Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun | Page 1989 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

GBP/USD

Similar Threads

Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

You talk the talk I walk the talk 8 replies

Attachments: Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun
Exit Attachments

Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #39,761
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:31pm Nov 19, 2012 6:31pm
Quoting roro53
nice. i like the way you put the Moody's DG into context, Piters.

i trade the CAC40 and the selling on it has been relatively shallow as compared to pretty much all other indexes...France being Europe's 2nd largest ec so if Hollande does a 180 turn and moves off the election rhetoric and comes with an aggressive stance promoting growth that along with the printing fuel already in place may turn all of this into a pretty nice bonfire...........maybe wrong, but everything is possible, nothing impossible kind of thinking
agree again,, a big Teddy Bear hung above Obama bed every nite he goes to nap..
A balance between EU mess and US debt is the main driver for US crosses..

Ben/Timmy can "stimulate" as much they want.. but the Hole is Hole.. need "proper work" not "stimulation only"

long term..

If EU fix political differences between North/South.. and eventual final Bank regulation laws, EUR is set for a new highs,, as USD has no other choice then to devaluate.. specially now IF [when] Japan is on board to make some huge changes if opposition take power and set different BOJ rules for game to play...

as for us.. we are just fine.. volatility is THE only thing we need .. right ??
  • #39,762
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:34pm Nov 19, 2012 6:34pm
and this is how it all started in WWII...........100 dead already and no body do nothing to stop it, Obama is just waiting in his nintendo big room to start launching thomahoaks........with hillary watching......

Hamas leader, Khaled Meshal told a news conference: "If you wanted to launch it, you would have done it." He suggested that the Israeli infantry mobilization on the border with Gaza was a bluff.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/1...?ncid=webmail1
The Chonchy
  • #39,763
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:42pm Nov 19, 2012 6:42pm
Quoting Piters
agree again,, a big Teddy Bear hung above Obama bed every nite he goes to nap..
A balance between EU mess and US debt is the main driver for US crosses..

Ben/Timmy can "stimulate" as much they want.. but the Hole is Hole.. need "proper work" not "stimulation only"

long term..

If EU fix political differences between North/South.. and eventual final Bank regulation laws, EUR is set for a new highs,, as USD has no other choice then to devaluate.. specially now IF [when] Japan is on board to make some huge changes if opposition take...
nice again. i love the way you put it all into context, Piters; got the stimulus ready and mix it with some real solutions (economic and political policies)

also onside with your view re BOJ..........Nikki was the laggard last january when LTRO kicked off opening day 2012 with agap up for the S&P.........next 2 months Nikki went from 8500ish up to over 10,000........that was only LTRO

this is FLOW plus whatever new rules come out of Abe for the BOJ's role (3% inflation was the mentioned target - like the FED; print until unemployment falls to 5.5%...Japan prints until 3)........then there is the ECB
  • #39,764
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:54pm Nov 19, 2012 6:54pm
Quoting chonchy
maybe is because people are starting to feel 2008 here again, or maybe because they all know fiat money is not going to last, or maybe they are all wrong and the four year channel down is going to change up now, who know's

..........monthly chart, channel down, is going to change up now, maybe perhaps, who know's.......remember they love to go up when everybody is down........
Could be bro could be but first rally like 1999 to many crash predictors in the boardroom black swans are hard to predict. Any way apex yuro 1.28
  • #39,765
  • Edited 7:31pm Nov 19, 2012 7:01pm | Edited 7:31pm
Quoting Piters
agree again,, a big Teddy Bear hung above Obama bed every nite he goes to nap..
A balance between EU mess and US debt is the main driver for US crosses..

Ben/Timmy can "stimulate" as much they want.. but the Hole is Hole.. need "proper work" not "stimulation only"

long term..

