Attachments: Macroeconomic Analysis

Macroeconomic Analysis

#721
Jan 9, 2013 11:51am Jan 9, 2013 11:51am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

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Some notes/charts about IFO Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► European benchmarks (general; single countries);
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ IFO Previous studies/charts: oct.2011 -- jan.2012 -- apr.2012 -- jul.2012.
❖ ZEW Previous studies/charts sep.2011 -- jul.2012.

Some ⒾⒻⓄ curves (Architects Survey).

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#722
Jan 10, 2013 6:06am Jan 10, 2013 6:06am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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Some notes/charts about IFO Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► European benchmarks (general; single countries);
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ IFO Previous studies/charts: oct.2011 -- jan.2012 -- apr.2012 -- jul.2012.
❖ ZEW Previous studies/charts sep.2011 -- jul.2012.

Some ⒾⒻⓄ curves (World data).
See also German & Architects data.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#723
Jan 10, 2013 9:12am Jan 10, 2013 9:12am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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Some notes/charts about Some Italian Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► European benchmarks (general; single countries);
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Source 1 -- 2.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#724
Jan 13, 2013 4:35pm Jan 13, 2013 4:35pm

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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Some notes/charts about SUN benchmarks.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ SUN benchmarks (others), june.2012.
❖ SUN benchmarks (KWT & TAN) mag.2012, & 2008.
❖ ⒻⓈⓁⓇ review of previous charts & studies; ⒻⓈⓁⓇ recent up-date; main Pv companies.
❖ PV-data; thin-film review.
❖ Some commodity (previous 2010-charts; 2012-charts) for PV-panels: Cd -- Ga -- In -- Se -- Si -- Te.
❖ Sun 'nrg' stocks-benchmarks: KWT; TAN; SOLEX; comparative curve vs. wind-benchmarks; KWT, TAN, FAN, PWND charts & data.

In this post there are some resources in order to complete a study on SUN benchmarks.

COMPARATIVE CURVES:
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1

KWT:
RSI, MACD, RoC -- Slow Stock., DMI, Slow Volat. -- Monthly -- yearly.
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1

TAN:
RSI, MACD, RoC -- Slow Stock., DMI, Slow Volat. -- Monthly -- yearly.
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

#725
Jan 14, 2013 10:15am Jan 14, 2013 10:15am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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Some notes/charts about SUN benchmarks.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ SUN benchmarks (others), june.2012.
❖ SUN benchmarks (KWT & TAN) mag.2012, & 2008.
❖ ⒻⓈⓁⓇ review of previous charts & studies; ⒻⓈⓁⓇ recent up-date; main Pv companies.
❖ PV-data; thin-film review.
❖ Some commodity (previous 2010-charts; 2012-charts) for PV-panels: Cd -- Ga -- In -- Se -- Si -- Te.
❖ Sun 'nrg' stocks-benchmarks: long term curves; KWT; TAN; SOLEX; comparative curve vs. wind-benchmarks; KWT, TAN, FAN, PWND charts & data.

In this post there are some graphical signs & signal of an 'in-progress' reversal of main trend of SUN benchmarks, in order to complete a next study on this sector.

Weekly Chart:
-) Curve above the short-mid term descending rectangle (gray-area).
-) Curve inside the giant descending rectangle (see white-cone).
-) Curve in full ascending test of Quadruple 10mo. average (yellow-lines: sma, ema, fwma, vwma) (yellow arrow).
-) Curve inside the first giant priceXvolume column (see marker on price-axis).
*Interesting levels: lows of 2011; second giant priceXvolume column (see marker on price-axis).

h4 Chart:
-) Confirmed H&S bullish (target as gray-column) (see also the full ascending test of [i]Quadruple 10mo. average as yellow-line).
*Interesting levels: price-area of april/2012.

Monthly Chart:
-) Stop of descending lows (blue markers), with a reversal candle (in pink).
-) New top in line with previous top of june/2012 (white-line).
* Interesting levels: lows of oct.-dec./2011 & jan.feb./2012 (circled zones).

