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AUD/USD

  • #56,761
  • Nov 27, 2012 8:13pm Nov 27, 2012 8:13pm
Alarm bells???

Good news if you call it that is out of the way in Europe...

Fudged US stock buying ended?

AUD/JPY momentum stalling?

Shanghai composite massive slump?

Im sensing its about to get ugly
  • #56,762
  • Nov 27, 2012 9:11pm Nov 27, 2012 9:11pm
Gonna try and short this under 1.04340
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  • #56,763
  • Nov 27, 2012 9:24pm Nov 27, 2012 9:24pm
Quoting lasty
Alarm bells???

Good news if you call it that is out of the way in Europe...

Fudged US stock buying ended?

AUD/JPY momentum stalling?

Shanghai composite massive slump?

Im sensing its about to get ugly

AUD/JPY momentum stalling??? It just had a 400 pip run up in 2 weeks, of course there is going to be some consolidation / profit taking before it resumes its next leg up. Monthly/Weekly resistance up at 88 - 89.

Supply & Demand zones attract prices like magnets especially when looking at a larger time frame. Anybody want to make a wager that AUD/JPY hits 88 within the next few weeks?
  • #56,764
  • Nov 27, 2012 11:05pm Nov 27, 2012 11:05pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
AUD/JPY momentum stalling??? It just had a 400 pip run up in 2 weeks, of course there is going to be some consolidation / profit taking before it resumes its next leg up. Monthly/Weekly resistance up at 88 - 89.

Supply & Demand zones attract prices like magnets especially when looking at a larger time frame. Anybody want to make a wager that AUD/JPY hits 88 within the next few weeks?
I'll take u up on that with my monopoly money ^^.

I don't think it'll hit 88 in the less than 4 weeks. But it might after 4!
  • #56,765
  • Nov 27, 2012 11:06pm Nov 27, 2012 11:06pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
AUD/JPY momentum stalling??? It just had a 400 pip run up in 2 weeks, of course there is going to be some consolidation / profit taking before it resumes its next leg up. Monthly/Weekly resistance up at 88 - 89.

Supply & Demand zones attract prices like magnets especially when looking at a larger time frame. Anybody want to make a wager that AUD/JPY hits 88 within the next few weeks?
I think it might be sooner than that. Positive swap doesn't hurt either while waiting.
It works till it doesn't
  • #56,766
  • Nov 27, 2012 11:24pm Nov 27, 2012 11:24pm
Let the futures be your guide.. We should test the most nearest open on 4/23 which is 12262 (now at 12222) from there adding to A/J looks promising. I won't be adding long on AJ this week might add more to the AUD/USD to offset a possible slump lower on A/J and a bit more for profit also on A/D
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  • #56,767
  • Nov 27, 2012 11:55pm Nov 27, 2012 11:55pm
like watching paint dry, this must be a record for days without any movement in asia or europe

i cant trade ny session its too late here 12midnight onwards
  • #56,768
  • Nov 28, 2012 12:06am Nov 28, 2012 12:06am
vols with either pick up in RBA dec or this will be the range going into January. Either way I feel your pain and agree 100 although I sleep only 5 hours so I can trade most all sessions. Side note I spoke with the 40yr old me and he is way overweight with heart murmurs and breathing problems
  • #56,769
  • Nov 28, 2012 12:19am Nov 28, 2012 12:19am
Quoting jplazard
vols with either pick up in RBA dec or this will be the range going into January. Either way I feel your pain and agree 100 although I sleep only 5 hours so I can trade most all sessions. Side note I spoke with the 40yr old me and he is way overweight with heart murmurs and breathing problems
But rich though.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #56,770
  • Nov 28, 2012 1:36am Nov 28, 2012 1:36am
Watching, waiting, feeling bearish...
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  • #56,771
  • Nov 28, 2012 2:07am Nov 28, 2012 2:07am
While I'm waiting for the market to catch up with me I thought I'd share a few medium-term AUD fundamentals described on the back page of today's Australian Financial Review. It outlines a case for continued strength.

* The world's central banks held 0.1% reserves in AUD in 2001, today it is .6% and climbing, according to research from Barklay's. The IMF is changing it's approach to it's currency reserves reports and should soon clarify this figure, with the expectation that it will increase.

* Bundesbank and the CBR (Russia) announced their intention to acquire more AUD.

* The high-yield of the AUD is not confined to currency markets. There is evidence of increased demand for Australian shares, as firms borrow in low-yield currencies and invest in equity with AUD.

* Australia still has a AAA rating in a shrinking pool of AAA-graded investments. There are only 11 countries with AAA-ratings now, down from 17 in July last year. 5 of these - Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and the UK have a negative outlook. If these countries were all to be downgraded, Australia's share of AAA-rated investments would increase from 5.1% to around 17.4%. (So these this is definitely one to watch!)

Just something for you position traders out there to think about I guess.
  • #56,772
  • Nov 28, 2012 2:49am Nov 28, 2012 2:49am
I might be wrong. I might be wrong.
I could have sworn I saw a sell coming on.

Apologies to Radiohead fans.
  • #56,773
  • Nov 28, 2012 2:50am Nov 28, 2012 2:50am
meant to attach this
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  • #56,774
  • Nov 28, 2012 3:33am Nov 28, 2012 3:33am
This level is crucial.
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  • #56,775
  • Nov 28, 2012 3:37am Nov 28, 2012 3:37am
looking jpy futures high RR with a very tight stop to long A/J near the current low here I will add to it if NY open us up and follows through after the first hour
for now though on A/J LONG or A/D short adding still sitting on my hands for a definitive signal very tight range so far on A/D this week
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  • #56,776
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:18am Nov 28, 2012 4:18am
...
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  • #56,777
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:19am Nov 28, 2012 4:19am
Quoting jplazard
looking jpy futures high RR with a very tight stop to long A/J near the current low here I will add to it if NY open us up and follows through after the first hour
for now though on A/J LONG or A/D short adding still sitting on my hands for a definitive signal very tight range so far on A/D this week
130.80 level on GBP/JPY held as we'll for support so far & provided some nice bounces today. A nice rally in the US equities market today & these yen crosses will fly.
It works till it doesn't
  • #56,778
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:41am Nov 28, 2012 4:41am
Quoting DaEdge
130.80 level on GBP/JPY held as we'll for support so far & provided some nice bounces today. A nice rally in the US equities market today & these yen crosses will fly.
Dude: what's the name of this forum?
  • #56,779
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:57am Nov 28, 2012 4:57am
aud futures are really having a tough time breaking through this fib here not to mention if we keep this downside to sideways action that sets up a Pinbar Shorting on futures side sell stop at 1.0430 SL 1.0465
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  • #56,780
  • Nov 28, 2012 4:58am Nov 28, 2012 4:58am
Quoting jplazard
aud futures are really having a tough time breaking through this fib here not to mention if we keep this downside to sideways action that sets up a Pinbar Shorting on futures side sell stop at 1.0430 SL 1.0465
ya i have my sellstop at 1.0430 but I don't think order will be executed. aussie in 50-60 range for 6 hrs now
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