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VennD - Any Pairs - Any Style - Any Time

  • #721
  • Edited 3:26pm Dec 17, 2012 2:58pm | Edited 3:26pm
usdix 4h - Probabilities ...
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  • #722
  • Edited 4:24pm Dec 17, 2012 3:14pm | Edited 4:24pm
eur/usd daily - before and after. If they get some more bailout money, these probably the sequences...

1.28 / 1.29 / 1.32 / 1.34 / 1.35 / 1.36 / 1.39 (long-term). Of course it won't be in a straight line up.

... and ... if they want me to bail them out, ... it has to come down, get it from my pocket !
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #723
  • Dec 17, 2012 3:59pm Dec 17, 2012 3:59pm
Quoting VennD
eur/usd - if you wanna short it, go ahead. Suit yourselves. It's not my account , anyway.
short scalp @ 1.3142 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 90.00% at 1.2780 and 9.99% at 1.2680).

long scalp @ 1.2665 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 50% at 1.2722 , 40% at 1.3000 , 5% at 1.3100 and 4.99% at 1.2888).
added : long scalp @ 1.2900 w/be+1, hold.
eur/usd - Positions update ...
short scalp @ 1.3142 w/be+1, blown! (Earlier took out 90.00% at 1.2780 and 9.99% at 1.2680). Re-entered ...
short scalp @ 1.3184 w/be+1, hold (Took out 20% at 1.3150).

long @ 1.2665 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 50% at 1.2722 , 40% at 1.3000 , 5% at 1.3100 and 4.99% at 1.2888).
long @ 1.2900 w/be+1, hold (Took out 80% at 1.3150).
  • #724
  • Edited 10:32pm Dec 17, 2012 10:08pm | Edited 10:32pm
aud/jpy - 88.30 says ... short it, VennD ! While ... 88.51 says ... buy some more , VennD !

wtf is that ?

Probably ... RBA and BoJ are both 'playing' further easing ?

I think ... I should let 'em smash each other ... and I'm going to wait between 89.06 - 90.63 , from there ... I'll then smash both of them!

chart ,.... do it yourself, 'ghost'. , (they already blew my short scalp).
Quoting VennD
aud/jpy - ...
long @ 79.45 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 90% at 83.07 and 9.99% at 84.70 ).

short scalp @ 86.67 w/be+1, blown ! Re-entered ...
short scalp @ 88.38 w/be+1, hold (Took out 20% at 88.05).
aud/jpy - Positions update ...

long @ 79.45 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 90% at 83.07 and 9.99% at 84.70 ).

short scalp @ 88.38 w/be+1, blown ! (Earlier took out 20% at 88.05). Waiting to re-enter ...
  • #725
  • Edited 1:08am Dec 18, 2012 12:50am | Edited 1:08am
Quoting VennD
gbp/jpy - ...
Long Objectives : 125. / 129. / 130. / 131. / 132. (long-term).
gbp/jpy - My late grandpa .... ask to revise the above objectives as follows ...
125. / 129. / 130. / 131. / 132. / 133. - 136. / 137. / 138. (long-term). Lets see if it can be achieve.
Quoting VennD
gbp/jpy - ...

long @ 124.65 w/be+1, hold (Took out 70.00% at 129.00 , 20% at 130.00 and 9.99% at 132.00).

short scalp @ 130.52 w/be+1, stopped out. Re-entered ...
short scalp @ 132.03 w/be+1, hold.
gbp/jpy - Positions update ...

long @ 124.65 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 70.00% at 129.00 , 20% at 130.00 and 9.99% at 132.00).

short scalp @ 132.03 w/be+1, stopped out. Waiting to re-enter ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #726
  • Dec 18, 2012 1:26am Dec 18, 2012 1:26am
aud/nzd 4h - I do not know about this one, either she's sleeping or snailing downwards.

There's a leaflet at her door. " Please do not disturb ".
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #727
  • Edited 2:08am Dec 18, 2012 2:05am | Edited 2:08am
Quoting VennD
aud/nzd - ...
Short Objectives : 1.25 / 1.21 (long-term).
Initially I had short objectives as mentioned abv but she bounced from 1.2367 (1.22-1.21 didn't materialize).
Quoting VennD
aud/nzd - ... (KIV 1.22 - 1.21)
Long Objectives : 1.2450 - 1.27 / 1.28 / 1.29 (long-term).
... so I got to follow her going north and came out with long objectives, yet she refused to touch 1.29 and dive down at the current price (1.2451). It looks like consolidation before going north or continue south.
Quoting VennD
aud/nzd - ...
short @ 1.2769 w/be+1, stopped out (Earlier took out 90% at 1.2400 and 9.90% at 2.500). Re-entered ...
short scalp @ 1.2822 w/be+1, hold (Took out 90% at 1.2713).

long @ 1.2402 w/be+1, hold (Took out 90% at 1.2669).
aud/nzd - Positions update ...
short scalp @ 1.2822 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 90% at 1.2713 and 9.99% at 1.2493).

long @ 1.2402 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 90% at 1.2669 and 9.99% at 1.2750).

Intend to close both of them later today, if Im dizzy.
  • #728
  • Edited 10:45am Dec 18, 2012 6:48am | Edited 10:45am
usd/chf 4h -
Quoting VennD
usd/chf - ...

short objectives : 0.93 - 0.89 (long-term).
Should put it this way ... 0.93 / 0.92 / 0.91 / 0.90 / 0.89 (long-term).

Look at the daily carefully , it is about to plunge ...