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#726
Jan 20, 2013 11:34am Jan 20, 2013 11:34am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/chart?...I%3AUS&img=png

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#727
Jan 20, 2013 3:26pm Jan 20, 2013 3:26pm

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/chart?...I%3AUS&img=png
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/chart?...G%3AUS&img=png

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#728
Jan 21, 2013 11:46am Jan 21, 2013 11:46am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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#729
Jan 22, 2013 8:35am Jan 22, 2013 8:35am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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Some notes/charts about ITA benchmarks. EWI.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► Italian stocks-benchmarks (FTSE/MIB; IT/DOW; IT/DOW Titan30; IT/MSCI; GlobalComit; Comit/30; Comit/Perf.);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous EWI studies: jul.2011 -- aug.2011 -- jan.2012 -- jan.2012 -- apr.2012 -- june.2012 -- EWI vs. EWG jan.2013
❖ Previous FTSE/MIB studies: jul.2011 -- aug.2011 -- jan.2012 -- june.2012 -- june.2012
❖ Previous DJ-ITA studies: jul.2011 -- aug.2011 -- jan.2012 -- jun.2012.
❖ Previous Comit & Sole24h studies: jan2012.
❖ Comparation between international & Italian benchmarks.

In this post there is a mini-review of EWI studies.
According to jan.2012 study, the main & new graphical notes are as follows (levels as monthly ema/1).
* The multiple horizontal-levels on 2001/2002/2003/2010 lows, is very important for the future evolution of EWI prices; now the prices are in hard (ascending) test of this zone; this is a long-term pull-back (???) until a (consistently & persistently) break of this zone (15.04/13.52$; maximum extension is the top of 1994: 16.35$).
* Prices are very distant from the triple 50%FIB (1992/2007; 2001/2007; 2007/2009), a real bad structural signal in play.
* Prices are well below main ascending lines from 1992/2001-2003 lows, a continuation-bear signal; a recovery until to 17.50/18.20$ zone (II pink area) is a simple long-term pull-back ???
* Prices are inside a secondary descending (red) channel, a continuation-bear signal for mid-term.
* From 2009, prices have builded a cup or double-tops (see gray-area 2009/2011: neck as 20.04/19.42$), based on 2010-lows, with price-targets on the charts (gray basal zone: 8.4/8.8$, about realized in 2012 !!!).
* Recent tops (2009/2011/2012) in hard bearish-array, a continuation-bear sign for mid-term, but with top of 2013 > 2012 !!!
* Prices now are well above Q/10.
* Prices are in full ascending-test of the parallel-line to 1992-2001-2003 (from 2009-lows), a critical recovery in order to stop the beast-bear.
* Prices are in full ascending test of the descending dotted lines from two 2007-tops !!!
Moreover, there are also these ''inside'' data (real candle-prices).
* The inside of oct.2011 is failed (dwn-target 7.3/7.5$), but the key levels (Top/Low/Mid: 15.02/11.24/13.13$) are still in the game.
* The inside of 2009 shows a failed attempt of break of low; also in this inside, the key levels (Top/Low/Mid: 21.77/9.53/15.65$) are still in the game.
The divergences and the array of triggers (yellow lines: see arrows) of the monthly-oscillators, called for a continuation-bull of the trend started in the 2012.

Price-clusters
◮ 22.53/24.38$: triple 50%FIB; this cluster is in wonder set-up with III pink-area.
◮ 19.42/20.04$: final step of price-recovery, after the 2011-SellOff.
◮ 16.35/18.20$: second price-revovery, after the 2011-SellOff, with important stop of structural bear because of prices above also the top of 1994; this cluster is in wonder set-up with ema/96mo.
◮ 13.52/15.65$: first price-revovery, after the 2011-SellOff; this cluster is in wonder set-up with ema/48mo.
♥ 14.30$ actual price.
10.40$: 2011-lows.
9.53/8.40$.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/chart?...I%3AUS&img=png

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#730
Jan 24, 2013 5:59am Jan 24, 2013 5:59am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

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Some notes/charts about GANN's January rule.

In this post (see previous) there is a platform of links for several benchmarks, in order to see the key-prices of the GANN's Jannuary Rule or Effect.
The rule is the following:
"Watch January 2nd to 7th and 15th to 21st; watch these time periods each year and note the high and low prices. Until these high prices are crossed or low prices broken, consider the trend up or down."

► European stocks-benchmarks: $E1DOW, $EUR, $STOX5E, $STOXX600, $DAX, $CAC, $MIB, $IBEX, $PSI, $ATG, $FTSE, $SMI, EWG, EWI, EWL, EWO, EWP, EWQ, EWU.

► Japan stocks: $INJ, $JPDOW, $JPN, $XLJPNTR, $NIKK, $NK300, ITF.