If EU fix political differences between North/South.. and eventual final Bank regulation laws, EUR is set for a new highs,, as USD has no other choice then to devaluate.. specially now IF [when] Japan is on board to make some huge changes if...
in deed, they stimulate, the euro stimulate, we, they, ours, theirs, but......the hole stays there......
The Chonchy
  • #39,766
  • Nov 19, 2012 7:06pm Nov 19, 2012 7:06pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Could be bro could be but first rally like 1999 to many crash predictors in the boardroom black swans are hard to predict. Any way apex yuro 1.28

hope you are rite Ing, will hate to see you stuck in a rally like in 1999 and the euro drop to 1.20, like in 2012......well I'm sure you are seting your stops tite, you are a tiger, I'm not worrie about you.......go get it tiger......
The Chonchy
  • #39,767
  • Nov 19, 2012 7:13pm Nov 19, 2012 7:13pm
Quoting Piters
agree again,, a big Teddy Bear hung above Obama bed every nite he goes to nap..
A balance between EU mess and US debt is the main driver for US crosses..

Ben/Timmy can "stimulate" as much they want.. but the Hole is Hole.. need "proper work" not "stimulation only"

long term..

If EU fix political differences between North/South.. and eventual final Bank regulation laws, EUR is set for a new highs,, as USD has no other choice then to devaluate.. specially now IF [when] Japan is on board to make some huge changes if opposition take...
......If dollar devaluates, economy get bether people buy dollar as safety, pair goes down........EU fix political diferences EU need to fix migration policies, trow away the pigs out, but shame, too proud to do that
Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain are the emergency breakes of EU economie's and germany is gething tired of all this nonsense, it all breake lose soon, and I want to be there.........maybe I'm all wrong like usual..........
The Chonchy
  • #39,768
  • Edited 7:47pm Nov 19, 2012 7:33pm | Edited 7:47pm
Quoting chonchy
and this is how it all started in WWII...........100 dead already and no body do nothing to stop it, Obama is just waiting in his nintendo big room to start launching thomahoaks........with hillary watching......

Hamas leader, Khaled Meshal told a news conference: "If you wanted to launch it, you would have done it." He suggested that the Israeli infantry mobilization on the border with Gaza was a bluff.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/1...?ncid=webmail1
No conflict or war is good, regardless of motives and drives. Middle East is still less then regional and controlled conflict, and is going to stay that way until Turkey get involved.. If we are talking danger.. then pay attention to Turkey.. as a main player..

Why? difference in nationalities, religious, or even political views drives many conflicts all over the globe in history.. creating even more devastation, destruction.. In time humans gets their way to overcome those problems [differences] on some part on this planet, but on many they didnt... The best human achievements and developments were made when countries are strong and powerful enough to finance the research: Greek, Macedonian Empire, ROME, Byzantium, China, US, EU... ect ect..

Let's observe for a moment US, Australia, Canada, EU.. You can create a new nation in 100-200Y period of time, where everyone can live, work, dream in colour, and no one even ask if you are having Greek, German, or Palestinian heritage.. and as long you are having same or compatible views you are my Friend.. and.. same PPL, same national, religious, or political views put in different environment gave different results.. so..

US is a good starting point, and as a successful story, is a model to globalize the rest of the world.. and that is what is happening right now.. some parts on our planet unite voluntarily as EU.. but some parts trough conflicts.. We are seeing a creation of 5-6 political unions- states.. where many ppl voluntarily or not are going to lose their identities [nationalities], and accept new ones.. [all signs are present...]

Dont want to sound globalist or OWG member, Iam not approving all methods if you ask me personally, but just giving my observation..

as many things in our live.. there are good and bad points..
  • #39,769
  • Nov 19, 2012 8:08pm Nov 19, 2012 8:08pm
Quoting Piters
No conflict or war is good, regardless of motives and drives. Middle East is still less then regional and controlled conflict, and is going to stay that way until Turkey get involved.. If we are talking danger.. then pay attention to Turkey.. as a main player..

