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  • #26,681
  • Feb 1, 2013 12:12pm Feb 1, 2013 12:12pm
Quoting DaddyBear
A swift upward move after consolidation is next IMO.
Yes, I agree, looks like cz for move up.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,682
  • Feb 1, 2013 12:22pm Feb 1, 2013 12:22pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
Not sure, I think we get to same place. Sorry for kindergarten drawing but every time I put in real text, would ruin chart.
IMO......
Attached Image
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,683
  • Feb 1, 2013 12:37pm Feb 1, 2013 12:37pm
Quoting DaddyBear
IMO......
Ok thank you my friend, I figured that is what you meant but again, we share the same view and result.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,684
  • Edited 8:08pm Feb 1, 2013 1:13pm | Edited 8:08pm
Quoting DaddyBear
To put my vision to the test, I entered NADEX > 1.0440 options by 1500 EST at the minimum contract price $3. If I make it, the profit is going to be $100 - $5 = $95 per contract, a 1900% return in 4 hours.
50 minutes left. I don't think I can make it today. If it is not Friday afternoon, the probabilities could be higher. The Pivot is holding up the bulls.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,685
  • Feb 1, 2013 1:29pm Feb 1, 2013 1:29pm
Quoting DaddyBear
50 minutes left. I don't think I can make it today. If it is not Friday afternoon, the probabilities could be higher. The Pivot is holding up the bulls.
Sorry my friend, not a lot of liquidity and looks like it want to come down and cz first.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,686
  • Feb 1, 2013 1:33pm Feb 1, 2013 1:33pm
as long as the highs are lower and the lows are lower (LH's and LL's) bears are in charge, this might change above 1.0450:
Have a nice weekend all
AU H1:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Picture0138.jpg Size: 111 KB
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #26,687
  • Feb 1, 2013 1:55pm Feb 1, 2013 1:55pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
Sorry my friend, not a lot of liquidity and looks like it want to come down and cz first.
That is O.K. I only spent $4 for this trade. In the meantime, although I did not make it today, I realized one thing important for the future trades. I always looked at the possibility of reaching certain price level. Now I think it's better to trade reversely by looking at the impossibilities.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,688
  • Feb 1, 2013 1:56pm Feb 1, 2013 1:56pm
Quoting DaddyBear
That is O.K. I only spent $4 for this trade. In the meantime, although I did not make it today, I realized one thing important for the future trades. I always looked at the possibility of reaching certain price level. Now I think it's better to trade reversely by looking at the impossibilities.
Eliminate the impossible then....
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,689
  • Feb 1, 2013 1:58pm Feb 1, 2013 1:58pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
Eliminate the impossible then....
Regardless of what options are traded, trading the options can be done with different approaches.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,690
  • Feb 1, 2013 2:05pm Feb 1, 2013 2:05pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Regardless of what options are traded, trading the options can be done with different approaches.
Never done it with fx, used to trade equity options, but approach was probably unique to that market. I have experience with lots of markets but not currency options.

Might look into it someday when I get a chance. Always enjoyed them and r/r profile.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,691
  • Feb 1, 2013 2:09pm Feb 1, 2013 2:09pm
Quoting USD-Bear
as long as the highs are lower and the lows are lower (LH's and LL's) bears are in charge, this might change above 1.0450:
Have a nice weekend all
AU H1:
Attachment
Thank you for your bearish views. The trend is your friend until it ends.....

Maybe you should change your name to AUD-Bear? or USD-Bull?
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,692
  • Feb 1, 2013 2:23pm Feb 1, 2013 2:23pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
Thank you for your bearish views. The trend is your friend until it ends.....

Maybe you should change your name to AUD-Bear? or USD-Bull?
ah well, stupid name but can't change it anymore and the long run I'm happy with it though
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #26,693
  • Feb 1, 2013 2:36pm Feb 1, 2013 2:36pm
Quoting USD-Bear
ah well, stupid name but can't change it anymore and the long run I'm happy with it though
In the long run, we are all dead.

But I also agree with your outlook in the long run on USD.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #26,694
  • Feb 1, 2013 3:43pm Feb 1, 2013 3:43pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
Never done it with fx, used to trade equity options, but approach was probably unique to that market. I have experience with lots of markets but not currency options.

Might look into it someday when I get a chance. Always enjoyed them and r/r profile.
I think ChikBear is buying June futures Aussie put options deep out of the money. You may check this out with him [or her].
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,695
  • Feb 1, 2013 3:45pm Feb 1, 2013 3:45pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
In the long run, we are all dead.

But I also agree with your outlook in the long run on USD.
I wouldn't think so after l learned that the US is going to be the top oil producer by 20xx.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,696
  • Feb 1, 2013 4:11pm Feb 1, 2013 4:11pm
Quoting USD-Bear
as long as the highs are lower and the lows are lower (LH's and LL's) bears are in charge, this might change above 1.0450:
Have a nice weekend all
AU H1:
Attachment

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1359747199
Although LH and LL are good inidications of a downtrend, they may not be that reliable at the end of a trend IMO.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,697
  • Feb 1, 2013 4:12pm Feb 1, 2013 4:12pm
Quoting DaddyBear
I wouldn't think so after l learned that the US is going to be the top oil producer by 20xx.
Also, I believe the Aussie is going back to 0.6 or 0.5 in the foreseeable future.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,698
  • Feb 1, 2013 4:24pm Feb 1, 2013 4:24pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Also, I believe the Aussie is going back to 0.6 or 0.5 in the foreseeable future.
The main reason is that China's growth rate will keep dropping when the country is heading to a developed economy even it may takes a few decades to do so. Under such a scenario, the Aussie will return to its normal value sooner or later.

A double digits growth rate in the past of China cannot be reproduced again in the future. Japan was a great economy. The average quality of its people is much higher than China's. But, Japan still cannot repeat its golden era. With its one party authoritarian rule and internal social inequity, China's fate will not be any better than Japan.

Look at the US, a well developed and balanced nation. With the coming oil boom, she will be blessed by God from sea to shiny sea again.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,699
  • Feb 1, 2013 4:34pm Feb 1, 2013 4:34pm
Due to the high degree of transparency, the US has exposed all her issues in front of everyone in the world. Contrary to this, China has had no transparency at all. The problems we have seen in China are only the tips of icebergs. This is the reason most people think the US is doomed and China is a rising star.
daddybearforex. com
  • #26,700
  • Feb 1, 2013 4:34pm Feb 1, 2013 4:34pm
America'll be fracking rich.
I see Beasts. I drop my scalpel and beckon to theatre nurse: "Charts!&
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