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AUD/USD

  • #57,241
  • Dec 26, 2012 3:33pm Dec 26, 2012 3:33pm
Quoting Zircon
I like this beautiful pair she is fast, up or down.
he forgets about the fact that markets generally fall faster than rise
  • #57,242
  • Dec 26, 2012 3:51pm Dec 26, 2012 3:51pm
Quoting Zircon
I like this beautiful pair she is fast, up or down.
I think aud will disappoint in '13 trading wise. I moved close attention to jpy and indexes. Aud will be sacrificed so that au stocks can go up.
  • #57,243
  • Dec 26, 2012 9:48pm Dec 26, 2012 9:48pm
Scaling in one more SELL position at 1.03676

Profit Target: .98



**20 EMA is about to cross over the 50 EMA on the D1 chart. This will be more confirmation that we will see more downward movement during the coming weeks.
  • #57,244
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:06am Dec 27, 2012 12:06am
Quoting 100PipsADay
Scaling in one more SELL position at 1.03676

Profit Target: .98



**20 EMA is about to cross over the 50 EMA on the D1 chart. This will be more confirmation that we will see more downward movement during the coming weeks.
This should be good desicion but it's note decided yet. I agree AU could be sacrified...
Wait for daily close under 1.0360.
  • #57,245
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:11am Dec 27, 2012 12:11am
Quoting sLOVEnia
This should be good desicion but it's note decided yet. I agree AU could be sacrified...
Wait for daily close under 1.0360.
I already got short up at 1.058 once price was rejected from the Weekly TL. Also, Bearish Engulfing (BEEB) weekly candle last week tells me we have A LOT more downward movement in the coming weeks/months.

From now on I will only be scaling in more SELL positions as price moves in my favor. I am already well in profit from my AUD and NZD shorts - floating and closed profit.
  • #57,246
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:19am Dec 27, 2012 12:19am
have had some luck scalping today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #57,247
  • Dec 27, 2012 10:13am Dec 27, 2012 10:13am
I'm going to stay out of this one probably for the rest of the year. While I have been bearish, mainly from 1.06~, that point has passed. Price is at the 75% gann level, and with the new year coming up, which lines up with the end of the template, price may continue to fall to the 50% retracement afterwards. However, I'm feeling a short-term bullishness, so yeah, I can't figure out what I want to do right now.

Daily
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #57,248
  • Dec 27, 2012 10:23am Dec 27, 2012 10:23am
Quoting sidhujag
long with sl at 347.2
and ur SL got hit...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #57,249
  • Dec 27, 2012 10:55am Dec 27, 2012 10:55am
AUD/USD still short term BIAS for the mid-term.

*20 EMA about to Cross Over the 50 EMA on the Daily chart

*Daily TL was broken and confirmed with 12/21 Daily candle

*Bearish Engulfing (BEEB) on the Weekly for 12/19 candle which happened to be right at the downward weekly TL. This TL has been in effect since 7/31/2011 and price has respected it nicely ever since. Remember, the longer a TL is intact the stronger it gets.

1st Target: 1.015
2nd Target: .98
3rd Target: .96


From December 1st - Today I have made over 4,500 Pips! Definitely my best month ever! (it actually started out pretty bad but the past 2 weeks have been awesome)

Hope everybody is doing well!
  • #57,250
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:03am Dec 27, 2012 11:03am
Quoting 100PipsADay
AUD/USD still short term BIAS for the mid-term.

*20 EMA about to Cross Over the 50 EMA on the Daily chart

*Daily TL was broken and confirmed with 12/21 Daily candle

*Bearish Engulfing (BEEB) on the Weekly for 12/19 candle which happened to be right at the downward weekly TL. This TL has been in effect since 7/31/2011 and price has respected it nicely ever since. Remember, the longer a TL is intact the stronger it gets.

1st Target: 1.015
2nd Target: .98
3rd Target: .96


From December 1st - Today I have made over 4,500 Pips!...
lucky EU, GU and AU are mor predictable than say trading Yen pairs.... Yen is just insane... absolutely ignoring gaps and moves.... only for the YEN to weak ie EJ, GJ, UJ, all going up without a pull back... suggests to me that this Yen Weakness is being over done.... regardless if its easing or not.... Long term positions trader are already looking nice shorting those yen pairs.... for a year or 2...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #57,251
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:08am Dec 27, 2012 11:08am
Quoting fxtyrant
lucky EU, GU and AU are mor predictable than say trading Yen pairs.... Yen is just insane... absolutely ignoring gaps and moves.... only for the YEN to weak ie EJ, GJ, UJ, all going up without a pull back... suggests to me that this Yen Weakness is being over done.... regardless if its easing or not.... Long term positions trader are already looking nice shorting those yen pairs.... for a year or 2...
I don't know about that, I made a killing longing various JPY cross pairs earlier this month.

Also, YEN futures have broken a 6 year TL!!!! One would be crazy to Long JPY... long term trend reversal is in effect. I would look to buy on any decent pullback for long term positions.

My two favorite pairs are EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY.

**Just noticed your Trade Explorer yesterday. What happened???? Why didn't you get out of those trades? Hope you didn't have any real money on the line...
  • #57,252
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:27am Dec 27, 2012 11:27am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I don't know about that, I made a killing longing various JPY cross pairs earlier this month.

Also, YEN futures have broken a 6 year TL!!!! One would be crazy to Long JPY... long term trend reversal is in effect. I would look to buy on any decent pullback for long term positions.