► Biotech.: $BTK, $NBI, $DJUSPN, $DJUSBT, $GSPPHB, $DZO.

► Financial benchmarks: $W1FIN, $DJUSFN, $DJUSBK; $SPF, $BIX, $XBD, IAI.

► US stocks-sectors: XLY, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLE, XLP, XLV, XLU, XLF.
► US tech.benchmarks: $COMPQ, $TXX, $IXT, $RITEC, $NDX, $PSE, $MLO, $NDXT, $MSH, $DJTTHE.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks: QQQ, ONEQ, DIA, OEF, SPY.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks: EUSA, $SPSUPX, IWB, IWV, IYY, TMW, WFVK.

► global World stocks-benchmarks: ACWI, DGT, EWAC, FTSE/AllWorld, IOO, NYSE W.L.I., ONEF, VT.

► Currency futures/ETF: $USD, $XEU, $XJY, $XBP, $CDW, $XAD, $XSF, $ZAR, FXRU.

► US Gov.Bond Prices: $USB, $UST, $USFV, $USTU.

► Commodity Indexes: $CRB, $DJAIG, $GKX, $GJX, $GYX, $GPX, $GVX, $WTIC, $BRENT, $NATGAS, WOOD, $BDI.
► Metals: $GOLD, $PLAT, $SILVER, $PALL, $COPPER, RJZ, JJM, JJP, WITE, LIT, REMX.

► CBOE Volatility & Option Indicators: $VIX, $VXO, $VXN, $RVX, $CPC.

► Breadth Indicators: $BPCOMPQ, $BPNDX, $BPSPX, $BPNYA, $NYA200r, $NASI, $NAMO.

► Rule source.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1
http://www.marketwatch.com/kaavio.We...720&mocktick=1

#731
Jan 28, 2013 7:40am Jan 28, 2013 7:40am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀
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Some notes/charts about ⒶⒶⓅⓁ.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/chart?...L%3AUS&img=png http://i1-news.softpedia-static.com/...ttsburgh-2.jpg
General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ISI; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ REUT-Fin.Data -- Fin.Data -- FINVIZ-Fin.Data -- BARCH-Fin.Data -- GOOG Fin.Data -- ZACK Fin.Data -- Y-Fin.Data -- SEC -- Owners -- Insiders -- Short-data -- Options -- Analysts -- NEWSbyGOOG.
❖ Previous charts/studies: 2011; apr.2012; apr.2012; apr.2012 (long-term waves); mag.2012; sep.2012; oct.2012; nov.2012; yearly-candle-2012.

The previous alert of september 2012 has a giant gain (see also the review of nov.2012 for some important structural alerts).
In the attached chart there are some short & mid-term structures in progress (dark-yellow & dark-gray areas).

❖ Watch also these charts: RSI, MACD, RoC -- Slow Stock., DMI, Slow Volat. -- Monthly candles-format -- Monthly ema-format -- yearly-chart -- January Rule -- December Rule -- interesting chart.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
Ⓘℳ☢ ℬɣ $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
₭€$AⅅⅅhAPhA'pe'₭AℳℙA' ℬunda-ℬunda €MP¥R€ ❣❣❣

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#732
Jan 28, 2013 3:56pm Jan 28, 2013 3:56pm

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

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Some notes/charts about CBOE Put/Call LEAPS.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous studies: 2009/2010; 2010/2011; 2012.

In this post there are some notes regarding CBOE Put Call r-spread ⓁⒶⒺⓅⓈ, an indicator option-based and about contrarian to underlyings main trend.
This indicator is useful in order to study the position of investors, inside the option-market with frame > 3y.
Obviously this indicator must be coordinated to the study of others P/C indicators (total, indexes, equity, CBOE, ISE/EUREX) and of the Volatility & BuyWrite indicators.

