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  • #17,221
  • Nov 30, 2012 5:03pm Nov 30, 2012 5:03pm
Quoting DaddyBear
CNY PMI : 50.6 actual vs. 50.8 forecast
This is bad for the Aussie. Is Sunday open going to gap down?
daddybearforex. com
  • #17,222
  • Nov 30, 2012 5:14pm Nov 30, 2012 5:14pm
Quoting DaddyBear
This is bad for the Aussie. Is Sunday open going to gap down?
If it does it will be small, my guess is the big money is waiting for Tuesdays decision before making any serious moves & deciding which side to commit capital to.
It works till it doesn't
  • #17,223
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:22pm Nov 30, 2012 7:22pm
CNBC- China's Factory Activity Hits 7-Month High in November

"The headline figure is in line with an economist poll by Reuters this week, and confirms a trend toward recovering growth in the world's second-largest economy."

Is this good for the Aussie?
daddybearforex. com
  • #17,224
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:24pm Nov 30, 2012 7:24pm
Quoting DaddyBear
CNBC- China's Factory Activity Hits 7-Month High in November

"The headline figure is in line with an economist poll by Reuters this week, and confirms a trend toward recovering growth in the world's second-largest economy."

Is this good for the Aussie?
I see this as being good! Gap up
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor!
  • #17,225
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:36pm Nov 30, 2012 7:36pm
Quoting DaddyBear
CNBC- China's Factory Activity Hits 7-Month High in November

"The headline figure is in line with an economist poll by Reuters this week, and confirms a trend toward recovering growth in the world's second-largest economy."

Is this good for the Aussie?
If the euro has managed to stay proped up I wouldn't worry to much about the Aussie, the picture there can't be any worse than the EU & euro has managed to stay afloat.
It works till it doesn't
  • #17,226
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:39pm Nov 30, 2012 7:39pm
in other side....there are 2 type of trader : technical or fundamental trader beside intraday or longterm trader.

some times ( most of the time ). i am confused...what type of trader i am


Quoting DaddyBear
CNBC- China's Factory Activity Hits 7-Month High in November

"The headline figure is in line with an economist poll by Reuters this week, and confirms a trend toward recovering growth in the world's second-largest economy."

Is this good for the Aussie?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pvjj1021.gif Size: 19 KB
not euphoria follower
  • #17,227
  • Nov 30, 2012 9:07pm Nov 30, 2012 9:07pm
Late but at last, here is this week's cartoon from the Market Strips section of my blog:

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-LlOLHVOKPx...2012-11-30.jpg
  • #17,228
  • Edited 9:27pm Nov 30, 2012 9:14pm | Edited 9:27pm
Quoting iqyu5an
in other side....there are 2 type of trader : technical or fundamental trader beside intraday or longterm trader.

some times ( most of the time ). i am confused...what type of trader i am
When -D crosses over +D, it is bearish. But, a daily Doji was formed.

There are different combinations:

Tech + ID
Tech + LT
Fundie + ID
Fundie + LT
Tech + ID + LT
Fundie + ID + LT
and so on ........
daddybearforex. com
  • #17,229
  • Nov 30, 2012 9:15pm Nov 30, 2012 9:15pm
Quoting Eric D
Late but at last, here is this week's cartoon from the Market Strips section of my blog:

