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Aussie Trading Room and Cartoons Gallery

  • #21,361
  • Edited 3:19am Dec 22, 2012 2:18am | Edited 3:19am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Tim, I agree with your excellent analysis and also long here at 1.04 level looking for retrace.

But shouldn't your green 4 be A?

Although I agree with your result, I am not sure I understand your process.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1356123213
Is EWP. 3 green is a five wave move. 4 green should bee three wave move (abc=4)
  • #21,362
  • Dec 22, 2012 3:49am Dec 22, 2012 3:49am
The talks about the fiscal cliff, I think the SP500 can show that no one believes can happen!

However I'm looking for new high!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SP500DAY.jpg Size: 158 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: SP5009weeks.jpg Size: 128 KB
  • #21,363
  • Dec 22, 2012 8:41am Dec 22, 2012 8:41am
Quoting DaddyBear
alien, I like this message. If there is a progress in the cliff talk this weekend, the Aussie will be back to the stage in no time. Although it will be a short holiday week, the cliff will make the market very volatile.
Thank You DB......I am always trying to find new ways to Paint a Picture Story so the world players can understand it easier.....
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #21,364
  • Dec 22, 2012 8:52am Dec 22, 2012 8:52am
Quoting HelloOz
is your 1.06 still on the card?
once fiscal cliff issue is resolved, USD will be bullish.
we could have a relief rally for emerging markets, risk currency but i dont know if we will see 1.05 again.
1.06 is still in the cards. If the cliff talk moves ahead, the Aussie shall move up IMO.
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,365
  • Dec 22, 2012 8:58am Dec 22, 2012 8:58am
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: INDIX-122112-W.JPG Size: 62 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,366
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:06am Dec 22, 2012 9:06am
I believe Friday's drop was related to 12/21/12, the end of the world story. The cliff was only the smoke.
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,367
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:16am Dec 22, 2012 9:16am
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
This is the daily chart as of 12/21/12 with my projection of INDI X. The monthly pivot is holding up the Aussie.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: INDIX-122112-D.JPG Size: 103 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,368
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:21am Dec 22, 2012 9:21am
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the daily chart as of 12/21/12 with my projection of INDI X. The monthly pivot is holding up the Aussie.
I use the "lunar phase" to look into the Aussie's moves. When the Moon reaches its Full Moon status, it has to move to First Quarter Moon and vice versa. No if or but.


http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...scent_Moon.jpg
NASA
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,369
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:26am Dec 22, 2012 9:26am
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
The rationale behind my belief of a test of the upper cyan trend line is simply because the finale has not occurred so far.


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1356188120
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,370
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:30am Dec 22, 2012 9:30am
I see last week's red candle a setback from the test of the yellow TL not a onset of a down move as some people suggested in this forum. From this point forward, a new steeper channel will be established. IMO


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1356188120
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,371
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:41am Dec 22, 2012 9:41am
It looks like the Aussie is rebouding here with the test of the up trendline and 100 SMA both around 1.040.
  • #21,372
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:43am Dec 22, 2012 9:43am
Quoting trendpal
It looks like the Aussie is rebouding here with the test of the up trendline and 100 SMA both around 1.040.
Welcome trendpal. Could you post your chart? -DB-
daddybearforex. com
  • #21,373
  • Dec 22, 2012 10:02am Dec 22, 2012 10:02am
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ar7brs0qOG8&feature=share&list=PLC6DF5502584B745E
For all aliens
  • #21,374
  • Dec 22, 2012 10:04am Dec 22, 2012 10:04am
Here it is. This is daily chart. It's quite amazing how the 100 SMA was held since the uptrend started back in June.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD 1year.png Size: 24 KB


Quoting DaddyBear
Welcome trendpal. Could you post your chart? -DB-
  • #21,375
  • Dec 22, 2012 10:09am Dec 22, 2012 10:09am
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
Nope - even with major fiscal cliff progress, aud will not reach 1.06 - not until 1.015 is tested
  • #21,376
  • Dec 22, 2012 11:05am Dec 22, 2012 11:05am
I agree with u . AUD will drop down to parity or lower.

GU also appears to be topped out.
  • #21,377
  • Dec 22, 2012 11:46am Dec 22, 2012 11:46am
Quoting mry2001
I agree with u . AUD will drop down to parity or lower.

GU also appears to be topped out.
When will drop? Put chart please.
  • #21,378
  • Edited 12:18pm Dec 22, 2012 12:02pm | Edited 12:18pm
Quoting Tim_isoara
Retracement for 4 green.Than down to end 5 green
Hi Tim. You are progressing very well. But I will bug you a little.. What happen if that green 1 2 you have is a b

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6291397#post6291397
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #21,379
  • Dec 22, 2012 12:33pm Dec 22, 2012 12:33pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
Hi Tim. You are progressing very well. But I will bug you a little.. What happen if that green 1 2 you have is a b

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6291397#post6291397
Hi Luis, than my 3 green is c. Thank you for...bug me a little...
  • #21,380
  • Dec 22, 2012 12:52pm Dec 22, 2012 12:52pm
Quoting Tim_isoara
Is EWP. 3 green is a five wave move. 4 green should bee three wave move (abc=4)
Thank you for clarification.

I was looking at it within EWP framework as well, and I agree with 1.046 as reasonable move and retrace.

Just trying to understand your process. Thanks for response.

GL. Nice setup and RR here.
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