From the previous charts, we can see that investors, in 2005 (II quarter) / 2006 (I quarter), were over-invested in puts for long-term on S&P500 (r-spread > 1.0-line).
The long-term investors on CBOE-options investors, according to the double-tops of 2005/2006, had bet violently in puts>>calls, with 10/8 quarters in advance from the 2007-top, with 14/12 quarters from 2008-lows, and with 15/13 quarters from 2009-lows.
The SellOff of underlyings start when the curve goes above the descending dotted-line (tops of 2005-2006) in the second half of 2007 !!!
In 2010 the curve goes in a second SkyRocket phase, with a top in the first quarter of 2010 (strong reversal of investor-positions in option-market, with puts>>calls and curve well above 1-line) !!!
There is also a similar behavioural pattern of curve vs. main trend-lines in 2010 vs. 2005/2006 !!!
It possible to observe the same count & time-evolution, seen in 2005/2006 (tops of indicator) vs. 2007/2009 (top&lows of underlyings) ???
If yes, the next time-targets are the followings:
next underlying (S&P500) top: I or III quarter of 2012 (as 8 or 10 quarter, as 2005/2006 phase);
nxt underlying (S&P500) lows: I or III quarter 2013 for the first low, and II or IV quarter of 2013 for the final low.
In the 2012 year there are two main tops: I & III quarters !!!

The actual chart-structure shows the following graphical elements.
*) Curve inside the horizontal rectangle (see two binary elements with white-squares); no phase of uncontrollable financial stress.
*) Curve in ascending-array from mid-2010 lows (divergence vs. underlyings).
*) Curve in 2011 goes well above the descending & dotted-line from the 2010-top (the parallel to descending-line from 2005-2006 tops); also in this case with an important bear phase on underlyings (indicator < 1.0-level) !!!
*) Actual levels about 'in-line' vs. tops of second half of 2008 & 2009 !!!
*) Curve is inside a giant triangle: up red-line from 2005-top; down green-line from 2010/2011/2012 lows.

Notes
The key graphical element for the long-term evolution of LEAPS indicator is the giant triangle.
The evolution of curve outside the triangle, is an important step for the next evolution of this indicator in the future (next 3y).
The short-term key-element is the seup-up zone between the upper-line of triangle and the upper binary levels of horizontal rectangle (the pink-area).
Prices of this indicator above the pink-area is a very dangerous signal for the mid-term evolution of underlyings.
Alert for the next exit of the curve from the triangle.
Warning: this is an experimental & graphical only study !!!

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#733
Jan 30, 2013 9:59am Jan 30, 2013 9:59am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about Global Stocks-Benchmarks.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous short reviews: oct.2011 -- sep.2012 -- oct.2012.
❖ IOO & DJW: aug.2011 -- aug.2011 -- feb.2012 -- feb.2012 -- aug.2012.
❖ NYSE W.L.I.: feb.2012.

On the global stocks-benchmarks we can see an important '' cup in progress '' playing on the top of 2011 (cup-area as dark-blue levels).
Prices now are in full ascending-test of the 2011-top.
Alert for important price-evolution !!!
The inner cup (pink rectangles: 2012), it is already in bullish-status, and could be the Graphical Ɖetonator.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#734
Feb 2, 2013 4:59pm Feb 2, 2013 4:59pm

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about €/¥.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖Previous €/US$ studies: nov.2012 -- july.2012 -- may.2012 -- july.2011 -- may.2010.
❖Previous Forex pairs: € / SwF -- € / ￥, -- € / GBP -- € / Cd$ -- € / ZAR -- € / Nz$ -- € / Au$.

In this post there are some structural notes about FOREX cross €/¥ (spot-data).
The main graphical elements are the followings (curve pre-2001 as € = E.C.U.).
-) The structural trend is in bearish-status, but with an important first stop in 2003 (see red & bold dottend line from 1982 tops).
-) From the lows of 2000 we can see an important & long-term side zone (bold & dottend ''heart''-lines), with ascending-array of key lows & tops (blue arrows); this is a sign of stop of bear-pressure (alert on the key level of 50%) !!! Possible bullish target as bold & dottend ''heart''-line at about 245/250 level in the 2013/2016.
-) The bearish-cup 2009-2010 ('A' or gray-area) shows an about completed target at 2012-lows !!!
-) Actual price-SkyRocket shows a full ascending-test of the previous key-level (see dark-red circles: 122.0/125.6) of 2003/2004 lows and 1997 lows; this bullish-mouvement shows the same structure of previous bullish-actions in 2000, 1995, 1989, and shows a structure of ''in-progress'' cup ('B' or dark-green zone: possible bullish-target as dark-green column).
-) Prices are now above the M/10 and also above to superior ema (important reversal signal).
-) Triple RoC and other oscillators shows important positive divergences between tops/lows of 2008/2013.
-) SuperTrend show important buy-signal.

