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  • #21,781
  • Dec 29, 2012 3:26pm Dec 29, 2012 3:26pm
Quoting forexalien
We can view each other's minds, so that goes unsaid for you and I, give me one of your ZEN cartoons........
Let me put it this way. The highest state of Zen is No Zen at all.... So here is the cartoon for you ....

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daddybearforex. com
  • #21,782
  • Dec 29, 2012 3:28pm Dec 29, 2012 3:28pm
Food for thought ZEN style.........
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4dw 12_29_12 marked up.jpg Size: 663 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,783
  • Dec 29, 2012 3:32pm Dec 29, 2012 3:32pm
Quoting forexalien
Food for thought ZEN style.........
Your charts are great. If you could summarize a little bit more, it would be much better IMO.
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,784
  • Dec 29, 2012 3:38pm Dec 29, 2012 3:38pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Your charts are great. If you could summarize a little bit more, it would be much better IMO.
WHAT ! I know you can use that GREY matter up there.........it is summarized ZEN style = no zen needed on it .....
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,785
  • Dec 29, 2012 3:58pm Dec 29, 2012 3:58pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Your charts are great. If you could summarize a little bit more, it would be much better IMO.
OOOOoooK,
4H on the left, Unless news rocks this and I don't think it will much.....down first and then stay ranging until the USA pulls it's head out.....ADX shows to not trade.
Daily in the middle - the green and red tipped stochastic came screaming down, that normally does not happen like that on a daily, daily shows a short term pull up with more downward to it. The blue ADX 42 period is flat and not impressed with last weeks downtrend. 7 adx black is bent showing the first signs of the downtrend stopping , but not yet, the red 21 adx has not turned yet , so further downward would be in the picture.
Monthly - is on it's way down for a month or so, maybe 2 maybe 10 .....the 21 and 42 period adx are at the very bottom doing nothing, like beginning of the month I pointed that look out on a 1H chart and that was the start of the AUD fall ..... 1H from the 17th and 18th of dec here, below on another post I explained and loaded charts again for your easy reading,....thanks....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 12_18_12 1h adx low.JPG Size: 105 KB
Attached Image
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,786
  • Dec 29, 2012 4:02pm Dec 29, 2012 4:02pm
Quoting forexalien
Food for thought ZEN style.........
OOOOoooK,
4H on the left, Unless news rocks this and I don't think it will much.....down first and then stay ranging until the USA pulls it's head out.....ADX shows to not trade.
Daily in the middle - the green and red tipped stochastic came screaming down, that normally does not happen like that on a daily, daily shows a short term pull up with more downward to it. The blue ADX 42 period is flat and not impressed with last weeks downtrend. 7 adx black is bent showing the first signs of the downtrend stopping , but not yet, the red 21 adx has not turned yet , so further downward would be in the picture.
Monthly - is on it's way down for a month or so, maybe 2 maybe 10 .....the 21 and 42 period adx are at the very bottom doing nothing, like beginning of the month I pointed that look out on a 1H chart and that was the start of the AUD fall .....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4dw 12_29_12 marked up.jpg Size: 663 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,787
  • Dec 29, 2012 4:11pm Dec 29, 2012 4:11pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Obama and Congress leaders are full grown adults who should know what is right to do at this moment.
Hmm... If in fact they are full grown adults who should know what is right to do, why did republicans and democrats agree to such a draconian bill in the first place? And lets not forget that this deal was made in order to raise the debt ceiling limit, again. In fact, that crisis was called the Debt Ceiling Crisis of 2011. The deal was a compromise because the full grown adults who should know what is right to do were unwilling to cut spending and live within their means. They could have written this law in such a way as to implement spending cuts and tax increases in phases over time. In this way, the law would not shock the economy all at once. So why didn't they? I don't know but I do remember this quote, "You never want a serious crisis to go to waste." Rahm Emanuel

Hmm... Anyone else in here purchase VXX calls last week?

Happy Trades,
fxstir
  • #21,788
  • Dec 29, 2012 4:27pm Dec 29, 2012 4:27pm
Hey guys, where do I see wrong here?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD_USD_NEXT.jpg Size: 142 KB
  • #21,789
  • Dec 29, 2012 5:36pm Dec 29, 2012 5:36pm
Quoting DaddyBear
IMHO, I'd say seeing 1.06 or higher first before going to 95. The bears are around, so it is easier to say "where is the bull?". However, we are talking about something in the uncharted waters not something happened already.
In near term, usd is strong. The strength may continue into january. Please check spx500 and the gold, which are correlated to au. I agree usd should be weak because of q3 and q4. but not against JPY and AUD.
Japan's problem and china's hard landing will sink aud. The sentiment is shifting, just like what happan to euro in 2010... Do not have to believe me of course. The evidence is in the chart. I can see the tops 1.10 1.08 1.06 going lower and lower. The chart pattern is more clear in audcad, audchf.
However swaps might be expensive if you hold short for a long time. I might close the shorts in 2 weeks and buy gu or uj. They are looking more bullish to me than au.

