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AUD/USD

  • #57,441
  • Jan 30, 2013 4:22am Jan 30, 2013 4:22am
Finding slight support on 50SMA hourly time frame. US Figures out tonight so may have an impact.
  • #57,442
  • Jan 30, 2013 9:21am Jan 30, 2013 9:21am
I'll soon find out if this 45 degree angle will hold up or not. (What was once resistance is now support type thing). Went long @ 1.0406. Thinking about keeping this open for a swing trade. Targeting the 1.060x area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #57,443
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:14am Jan 30, 2013 10:14am
Aud/Usd H4 and Weekly EWC
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud h4.gif Size: 25 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: aud weekly.gif Size: 27 KB
  • #57,444
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:29am Jan 30, 2013 10:29am
Some new people say they are here to learn.
To those who think that playing the news is smart I ask to read this post from my blog.

"Do you think facts and 'Truth' (i.e. market news) make money?"

Read this and think again: http://wp.me/p2oF7p-pr

My opinion, of course, but found that a few successful traders agree with that article.

Let me know your thoughts...
"markets traded by programs/HFT offer a significant trading edge..."
  • #57,445
  • Jan 30, 2013 8:10pm Jan 30, 2013 8:10pm
Update on the NZD/CHF chart I posted here earlier when at the top of the channel. Reached the bottom of the channel now but will not be buying, prefer sell signals. Staying short kiwi and Oz though against U.S. now instead of CHF.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #57,446
  • Jan 30, 2013 9:02pm Jan 30, 2013 9:02pm
I like that weekly Aussie chart above. Been selling rallies but having to cover on dips because it's so bouyant. In case it falls vertically without me I've bought .9800 One Touch options for 2.5% cost of payout. Bit of a lotto ticket I suppose....
  • #57,447
  • Jan 31, 2013 10:48am Jan 31, 2013 10:48am
aud usd

time h4- pattern ; bat

http://pcmbrokers.org/pcmfileupload/...9650616881.gif
  • #57,448
  • Feb 3, 2013 7:02am Feb 3, 2013 7:02am
Quite a bit of whipsaw in the USD on friday with all the news releases.
  • #57,449
  • Feb 3, 2013 7:08pm Feb 3, 2013 7:08pm
More poor Australian economic data.
Will the RBA drop rates?
They should because the poor data has been consistent despite interest rate decline and govt stimulus.
The RBA will probably be swayed a bouyant stockmarket and house prices on a small upward rebound.
With so many complaints about a high dollar from the PM down the only mechanism that will make it fall is lower rates.
The risk remains for a cut as most have suggested they remain on hold
  • #57,450
  • Feb 4, 2013 6:42am Feb 4, 2013 6:42am
RD in the direction of the trend. It is bullish.
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Making pips is easy, holding 'em is hard - Pipsopolis
  • #57,451
  • Feb 4, 2013 4:23pm Feb 4, 2013 4:23pm
market pricing out a cut. aussie stock market and most of the shares in it are at or exceeding 2007 levels
  • #57,452
  • Feb 4, 2013 5:05pm Feb 4, 2013 5:05pm
Global markets finally waking up to the global equity rally with problems still an issue.
Not looking at conspiracies but this seems manufactured rather than from legitimate reasons.

As we turn our head towards RBA's rate cut decision today the economy is weak. On top of that we have had floods and bushfires affecting our agricultural business. Job losses and revenue falls expected.

Market has factored in no change - the smart punter will be going short into these numbers on a sneaky off chance of a rate cut.. risk reward get onboard !
  • #57,453
  • Feb 4, 2013 5:12pm Feb 4, 2013 5:12pm
Quoting lasty
Global markets finally waking up to the global equity rally with problems still an issue.
Not looking at conspiracies but this seems manufactured rather than from legitimate reasons.

As we turn our head towards RBA's rate cut decision today the economy is weak. On top of that we have had floods and bushfires affecting our agricultural business. Job losses and revenue falls expected.

Market has factored in no change - the smart punter will be going short into these numbers on a sneaky off chance of a rate cut.. risk reward get onboard !

Agreed, AUD/USD is still range bound just like it has been for basically the past 3-4 months. Market has not priced in anything and in fact, IF the RBA were to cut rates this time around we could see a MASSIVE sell off. Not saying they will, however, I see more risk longing AUD/USD then going short at this time.

Needless to say, I am on the sidelines with AUD/USD as there is nothing going on with this pair as of late.
  • #57,454
  • Feb 5, 2013 4:23pm Feb 5, 2013 4:23pm
Aussie under pressure again and even a mild rally in equities cant take it higher.

Many are covering crosses and this could lead to a weakening AUD

The deliberate weakening of the yen will put pressure on the aud downside as well

Are people short? NO they are complacent and this can lead to a major sell off.

Sub parity can be a blink of the eye and no ones on it yet they have been talking about shorting it ... missed the boat syndrome..

Been there seen that .. oh so many times.
  • #57,455
  • Feb 5, 2013 4:30pm Feb 5, 2013 4:30pm
Quoting lasty
Aussie under pressure again and even a mild rally in equities cant take it higher.

Many are covering crosses and this could lead to a weakening AUD

The deliberate weakening of the yen will put pressure on the aud downside as well

Are people short? NO they are complacent and this can lead to a major sell off.

Sub parity can be a blink of the eye and no ones on it yet they have been talking about shorting it ... missed the boat syndrome..

Been there seen that .. oh so many times.
I'm long EUR/AUD and am making a killing with it. In a way that is shorting the AUD...
  • #57,456
  • Feb 5, 2013 5:18pm Feb 5, 2013 5:18pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
I'm long EUR/AUD and am making a killing with it. In a way that is shorting the AUD...
Yup nice trading and loved your conviction yesterday
  • #57,457
  • Feb 5, 2013 5:19pm Feb 5, 2013 5:19pm
Quoting lasty
Yup nice trading and loved your conviction yesterday
Haha, thanks!
  • #57,458
  • Feb 5, 2013 7:30pm Feb 5, 2013 7:30pm
How much more evidence does the RBA need to cut interest rates?

The tsunami is building for an Aussie dump..
  • #57,459
  • Feb 5, 2013 7:31pm Feb 5, 2013 7:31pm
Quoting lasty
How much more evidence does the RBA need to cut interest rates?

The tsunami is building for an Aussie dump..
I think all of this bad Econ data is doing it for them... LOL

They would have been smart to cut BEFORE the bad data kept piling up. They're kind of waiting until it's too late
  • #57,460
  • Feb 5, 2013 7:45pm Feb 5, 2013 7:45pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
I think all of this bad Econ data is doing it for them... LOL

They would have been smart to cut BEFORE the bad data kept piling up. They're kind of waiting until it's too late
You know how they work .. they over tighten and under cut..
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