Notes.
Actual level of €/¥ is in full ascending-test of the first Graphical Ɖetonator (binary horizontal levels 122.0/125.6).
Only with prices well above this critical zone (start of the 'B'-cup), there will be the end of a simple recovery and the start of a structural revelsal.
Curve in continuation-bear below this critical zone, increases the probability of new SellOff.
The second & structural Graphical Ɖetonator is the multiple set-up area among, 50% level of side zone (''heart''-lines), vs. two descending lines (one from the historical top), vs. 1989-lows.
Curve above this multiple set-up increases the probability of a full-test of upper level of side zone (''heart''-lines).

M/10 = Multiple 10mo. average (yellow-lines: sma, ema, fwma, vwma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma).

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#735
Feb 4, 2013 10:03am Feb 4, 2013 10:03am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about FED Financial Stress Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous St.Louis & Kansas Ind.: aug.2011
❖ Previous Chicago Ind.: aug.2011 (mega-chart) -- aug.2012.
❖ R.T. 5-curve charts.

In this post there are some structural notes about the FED Financial Stress Indicators (about contrarian to main trend of underlyings).
The main graphical elements are the followings.
St.Louis
-) Prices are well below the giant ascending channel (link of tops 1998/2008) from 2010 (see the interesting 2011/2012 ascending-test !!!
-) Prices are below the two key horizontal lines (in blue), with a preliminary activation of the cup/2010-2011 in bearish-status (see the possible target as yellow-dotted column).
-) Curve evolution in 2010/2013 (see the dark-red-descending channel), shows a bearish-array (positive signs vs. some important underlyings).
-) Curve well below the gray-zone 0-1 of ''under control'' financial stress (positive signs vs. some important underlyings).
Kansas
-) Graphical structure as the previous St.Louis Ind., except:
a. the cup/2010-2011, without a signal but in 'side-phase';
b. Prices well below the giant ascending channel (link of tops 1998/2008) from 2009.
Chicago - Adj.Fin.Cond.
-) Graphical structure as the previous Kansas Ind.
-) Moreover there is a giant triangle in closing.
Chicago - Lev.Fin.Cond.
-) Graphical structure as the previous Kansas Ind.
-) Moreover there is a giant triangle in closing.
Average Ind.
-) Graphical structure as the previous Kansas Ind.

Notes.
The long-term graphical structure is stress-less for underlyings, with very low evaluations. This conclusion is according to the position of curve vs. both giant ascending rectangle and the 0-1 gray-area.
The short-term structure shows a side-bearish array (descending red-channel), with a possible Graphical Ɖetonator as the cup/2010-2011.
For this last reason, alert(!) for the evolution of this cup (St.Louis in preliminar bearish signal !!!).

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#736
Feb 5, 2013 8:31am Feb 5, 2013 8:31am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about ITA Macroeconomic Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► Italian stocks-benchmarks (FTSE/MIB; IT/DOW; IT/DOW Titan30; IT/MSCI; GlobalComit; Comit/30; Comit/Perf.);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous EWI stocks-benchmark study: jan.2013.
❖ Previous Macroeconomic curves: may.2012.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#737
Feb 5, 2013 8:45am Feb 5, 2013 8:45am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about ITA Macroeconomic Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► Italian stocks-benchmarks (FTSE/MIB; IT/DOW; IT/DOW Titan30; IT/MSCI; GlobalComit; Comit/30; Comit/Perf.);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous EWI stocks-benchmark study: jan.2013.
❖ Previous Macroeconomic curves: may.2012 -- feb.2013.

Compare these curves with the previous charts:
tax burden or fiscal pressure; pensions; Debt/GDP per political leaders.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#738
Feb 8, 2013 10:29am Feb 8, 2013 10:29am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about FED Financial Stress Indicators.

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous studies.

In this post there are some structural notes about the two personal indicator obtaine from FED Financial Stress Indicators (about contrarian to main trend of underlyings).
The main graphical elements are the followings.
Chart 'A' or d-spread St.Louis&Kansas vs. Chicago Adj.Fin.Cond.
-) Prices are well below the giant ascending channel (link of tops 2001/2009) from 2009 (see the interesting 2010 ascending-test !!!
-) Prices are in preliminary activation of the cup/2010-2011 in bearish-status (see the possible target as yellow-dotted column), with a full descending test of the main line from 2008-lows (recent blue-circled-zone)
-) Curve evolution in 2010/2013 (see the dark-red-descending channel), shows a bearish-array (positive signs vs. some important underlyings).
-) Curve below the gray-zone 0-1 of ''under control'' financial stress (positive signs vs. some important underlyings).
Chicago not.Fin.Lev.Cond.
This indicator shows a curve behaviour very different from other FED indicators, with an about ''in-time'' reversals of slope, according to some main underlyings.
Chicago Credit & Risk
These two indicators are about similar to the first indicator and to St.Louis, particularly from 2002 tops !!!
Recent structure (2010/2013: circled) in bearish-array as St.Louis (see possible dwn-targets as columns pink & yellow).