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-LlOLHVOKPx...2012-11-30.jpg
Eric, thanks again for your contributions. Nice cartoon!
daddybearforex. com
  • #17,230
  • Nov 30, 2012 9:19pm Nov 30, 2012 9:19pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Eric, thanks again for your contributions. Nice cartoon!
Thank you DaddyBear as always, you keep this thread up and rolling! I have seen it in the hot & most commented ones of ForexFactory and every time so often on the first page as last replied, so very easy to find my way here when I get back, congratulations!!
  • #17,231
  • Nov 30, 2012 9:22pm Nov 30, 2012 9:22pm
Quoting Eric D
Thank you DaddyBear as always, you keep this thread up and rolling! I have seen it in the hot & most commented ones of ForexFactory and every time so often on the first page as last replied, so very easy to find my way here when I get back, congratulations!!
Any chart or analysis for the coming week? Next week is supposed to be a roller coaster ride.
daddybearforex. com
  • #17,232
  • Nov 30, 2012 9:32pm Nov 30, 2012 9:32pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Any chart or analysis for the coming week? Next week is supposed to be a roller coaster ride.
Sure thing DaddyBear, although I am still working on it, I'll be right back very soon.
  • #17,233
  • Nov 30, 2012 10:03pm Nov 30, 2012 10:03pm
So, for the daily time frame as I usually make my analysis there is a chart below, Friday's price action developed into a pinbar formation resting at the Monthly central pivot calculated as the close of November, so it will be valid through December, this level coincides with the mid round number 1.04000 more or less by a couple of pips so that could mean a strong support for the short time trend, as a side note, Fibonacci in this pinbar's tail rates for the 38.2% retracement, theory says it has very good chances of surpassing closest resistance but hold on there one moment and take a look at the chart:

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-jrU53uKbsb...+01+audusd.gif

Now there is a downside for the above, just as there are a couple of reasons to believe on a short term support level and possible surge for the Monday December 3rd session, there is also a bearish divergence (mid term), not very strong since it is against the major trend (which of course as depicted by the EMAs is technically UP) as marked on the chart, CCI divergence is going down of the overbought zone and the area between the recent resistance made by the previous swing highs and December's Monthly R1 Pivot could add pressure on price before it goes any higher, by tracing a couple of Trendlines at the bottom of the pattern (slim blue lines) one can observe how market has been decelerating its pace.

It is probable too that the market enters in a roller coaster behavior between these important support and resistance levels before they are redefined by the breaching of any, bullish bias technically overall but be careful around the strengthening resistance zone.
  • #17,234
  • Nov 30, 2012 10:49pm Nov 30, 2012 10:49pm
nice,brief and clear explanation

about the pin bar. a bit different with mine. i run my real account in 2 different broker. one closed at 1.0424 and the other one is 1.0425

this is my daily view ( naked candle ) from one of my brokers. and yes ...this is just for me only and IMHO.

just for sharing and discussion. not a call

1 cent and only
Quoting Eric D
So, for the daily time frame as I usually make my analysis there is a chart below, Friday's price action developed into a pinbar formation resting at the Monthly central pivot calculated as the close of November, so it will be valid through December, this level coincides with the mid round number 1.04000 more or less by a couple of pips so that could mean a strong support for the short time trend, as a side note, Fibonacci in this pinbar's tail rates for the 38.2% retracement, theory says it has very good chances of surpassing closest resistance...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pvjj1023.gif Size: 17 KB
not euphoria follower
  • #17,235
  • Nov 30, 2012 10:55pm Nov 30, 2012 10:55pm
Quoting iqyu5an
nice,brief and clear explanation

about the pin bar. a bit different with mine. i run my real account in 2 different broker. one closed at 1.0424 and the other one is 1.0425

this is my daily view ( naked candle ) from one of my brokers. and yes ...this is just for me only and IMHO.

just for sharing and discussion. not a call

1 cent and only
Nice analysis.Explain me what is 1 cent and only?
  • #17,236
  • Nov 30, 2012 11:01pm Nov 30, 2012 11:01pm
thx Tim.

It's just my own term for things that "everything could happen" so we have to calculate all to minimize risk and max profit based our own MM . not more ...



Quoting Tim_isoara
Nice analysis.Explain me what is 1 cent and only?
not euphoria follower
  • #17,237
  • Nov 30, 2012 11:07pm Nov 30, 2012 11:07pm
Quoting iqyu5an
thx Tim.

It's just my own term for things that "everything could happen" so we have to calculate all to minimize risk and max profit based our own MM . not more ...
igyu Thank you.
  • #17,238
  • Dec 1, 2012 2:56am Dec 1, 2012 2:56am
havent had much time to trade last few days but here bullish signal on au which i missed it
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #17,239
  • Dec 1, 2012 3:05am Dec 1, 2012 3:05am
AU seems to bull?
  • #17,240
  • Dec 1, 2012 4:16am Dec 1, 2012 4:16am
Quoting azmn396
AU seems to bull?
No, its a cow
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