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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #5,621
  • Nov 19, 2012 9:30pm Nov 19, 2012 9:30pm
USDCHF: short trade as mentioned earlier at Saxon's thread.
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  • #5,622
  • Nov 20, 2012 6:38pm Nov 20, 2012 6:38pm
Quoting shahab8b
EJ: I'm posting this to document my own thoughts processes. It's forming a rising wedge (classic)/ending diagonal pattern (EW). The expected move is to the south;however, I expect it to be a surprise move to the upside. no positions for me at this moment, just watching.
EJ update: As I suggested earlier the classic pattern did not play out as expected according to textbooks.
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  • #5,623
  • Nov 21, 2012 3:57am Nov 21, 2012 3:57am
Quoting shahab8b
EJ update: As I suggested earlier the classic pattern did not play out as expected according to textbooks.
Hello Shahab,

Awesome thread! thanks for all your insights, really appreciated.

i just wanted to ask what gave you the heads up that this setup might not work, i put in a trade expecting a drop and was stopped out.

regards and wishing u the best
  • #5,624
  • Nov 21, 2012 7:37am Nov 21, 2012 7:37am
Quoting jumper99
Hello Shahab,

Awesome thread! thanks for all your insights, really appreciated.

i just wanted to ask what gave you the heads up that this setup might not work, i put in a trade expecting a drop and was stopped out.

regards and wishing u the best
Thanks jumper99; I posted my thoughts process in general at Post 5,581
For the EJ analysis, I thought the EJ might fail the pattern based on a clear bullish flag/pennant on UJ, and also the fact that so many people were shorting both UJ and EJ at those levels. However, I was not sure what might happen so I didn't take a trade on EJ, instead I took a long on flag/pennant confirmation on UJ.
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  • #5,625
  • Nov 21, 2012 8:17am Nov 21, 2012 8:17am
Quoting shahab8b
Thanks jumper99; I posted my thoughts process in general at Post 5,581
For the EJ analysis, I thought the EJ might fail the pattern based on a clear bullish flag/pennant on UJ, and also the fact that so many people were shorting both UJ and EJ at those levels. However, I was not sure what might happen so I didn't take a trade on EJ, instead I took a long on flag/pennant confirmation on UJ.
thanks for the quick response.

kind regards
  • #5,626
  • Nov 21, 2012 3:39pm Nov 21, 2012 3:39pm
One cable perspective. Several times support, Weekly R2 and 38.2 fib.
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Hello.
  • #5,627
  • Nov 22, 2012 11:05am Nov 22, 2012 11:05am
The usual cable craziness but still giving a bit.

Quoting emene
One cable perspective. Several times support, Weekly R2 and 38.2 fib.
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Hello.
  • #5,628
  • Nov 28, 2012 10:28am Nov 28, 2012 10:28am
Quoting emene
The usual cable craziness but still giving a bit.
Hello,

I was wondering if you guys have any EA or Script for OCO orders in MT4.I couldn't find anything here in FF except one EA but not tested.
Any idea?

Thanks
Mike
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,629
  • Nov 28, 2012 7:34pm Nov 28, 2012 7:34pm
Quoting shahab8b
This is an update on IBM short which I posted couple of weeks ago. Now it's turning into a classic trade.


Shahab, would you mind posting your stock trades as well........more often......:nerd:
  • #5,630
  • Nov 29, 2012 4:05pm Nov 29, 2012 4:05pm
Shahab8b

I don't know if you are still around, but I will ask anyway.

I have a hunch that crossJPY (GBP, AUD, CAD) might have a large downward break. On 4h charts, the PA has been losing the momentum, making lower highs. To me, it looks like falling off the cliff.

What do you think? I'm crazy?

Thank you in advance
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  • #5,631
  • Dec 1, 2012 4:16am Dec 1, 2012 4:16am
Quoting mike1349
Hello,

I was wondering if you guys have any EA or Script for OCO orders in MT4.I couldn't find anything here in FF except one EA but not tested.
Any idea?

Thanks
Mike
there's script order pending with OCO..

good luck!
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File Type: ex4 Pending Order With OCO.ex4   5 KB | 261 downloads
  • #5,632
  • Dec 3, 2012 5:39pm Dec 3, 2012 5:39pm
Quoting emene
The usual cable craziness but still giving a bit.
  • #5,633
  • Dec 3, 2012 5:40pm Dec 3, 2012 5:40pm
Quoting jackm1
Shahab, would you mind posting your stock trades as well........more often......:nerd:
Sure, we will!
  • #5,634
  • Dec 3, 2012 5:59pm Dec 3, 2012 5:59pm
Quoting Forexgogo
Shahab8b

I don't know if you are still around, but I will ask anyway.

I have a hunch that crossJPY (GBP, AUD, CAD) might have a large downward break. On 4h charts, the PA has been losing the momentum, making lower highs. To me, it looks like falling off the cliff.

What do you think? I'm crazy?

Thank you in advance
I will be careful shorting JPY crosses atm. Here is what I am thinking of EJ. Although there is a classic divergence on 4hr chart there is no indication of topping yet. I'll try a short if 106.80 gives away.
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  • #5,635
  • Dec 3, 2012 6:11pm Dec 3, 2012 6:11pm
Aussie is holding up pretty well for a currency that is about to get a rate cut in less than 3 hours. I am favoring the long side.Let's see if 1.04 holds after the cut.
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  • #5,636
  • Dec 3, 2012 6:44pm Dec 3, 2012 6:44pm
Quoting S nd D
there's script order pending with OCO..

good luck!
Thank you so much!
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,637
  • Dec 3, 2012 7:39pm Dec 3, 2012 7:39pm
Quoting shahab8b
I will be careful shorting JPY crosses atm. Here is what I am thinking of EJ. Although there is a classic divergence on 4hr chart there is no indication of topping yet. I'll try a short if 106.80 gives away.
Hi shahab8b,

This pair is on my watchlist as well but your shorter TF analysis just gave me a whole new perspective.

Thanks for sharing!!
Know Your Trading Edge and Trade It
  • #5,638
  • Dec 3, 2012 9:45pm Dec 3, 2012 9:45pm
Quoting shahab8b
Aussie is holding up pretty well for a currency that is about to get a rate cut in less than 3 hours. I am favoring the long side.Let's see if 1.04 holds after the cut.

AU: long trade as suggested earlier
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  • #5,639
  • Dec 3, 2012 9:46pm Dec 3, 2012 9:46pm
Quoting TradeYourEdg
Hi shahab8b,

This pair is on my watchlist as well but your shorter TF analysis just gave me a whole new perspective.

Thanks for sharing!!
you're welcome!
  • #5,640
  • Dec 3, 2012 10:16pm Dec 3, 2012 10:16pm
I'm watching USDCAD for a long entry based on daily chart. Entry on 4 hr only if I find a break above 0.995 and a retest of the neckline.

Will be quite careful here as US Dollar is quite bearish at the moment. At the same time, I'm trying to keep it simple.
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Know Your Trading Edge and Trade It
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