, I know PA moves the stochastics, Price is falling, Blue colored stochastic has crowned to the downside. You can see where all 3 stochastics have topped back in July of 2011.
The Green Stochastic continues it's trip downward with the PA triangle....
The Black stochastic has made a higher high ,BUT the PA has made a lower low, so I am reporting Divergance to the downside.
Now while anything can happen to move these items higher, the possibility is unlikely.
The Black Stochastic at this time is moving lower......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: a month 2-2.JPG Size: 170 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #26,729
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:57am Feb 2, 2013 9:57am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Sorry my friend, my outlook is debt bubble implodes, Fed forced to inflate, USD collapse.

I do not want this, so hope I am wrong and sorry to be so depressing on the weekend, but that is my view based on a lot of thinking and analysis.

Since I am a positive person, the good news is we come out better the other side and there will be a massive transfer of wealth.
I guess you overlooked my messages last night. Oil fracking is the key to turn this issue around.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,730
  • Feb 2, 2013 9:58am Feb 2, 2013 9:58am
Quoting forexalien
This post has not changed in the last 2 months, I know PA moves the stochastics, Price is falling, Blue colored stochastic has crowned to the downside. You can see where all 3 stochastics have topped back in July of 2011.
The Green Stochastic continues it's trip downward with the PA triangle....
The Black stochastic has made a higher high ,BUT the PA has made a lower low, so I am reporting Divergance to the downside.
Now while anything can happen to move these items higher, the possibility is unlikely.
The Black Stochastic at this time is moving...
Hmm... weird but... that kind of divergence would imply that aud will go up (even in that case, it will go down a 100 pips prior to that major move up - as per the inverse hammer candle rule)
  • #26,731
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:06am Feb 2, 2013 10:06am
Quoting forexalien
This post has not changed in the last 2 months, I know PA moves the stochastics, Price is falling, Blue colored stochastic has crowned to the downside. You can see where all 3 stochastics have topped back in July of 2011.
The Green Stochastic continues it's trip downward with the PA triangle....
The Black stochastic has made a higher high ,BUT the PA has made a lower low, so I am reporting Divergance to the downside.
Now while anything can happen to move these items higher, the possibility is unlikely.
The Black Stochastic at this time is moving...
Let me offer my 2 cents to balance your view.

The maximum stochastic or momentum is not always the highest level of an uptrend. When a car ran out of the fuel at a very high speed, it wouldn't stop right away. This happens to a PA as well.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,732
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:07am Feb 2, 2013 10:07am
Quoting maximmm
Hmm... weird but... that kind of divergence would imply that aud will go up (even in that case, it will go down a 100 pips prior to that major move up - as per the inverse hammer candle rule)
Does your the inverse hammer candle rule always work?
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #26,733
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:10am Feb 2, 2013 10:10am
Quoting DaddyBear
Let me offer my 2 cents to balance your view.

The maximum stochastic or momentum is not always the highest level of an uptrend. When a car ran out of the fuel at a very high speed, it wouldn't stop right away. This happens to a PA as well.
Understood, doesn't the Aud look like it is coasting here and out of gas.....?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: a week 2-2.JPG Size: 199 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #26,734
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:13am Feb 2, 2013 10:13am
Quoting maximmm
look at monthly chart - both candles for the past two months are inverse hammers.

Having said that, it is possible that we will see yet another inverse hammer next month (which would imply that it'll be yet another consolidation month - unlikely, but I suppose there's always that possibility). The point being, aud will not go much higher until it goes much lower first.
Using candlesticks literally may lead one to believe an illusion as a solid object. Could you zoom out the chart to get a bigger picture?
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,735
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:14am Feb 2, 2013 10:14am
Quoting forexalien
Understood, doesn't the Aud look like it is coasting here and out of gas.....?
Contrary to your thinking. This is a continuation pattern.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,736
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:21am Feb 2, 2013 10:21am
In conclusion, we are at a high plateau but not at the peak....

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi..._Erciyes01.jpg
Georges Jansoone JoJan (http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:JoJan)
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,737
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:21am Feb 2, 2013 10:21am
Monthly chart - the market ran way up - STOPPED - tried for over a year to resume uptrend - FAILED - what happens when prices cannot rally ???

It goes this way :
Attached Image
  • #26,738
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:22am Feb 2, 2013 10:22am
We still have a long way to go before reaching the peak.....

Quoting DaddyBear
In conclusion, we are at a high plateau but not at the peak....

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi..._Erciyes01.jpg
Georges Jansoone JoJan (http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:JoJan)
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,739
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:25am Feb 2, 2013 10:25am
Quoting chiknthief
Monthly chart - the market ran way up - STOPPED - tried for over a year to resume uptrend - FAILED - what happens when prices cannot rally ???

It goes this way :
CHik, because you are a bear so that you see the trees not the forest.....
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,740
  • Feb 2, 2013 10:27am Feb 2, 2013 10:27am
Quoting DaddyBear
Contrary to your thinking. This is a continuation pattern.
Look at your monthly,weekly, daily (13) period ADX and tell me what you see......even the H4 and H1 are all down.....or flat with NO Power behind them....
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
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