... and if you wanna long it at the current price , be my guests.
Quoting VennD
usd/chf - ...

short scalp @ 0.9496 w/be+1, stopped out. Re-entered ...
short scalp @ 0.9510 w/be+1, hold (Took out 90% at 0.9262).

long scalp @ 0.9220 w/be+1, hold (Earlier took out 90.00% at 0.9446).
usd/chf - Positions update ...
short @ 0.9510 w/be+1, hold (Took out 90% at 0.9262 and 5% at 0.9140).

long scalp @ 0.9220 w/be+1, stopped out (Earlier took out 90.00% at 0.9446). Waiting to re-enter ...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #729
  • Edited 9:08am Dec 18, 2012 8:47am | Edited 9:08am
aud/usd 1h - I think RBA doesn't like this scenario, ... but ... it is in the process of going up. I don't know how RBA going to stop it.

Could be using another rate cut or ... that US fiscal cliff, China data, whatever.

Technically, it is going up.

I'm yet to see what fundies might drive it and I'm also yet to work out (technically), how far it can go.

Anyways ... juz trade what we see in the chart.

edit : China is making economic reform ~ expectation to rise in 2013.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #730
  • Dec 18, 2012 9:59am Dec 18, 2012 9:59am
Quoting VennD
aud/usd 1h - I think RBA doesn't like this scenario, ... but ... it is in the process of going up. I don't know how RBA going to stop it.

Could be using another rate cut or ... that US fiscal cliff, China data, whatever.

Technically, it is going up.

I'm yet to see what fundies might drive it and I'm also yet to work out (technically), how far it can go.

Anyways ... juz trade what we see in the chart.

edit : China is making economic reform ~ expectation to rise in 2013.
seeing divergence between the USDIX and AUD, good sign for the short load of AU.
China is the big mover recnetly, but hard to play with A50, thanks to the huge spread. i have some short in the chinese propety stock (HK exchange) anyway. The chart is in alignment with Xi's policy..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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seeing through
  • #731
  • Dec 18, 2012 10:41am Dec 18, 2012 10:41am
Quoting pipphunter
seeing divergence between the USDIX and AUD, good sign for the short load of AU.
China is the big mover recnetly, but hard to play with A50, thanks to the huge spread. i have some short in the chinese propety stock (HK exchange) anyway. The chart is in alignment with Xi's policy..
Hope you can run with the cash before the market take it back.
  • #732
  • Edited Dec 19, 2012 12:58am Dec 18, 2012 12:02pm | Edited Dec 19, 2012 12:58am
usdix 4h - before and after.

No more probability. It might bounce from somewhere near 79.17 , so ... watch your pants ... don't get wet.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #733
  • Edited 12:18pm Dec 18, 2012 12:17pm | Edited 12:18pm
eur/usd daily - before and after.

Price @ 1.3173 was requesting to me to standby ...

Standby to do what ? (Take yr own risk).
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #734
  • Edited 6:15pm Dec 18, 2012 5:34pm | Edited 6:15pm
Ghost, ... NZD related pairs are dying to be shorted.

Wt a lovely present from RBNZ. ( This has nothing to do with USDIX).

I got one up there in tip top condition.

Here it is .... RBNZ's net open position is around $2.2bn (RBNZ wants u to short NZD).
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: eurnzd_4h_022.gif Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpnzd_4h_022.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #735
  • Edited 7:37pm Dec 18, 2012 7:20pm | Edited 7:37pm
This pic is much better. Pull her down boys ...

In 20hrs time
-------------
Expected ...

NZ GDP (QoQ) = 0.6% --> 0.4% (High Votality = 100-250 pips)

NZ GDP (YoY) = 2.6% --> 2.4% (High Votality = 100-250 pips)

If materialize ... syeeell ...NZD

(I better get some sleep)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #736
  • Edited 3:28am Dec 19, 2012 12:44am | Edited 3:28am
eur/aud 4h - TRADE OF THE CENTURY - Goldman Sachs -

1st Target 1.2900 or 1.2200

2nd Target 1.3588 or 1.2900

3rd Target ~> Goldman Sachs HQ
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraud_4h_011.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #737
  • Dec 19, 2012 3:54am Dec 19, 2012 3:54am
Quoting VennD
My intention is to show you how I address all these "uncertainties".
Quoting VennD
... The understanding usage of the tools are important too. What does it tries to tell you, besides learning about Price Action. As time pass by ... try to identify where are the buyers/sellers or potential buyers/potential sellers. Follow them...
Quoting VennD
... No intention to solicits "clients" or whatsoever. I'm a lone ranger. When the time comes, I'll be gone...
I think ... it's time for me to pack my bags ... and disappear ... from FF for a while...Good bye ...

VennD
  • #738
  • Dec 27, 2012 12:24am Dec 27, 2012 12:24am
Quoting VennD
I think ... it's time for me to pack my bags ... and disappear ... from FF for a while...Good bye ...

VennD
It's a sad day!
  • #739
  • Jan 10, 2013 5:51am Jan 10, 2013 5:51am
Hi VennD,
Its a New Year, have you finished the holiday yet?
Please pack up the bag back and get back to FF as usual....

Looking forward to see u back in this FF..
  • #740
  • Mar 31, 2013 7:13am Mar 31, 2013 7:13am
I almost everytime check whether u are back or not .... and again you are not back !!!

It wud be nice to know ur perspective to the recent trends...

Take care , regards...
Imagination rules the world ...
Selym Hyll Return This Year: na
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