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AUD/USD

  • #56,881
  • Nov 30, 2012 2:52am Nov 30, 2012 2:52am
I think we can pretty much sum up that this impulse candle will be filled now in a matter of days if not today. China coming out could halt it for today but come Sunday. Monday we should see a fill

Thoughts? disagree?
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  • #56,882
  • Nov 30, 2012 3:03am Nov 30, 2012 3:03am
Quoting jplazard
I think we can pretty much sum up that this impulse candle will be filled now in a matter of days if not today. China coming out could halt it for today but come Sunday. Monday we should see a fill

Thoughts? disagree?
I agree. The rising trend line and horizontal at 1.0394 make for a good short term target.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #56,883
  • Nov 30, 2012 3:30am Nov 30, 2012 3:30am
took positions according to daily / weekly / monthly
I'm -4000 pips from aud crosses

I don't expect any movement till monday & sunday,
next week will be very crucial as the last months perf. results will be unveiled

Mon:
AUD
Retail Sales m/m

Tue:
AUD
Building Approvals m/m

AUD
Cash Rate

AUD
RBA Rate Statement

Wed:
AUD
GDP q/q

Thu:
AUD
Employment Change

AUD
Unemployment Rate

Fri:
AUD
Trade Balance

FINGERS CROSSED =)
  • #56,884
  • Nov 30, 2012 3:35am Nov 30, 2012 3:35am
futures at 1.0404 lets see what happens if we tap that there might be some bids come in
  • #56,885
  • Nov 30, 2012 3:38am Nov 30, 2012 3:38am
Sir Wilow

NO! how can you see the monthly bearish? if it is easy to read M,then trading should be too??

What about weekly???
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #56,886
  • Nov 30, 2012 3:54am Nov 30, 2012 3:54am
Quoting Zircon
Sir Wilow

NO! how can you see the monthly bearish? if it is easy to read M,then trading should be too??

What about weekly???


I think price gonna travels up in future???
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #56,887
  • Nov 30, 2012 4:24am Nov 30, 2012 4:24am
Quoting Willow
it

sorry, i can't give numbers, forecasts or charts.
just recommendations' don't sleep too much if you are long and use low leverage and tight SL, IF YOU'RE LONG.

1.0465 at my last intervention.
1.0421 now, after the euro&bros went up...

Edit; forgot to say; AUD is evil ! It can reverse priority print/bull , bull/print, so it can go up again... Only the RBA knows what will be first; print or bull.
Willow You dont have charts? You dont trade?
And Yes AUD is Evil is Dracula is Batman HaHaHa 're a funny guy
  • #56,888
  • Nov 30, 2012 4:35am Nov 30, 2012 4:35am
1.04 just tapped on AUfutures and was picked up by alot of 7-10 lots never traded below Going to bed now as this will look to test again in NY unless some news comes out
  • #56,889
  • Edited 5:41am Nov 30, 2012 5:25am | Edited 5:41am
market narrow, not a good time to take risk.

i am expecting current situation to continue, ie narrow ranges and indexes to continue creep up, pissing off everyone that is not long indexes.

also expecting not much reaction after slash of rate for 25 pips in aud. except markets up. Explanation - already priced in aud.

also, overvaluation of aud is worn out story. Retailers benefit from that, and not opposite as everything is made in china as some other poster mentioned. AU manuafacturing - never existed in a meaningful way. Reason - because AU has adapted other economy to dollar driven by resources cycle. Impossible to have sustainablre profitable export industry with rates fluctuating every 30 years 5:1 or so...

Note that around 1900 daily salary in AU was more than eu or us average monthly. So, sure this can repeat.