Notes.
The long-term graphical structure is stress-less for underlyings, with very low evaluations. This conclusion is according to the position of curve vs. both giant ascending rectangle and the 0-1 gray-area.
The short-term structure shows a side-bearish array (descending red-channel), with a possible Graphical Ɖetonator as the cup/2010-2011 (Chart 'A' & 'C').
For this last reason, these systems shows an alert(!) for the possible evolution of this cup in a bearish signal (underlyings stress-less).

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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#739
Feb 9, 2013 11:21am Feb 9, 2013 11:21am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred...-09_2013-02-09
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred...ate=2013-02-09

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#740
Feb 11, 2013 4:38am Feb 11, 2013 4:38am

Sal.Vi
| Joined May 2010 | Status: Sa!Vi | 2,227 Posts

►►Financial Markets Observatory Lab.◀◀

❖ H! ALL ❖

Some notes/charts about U.S. S&P/100

General stocks-benchmarks as follows:
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; TMW);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).
❖ Previous charts/studies.
S&P 100 & 500: july.2010 -- oct.2010 -- dec.2010 -- july.2011 -- july.2011 -- feb.2012 -- feb.2012 -- sep.2012 -- sep.2012.
Barclays Benchmarks: sep.2012.
NYSE Comp.: oct.2010 -- sep.2012.
iShare Funds on MSCI Indexes: EWG -- EWI -- EWL -- EWO -- EWP -- EWQ -- EWU.
SMI: june.2010 -- sep.2012.
FTSE/100: oct.2010 -- sep.2012.
CAC/40: june.2010 -- sep.2012.
PSI/20: sep.2012.
IBEX/35: june.2010 -- sep.2012.
DAX/perform.: oct.2010 -- sep.2012.
BEL/20: sep.2012.

In this post there are some notes on long-term graphical structures of U.S. S&P/100 (see also S&P/500 Ind. for a comparation).
The first chart is a linear & monthly ema-format; the second is a linear & monthly candles-format (Q/10 or Quadruple 10mo. average as yellow-lines (sma, ema, fwma, vwma).
The graphical elements are the followings:
-) According to previous feb.2012 charts, the bullish-cup in candles-format 2011/2012 shows a price-target as 734$ (in ema-format see the dark-gray column on the price-axis).
-) Cup&Handle 2008/2011 (see gray areas) is in bullish-status with a target as the gray-column on the price-axis.
-) Giant triangle (apex in 2022 in the yellow circle) in 2012/2013 is in preliminar bullish status (see dark-blue column of 2012); target is the column of same color on price-axis. The triangle is the half of a giant diamond-structure (see S&P/500 diamond, with the 4 apexes in yellow-circles).
-) Giant descending (red) channel, in 2012/2013 is in preliminar bullish status; target as dotted-red line.
-) The possible wave simmetry (targets as orange stars: 667$ & 882$) and the target of inside-monthly oct.2012 (as green star: 673$), are showed in this previous post of sep.2012.
-) The big black&white diamond (490/580$ about on price-axis) is a main multiple set-up zone among these elements: Fib-levels vs. a giant diamond apex (or triangle) in yellow circle vs. some main horizontal levels vs. some giant priceXvolume columns. This area is the structural pivot for the switch bull/bear of this benchmark.

Notes.
A continuation-bull of prices above the giant red channel is a sign of great strength for S&P/100.
Only with prices below the big black&white diamond there will we the break of the structural bullish status of this index.
Alert for the price & time set-up marked with tiny yellow circles !!!
Follows also the January rule of Gann and the December Low Rule, for these benchmarks.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
ⒾM☢ ℬy $@❣♆￥ ►►♥

█║▌│││█║℠

║▌║▌▌║█

❤◀◀
K€$ADDhAPhA'pe'KAMPA': Bunda-Bunda €MP¥R€ ❣!❣

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