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  • #22,141
  • Jan 4, 2013 8:42am Jan 4, 2013 8:42am
Hello all.

1H charts
Am I mistaken?
What is your opinion?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD04_01_2013.jpg Size: 85 KB
  • #22,142
  • Jan 4, 2013 8:58am Jan 4, 2013 8:58am
We are back 100% to the daily open right now.
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #22,143
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:01am Jan 4, 2013 9:01am
Hey guys. I hope you had a good start of year!
I have been studying, see if I can follow you ...
  • #22,144
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:04am Jan 4, 2013 9:04am
Quoting IberoForex
Hello all.

1H charts
Am I mistaken?
What is your opinion?
The retracement is too high to reach. IMO

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1357310424
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,145
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:07am Jan 4, 2013 9:07am
Current/previous PA was a counter-correction pattern.

Quoting DaddyBear
The retracement is too high to reach. IMO

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1357310424
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,146
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:09am Jan 4, 2013 9:09am
Quoting DaddyBear
Current/previous PA was a counter-correction pattern.
The life span of such a pattern is limited based on its DNA.
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,147
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:13am Jan 4, 2013 9:13am
Quoting IberoForex
Hello all.

1H charts
Am I mistaken?
What is your opinion?

Choppy to down until mid march/first of april ------------ then big rally until first of june followed by a bear market to the first part of august.

HIGH of the year around June 1 (plus or minus one to two weeks)
  • #22,148
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:14am Jan 4, 2013 9:14am
Probably you're right DB. I've been to measure them and the biggest I found was this!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD04.jpg Size: 74 KB
  • #22,149
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:26am Jan 4, 2013 9:26am
Quoting chiknthief
Choppy to down until mid march/first of april ------------ then big rally until first of june followed by a bear market to the first part of august.

HIGH of the year around June 1 (plus or minus one to two weeks)
CHIKBEAR, could you post your seasonality chart?
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,150
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:28am Jan 4, 2013 9:28am
Quoting DaddyBear
CHIKBEAR, could you post your seasonality chart?
Although I am not a fan of the seasonality chart, it may be useful to others in this forum.
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,151
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:34am Jan 4, 2013 9:34am
Quoting IberoForex
Probably you're right DB. I've been to measure them and the biggest I found was this!
You were looking for the top of the clouds. The clouds could be too thick IMO.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1357312488
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,152
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:35am Jan 4, 2013 9:35am
Quoting DaddyBear
Good morning alien and everyone! Have a nice trading day!!!
Quote
What I see is a continued weakness in the coming sessions. IMO

Good morning Daddybear and all.

Agreed, add sh at 58 today.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #22,153
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:46am Jan 4, 2013 9:46am
Quoting DaddyBear
CHIKBEAR, could you post your seasonality chart?

I can't do it. It comes via subscription and 'copy and pasting' has been blocked/disabled. All I can do is relay the message. (darn thing is 80 pages long covering almost every market segment you can think of)

FYI - its not seasonals, it is cycle projections to give a general road map for the year. Some markets occasionally go counter cycle so paying close attention to the turning point timeframes is more important than which way its trending prior to the turning point timeframes. Its best to be on the lookout for MAJOR turning points around those dates. Minor swings up and down are not calculated into the BIG PICTURE cycle projections. These are only the MAJOR turning points........................Mark your calenders.
  • #22,154
  • Jan 4, 2013 9:53am Jan 4, 2013 9:53am
Quoting chiknthief
I can't do it. It comes via subscription and 'copy and pasting' has been blocked/disabled. All I can do is relay the message. (darn thing is 80 pages long covering almost every market segment you can think of)

FYI - its not seasonals, it is cycle projections to give a general road map for the year. Some markets occasionally go counter cycle so paying close attention to the turning point timeframes is more important than which way its trending prior to the turning point timeframes. Its best to be on the lookout for MAJOR turning points around those...
Thanks. Are you seeing a downtrend now?
daddybearforex. com
  • #22,155
  • Edited 10:40am Jan 4, 2013 10:24am | Edited 10:40am
Quoting DaddyBear
Thanks. Are you seeing a downtrend now?
It actually shows up first part of Jan - then a drop into late jan 1st of feb....Choppy up 1st 3 weeks in feb - then down pretty good till the [mid march/1st part of april] low followed by a huge rally into the end of may. (NOTE: its possible that this market could go contra-cycle...........The timeframes are more important to look at for potential turning points + or - a few bars)
  • #22,156
  • Jan 4, 2013 10:35am Jan 4, 2013 10:35am
The month of MAY should be a fun month this year in the aussie. Look for a very nice move (most likely UP). Cycles suggest that its the best move of the year...................... Be patient. This could be a buy and hold trade for 4-6 weeks.
  • #22,157
  • Jan 4, 2013 11:00am Jan 4, 2013 11:00am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
if rejected this time,a consistent down move is expected
i think price is respecting upper TL,may fall more in coming week,GL all
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #22,158
  • Jan 4, 2013 11:03am Jan 4, 2013 11:03am
DB - The commercials are heavily NET SHORT on the aussie ------------- confirming a downmove into mid march/first part of april................................I would choose the bear side for sure here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #22,159
  • Jan 4, 2013 11:56am Jan 4, 2013 11:56am
Back in late 2011 these are the CYCLE timeframes that projected the MAJOR turning points for 2012. I marked the dates with the vertical white lines on the weekly chart...................AMAZING
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #22,160
  • Jan 4, 2013 3:01pm Jan 4, 2013 3:01pm
Quoting chiknthief
Back in late 2011 these are the CYCLE timeframes that projected the MAJOR turning points for 2012. I marked the dates with the vertical white lines on the weekly chart...................AMAZING
Chik, thanks so much for your contributions. -DB-
daddybearforex. com
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