My two favorite pairs are EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY.

**Just noticed your Trade Explorer yesterday. What happened???? Why didn't you get out of those trades? Hope you didn't have any real money on the line...
nah dont worry i didnt have any real money on the line especialy during holidays....
the trade explorer one was a demo account testing a strategy that would work beautifully if it wasnt for the BOJ's decision to ease the Yen... sigh.... I just feel totally sad because looking at monthly EMAs i can see a lot of corporate orders that are left at the lows :/ never triggered...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #57,253
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:28am Dec 27, 2012 11:28am
Quoting fxtyrant
lucky EU, GU and AU are mor predictable than say trading Yen pairs.... Yen is just insane... absolutely ignoring gaps and moves.... only for the YEN to weak ie EJ, GJ, UJ, all going up without a pull back... suggests to me that this Yen Weakness is being over done.... regardless if its easing or not.... Long term positions trader are already looking nice shorting those yen pairs.... for a year or 2...
must be penny traders u talk to dude we were all expecting this with the yen do you not read? This is confirmation of a yearly trend change. Well then again your true colors of reckless trading show again. It might come down a bit after jan but april may be a time to get back in since there are option traders shorting yen march and april contracts... We all know they will probaby lose.
  • #57,254
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:30am Dec 27, 2012 11:30am
Quoting sidhujag
must be penny traders u talk to dude we were all expecting this with the yen do you not read? This is confirmation of a yearly trend change. Well then again your true colors of reckless trading show again. It might come down a bit after jan but april may be a time to get back in since there are option traders shorting yen march and april contracts... We all know they will probaby lose.
Agreed! Yen is going to weaken, long term trend being reversed as we speak, just waiting for a decent pullback to get long again.

Being over leveraged and over confident will blow an account...
  • #57,255
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:33am Dec 27, 2012 11:33am
Quoting fxtyrant
nah dont worry i didnt have any real money on the line especialy during holidays....
the trade explorer one was a demo account testing a strategy that would work beautifully if it wasnt for the BOJ's decision to ease the Yen... sigh.... I just feel totally sad because looking at monthly EMAs i can see a lot of corporate orders that are left at the lows :/ never triggered...
Remember Tyrant, it's good to trade a Demo like you would a live account psychologically anyways. I had been posting articles as to why the Yen would weaken for the past 4-6 months. Fundamentally this was going to happen regardless of Abe being elected or not.

Good luck bro!
  • #57,256
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:52am Dec 27, 2012 11:52am
Quoting sidhujag
he forgets about the fact that markets generally fall faster than rise

Agree.
Had big loss in the past while buying this pair while the market is selling with strength and faster.
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #57,257
  • Dec 27, 2012 11:54am Dec 27, 2012 11:54am
Quoting macroman
I think aud will disappoint in '13 trading wise. I moved close attention to jpy and indexes. Aud will be sacrificed so that au stocks can go up.
Maybe gonna see reaction with yen crosses tomorrow??
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #57,258
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:08pm Dec 27, 2012 12:08pm
Quoting sidhujag
must be penny traders u talk to dude we were all expecting this with the yen do you not read? This is confirmation of a yearly trend change. Well then again your true colors of reckless trading show again. It might come down a bit after jan but april may be a time to get back in since there are option traders shorting yen march and april contracts... We all know they will probaby lose.
here might be where you could help me understand a bit...
i dont understand why the Yen needs easing...
given the fact that japan's economy has been in stagnation since 1970s....
and the fact that manufacturing in japan has moved away to the US so really theres no reason for a weaker yen... weaker yen means stronger Export... but lately i dont see what yen needs to export...

You can argue abe wants inflation to kick start the economic growth once again. but given the fact that major corporations are moving away to the US and UK for their manufacturing for example.... Economic growth via Easing will really depend on whether corporation is gona demand the extra amount of cash made available to them....
but my guess is.... the Japanese corporations wouldnt demand any cash from the government after stacking up their deposits... they could simply use up their deposit for growth anyways... why borrow easing money at an interest rate?

Here is where i really need ur advice because my opinion is that Japan is an Economy of the Dusking Sun.... easing is just ogna delay it but long term, its gona continually die down.... i mean for 30 years japan's growth rate been slowing down...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #57,259
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:14pm Dec 27, 2012 12:14pm
Quoting fxtyrant
here might be where you could help me understand a bit...
i dont understand why the Yen needs easing...
given the fact that japan's economy has been in stagnation since 1970s....
and the fact that manufacturing in japan has moved away to the US so really theres no reason for a weaker yen... weaker yen means stronger Export... but lately i dont see what yen needs to export...

You can argue abe wants inflation to kick start the economic growth once again. but given the fact that major corporations are moving away to the US and UK for their...
FxTyrant,

Take a look at ALL of these articles.


http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/1...n-headed-down/

http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/0...vernment-debt/

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/why-t...e-49832?FIELD9

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/sover...-of-pain-50310

http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/1...-will-decline/

http://www.marketwatch.com/Story/jap...rap-2012-11-01
  • #57,260
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:17pm Dec 27, 2012 12:17pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
FxTyrant,

Take a look at ALL of these articles.


http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/1...n-headed-down/

http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/0...vernment-debt/

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/why-t...e-49832?FIELD9

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/sover...-of-pain-50310

http://sovereign-investor.com/2012/1...-will-decline/

http://www.marketwatch.com/Story/jap...rap-2012-11-01...
majority of the links you given me didnt work... i marked them in bold
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
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