Also, tourism - there was little tourists from eu and US when aud was low, so who cares. Currently mainly from asia. Their currenciers keep up pretty well with aud.

anyway, looks like I am done for 2012 . time for HOLIDAYS

I will look here and there just in case i am wrong....
  • #56,890
  • Nov 30, 2012 5:49am Nov 30, 2012 5:49am
Quoting openyoureyes
took positions according to daily / weekly / monthly
I'm -4000 pips from aud crosses

I don't expect any movement till monday & sunday,
next week will be very crucial as the last months perf. results will be unveiled

Mon:
AUD
Retail Sales m/m

Tue:
AUD
Building Approvals m/m

AUD
Cash Rate

AUD
RBA Rate Statement

Wed:
AUD
GDP q/q

Thu:
AUD
Employment Change

AUD
Unemployment Rate

Fri:
AUD
Trade Balance

FINGERS CROSSED =)...

There's also Chinese Manufacturing PMI to be released around Saturday lunchtime (12.pm SYD)
Expectation is 50.8 . A result below 50 or above 51.5 will have the AUD crosses re-opening well away from their weekly closing levels.
  • #56,891
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:36am Nov 30, 2012 7:36am
Quoting jplazard
that was an amazing head fake that just occurred
U know whats even more amazing?? Ive been bearish and i keep telling ppl here my bias still bearish for as long as we stay below 1.0550/90 trendline top.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,892
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:44am Nov 30, 2012 7:44am
Quoting fxtyrant
U know whats even more amazing?? Ive been bearish and i keep telling ppl here my bias still bearish for as long as we stay below 1.0550/90 trendline top.....
fxtyrant You have a bad money management.I hope you learn from mistakes.
  • #56,893
  • Nov 30, 2012 7:50am Nov 30, 2012 7:50am
Quoting Tim_isoara
fxtyrant You have a bad money management.I hope you learn from mistakes.
Lol, nice welcome back i got from you.... Buddy, the account you see on my profile is a demo i use to test out my strategy..... Besides im not trading audusd on it....

I do however have short audusd at 1.0446 on my live account, about to take profit soon

Please spare me the negativity.
Besides u were one of those shouting for 1.06 like the rest of the ppl here....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,894
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:00am Nov 30, 2012 8:00am
Quoting fxtyrant
Lol, nice welcome back i got from you.... Buddy, the account you see on my profile is a demo i use to test out my strategy..... Besides im not trading audusd on it....

I do however have short audusd at 1.0446 on my live account, about to take profit soon

Please spare me the negativity.
Besides u were one of those shouting for 1.06 like the rest of the ppl here....
GL And now positive for you. I hope you learn from mistakes.
  • #56,895
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:01am Nov 30, 2012 8:01am
Quoting Tim_isoara
GL And now positive for you. I hope you learn from mistakes.
Dont we all??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,896
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:04am Nov 30, 2012 8:04am
forcasting

C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-11-30_0757.png
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  • #56,897
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:13am Nov 30, 2012 8:13am
Quoting knightpips
forcasting

C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-11-30_0757.png
And thats when ppl start calling us audusd bears crazy for calling 0.98 regions.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,898
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:15am Nov 30, 2012 8:15am
Quoting Tim_isoara
Willow You dont have charts? You dont trade?
And Yes AUD is Evil is Dracula is Batman HaHaHa 're a funny guy
wait.
i post here just to warn you to be careful if you are long, 3 times more careful than with other pairs.
i trade, i see charts but don'r post.
neither do i came here to show off as a great artist.


we can all imagine what's evil; a stock that is capable at any time to reverse any trend, no matter of how strong it looks, a stock that have resources to do that [RBA], etc, throu manipulation or so.

we have now RBA's need to print, as i said in my previous message, the uptrend started [short trend] which is fooling the masses, on one side, the horrible , hidden super-bear on weekly and monthly on the other side.

The RBA will pick a path and will act fast and radical; 1.15 or 0.93 ...

just be careful.
I'll shop after the drop
  • #56,899
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:32am Nov 30, 2012 8:32am
Time for yolo
This is the live trade i mentioned
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Ps. Credit goes to my fund manager
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,900
  • Nov 30, 2012 8:48am Nov 30, 2012 8:48am
Quoting fxtyrant
And thats when ppl start calling us audusd bears crazy for calling 0.98 regions.....

Are you out of your AUDUSD trade?
Trading comes quickly, patience and discipline does not!
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