Here is what I am thinking:
Attached Image
  • #21,790
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:03pm Dec 29, 2012 8:03pm
Quoting fxstir
Hmm... If in fact they are full grown adults who should know what is right to do, why did republicans and democrats agree to such a draconian bill in the first place? And lets not forget that this deal was made in order to raise the debt ceiling limit, again. In fact, that crisis was called the Debt Ceiling Crisis of 2011. The deal was a compromise because the full grown adults who should know what is right to do were unwilling to cut spending and live within their means. They could have written this law in such a way as to implement spending...
Thanks for your comments. My message was actually a sarcasm about those people in the Washington. Inefficiency is what I have seen all the time.
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,791
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:04pm Dec 29, 2012 8:04pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Let me put it this way. The highest state of Zen is No Zen at all.... So here is the cartoon for you ....

---------------------







---------------------
There now......that wasn't so bad.....
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1355688773
Alien Oh Alien, I have been working on my cargo bay in the UFO all day, it was like Christmas back there, all the lab equiptment I found and did not have to rebuild again was great !
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,792
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:12pm Dec 29, 2012 8:12pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Because of the uncertainty of the Cliff issue, I see a probability of further drop to the previous H4 low. My thought is derived from M15 ADX reading.
Can we please have a M15 ADX reading from your chart posted ......?
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,793
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:14pm Dec 29, 2012 8:14pm
In regard to your daily view, I agree there will be a drop. Your version is a continued weakness but I see a rebound from weekly low. The coming week will give us the answer one way or the other.

Quoting forexalien
OOOOoooK,
4H on the left, Unless news rocks this and I don't think it will much.....down first and then stay ranging until the USA pulls it's head out.....ADX shows to not trade.
Daily in the middle - the green and red tipped stochastic came screaming down, that normally does not happen like that on a daily, daily shows a short term pull up with more downward to it. The blue ADX 42 period is flat and not impressed with last weeks downtrend. 7 adx black is bent showing the first signs of the downtrend stopping , but not yet, the red 21 adx has not...
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1356818539
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,794
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:17pm Dec 29, 2012 8:17pm
Quoting IberoForex
Hey guys, where do I see wrong here?
I see the same general direction but the low point is lower than yours.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1356819988
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,795
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:24pm Dec 29, 2012 8:24pm
They found cousin Jake.......
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/29/alien-skulls-mexico_n_2377500.html?icid=maing-grid7%7Cmaing6%7Cdl2%7Csec1_lnk3%26pLid%3D250869
Attached Image
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,796
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:29pm Dec 29, 2012 8:29pm
Quoting mry2001
In near term, usd is strong. The strength may continue into january. Please check spx500 and the gold, which are correlated to au. I agree usd should be weak because of q3 and q4. but not against JPY and AUD.
Japan's problem and china's hard landing will sink aud. The sentiment is shifting, just like what happan to euro in 2010... Do not have to believe me of course. The evidence is in the chart. I can see the tops 1.10 1.08 1.06 going lower and lower. The chart pattern is more clear in audcad, audchf.
However swaps might be expensive...
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1356824137
Your view is the same as the popular ADCDE triangle below.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1355313904

Your platform might have low resolution to see the details. This ABCDE triangle could be started from one website and was copied/distributed in the Aussie trading community for a while. My chart has proved it is incorrect. My view is depicted in the chart below.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD-122812-W.JPG Size: 118 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,797
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:38pm Dec 29, 2012 8:38pm
Quoting fxstir
Hmm... If in fact they are full grown adults who should know what is right to do, why did republicans and democrats agree to such a draconian bill in the first place? And lets not forget that this deal was made in order to raise the debt ceiling limit, again. In fact, that crisis was called the Debt Ceiling Crisis of 2011. The deal was a compromise because the full grown adults who should know what is right to do were unwilling to cut spending and live within their means. They could have written this law in such a way as to implement spending...
Government can't find their way out of a shoe box. None of them are buisness oriented, no one person or group of people have any clue the debt the USA is in, or how to fix it. Obama should just do what the others can't, and raise taxes, cut exspences to programs, because he can't get re-elected anymore. Besides being impeached or shot at .....go for it.....
What I can't get a grip on .....is the average person gets taxed 15% on the dollar. Now that same dollar during the year may pass through 12 to 20 different hands during the course of the year. That would mean the US Government would collect somewhere between 180% to 300% on each and every dollar during the year. WTH Where does this money go? http://www.usdebtclock.org/
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,798
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:39pm Dec 29, 2012 8:39pm
Quoting forexalien
There now......that wasn't so bad.....
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1355688773
Alien Oh Alien, I have been working on my cargo bay in the UFO all day, it was like Christmas back there, all the lab equiptment I found and did not have to rebuild again was great !
alien, you are an intelligent species. Hope my "No Zen at all is the highest state of Zen" did not short circuit your 'brain". My point is less is more.
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,799
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:42pm Dec 29, 2012 8:42pm
Quoting IberoForex
Hey guys, where do I see wrong here?
What is it a chart of?
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,800
  • Dec 29, 2012 8:45pm Dec 29, 2012 8:45pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Yes Sir!!! I agree with your view even you are an alien. However, I also believe that trading what others do not see is even better.
That is why you are the Thread Leader..............
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
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