Why? difference in nationalities, religious, or even political views drives many conflicts all over the globe in history.. creating even more devastation, destruction.. In time humans gets their way to overcome those problems [differences] on some part on this planet, but on...

markets rally on wars stocks then good for the economy http://www.thereformedbroker.com/wp-...ces-of-War.pdf
  • #39,770
  • Nov 19, 2012 8:09pm Nov 19, 2012 8:09pm
apple for example everybody was jerking of there products then market flushes some morons and now it is a shit company yeah right
  • #39,771
  • Edited 9:23pm Nov 19, 2012 8:11pm | Edited 9:23pm
Quoting chonchy
hope you are rite Ing, will hate to see you stuck in a rally like in 1999 and the euro drop to 1.20, like in 2012......well I'm sure you are seting your stops tite, you are a tiger, I'm not worrie about you.......go get it tiger......

No worries bro eu rangefuck talking equities. Alwell rangefuck with bullish bias

Inserted Video
  • #39,772
  • Nov 20, 2012 1:03am Nov 20, 2012 1:03am
Quoting chonchy
......If dollar devaluates, economy get bether people buy dollar as safety, pair goes down........EU fix political diferences EU need to fix migration policies, trow away the pigs out, but shame, too proud to do that
Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain are the emergency breakes of EU economie's and germany is gething tired of all this nonsense, it all breake lose soon, and I want to be there.........maybe I'm all wrong like usual..........
Thunderbirds are go Sir Chonchy

Got to go, baby is calling...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: christmas trade2660if.gif Size: 14 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #39,773
  • Nov 20, 2012 1:54am Nov 20, 2012 1:54am
Mornin'

Daily Graph

not a good graph for Bears...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 22 KB
  • #39,774
  • Nov 20, 2012 2:21am Nov 20, 2012 2:21am
Today’s orderboard
Written by Pete Jackson (forexlive)
November 20, 2012 at 07:58 GMT

EUR/USD: Bids 1.2750/60 sell stops below 1.2750 and 1.2740 ahead of bids 1.2695/2710 from funds/ real money/ sovereigns, sell stops below and through 1.2680, ahead of 100 day MA at 1.2650 .Offers 1.2830/50 (31.8% Oct17 –Nov 13 fall 1.2842) and 1.2880/00

GBP/USD: Bids 1.5880/90 and bids/ tech 1.5850/60 (200 day MA at 1.5852), more 1.5800/10 and tech supp 1.5790 (50% fibo of June-Sept rally) sell stops below . Offers 1.5915/25 possible buy stops just above, ahead of tech res 1.5935/40 (Tenkan line 1.5936) and 1.5950/60, , larger up at 1.6000/10 (kijun line 1.6003)

EUR/GBP: Offers 0.8055/65, buy stops above ahead of stronger offers 0.8080/8100. (200 day MA at 0.8079). Bids 0.8025/35 and tech supp/options at 0.8000/10, sell stops just below ahead of more bids 0.7985/95 and at 0.7960/70. (0.7964 100 day MA).

USD/JPY: Bids 80.90/81.10, sell stops through 80.90 ahead of more bids 80.50/60. Sell stops through 80.400 ahead of bids again 80.25/35 (tenkan line 80.27), more sell stops through 80.20 and 80.00. Offers start 81.30/50 from exporters (Apr 27 highs 81.45, 61.8% fib retracement at 81.50). Tech res above 81.70/80 (81.75 and 82.00 barriers), buy stops through 82.00

EUR/JPY: Offers 104.10/30 buy stops above just above ahead of tech res 104.55/60 ( 104.58 Oct 23 high). Bids 103.50/70 and larger down around 103.00/10 sell stops just below ahead of more bids 102.40/50

AUD/JPY: Bids 84.40/50 and 84.10/20, sell stops through 84.00. Offers 84.70/80 buy stops through 84.90 with larger on a break of 85.20 (85.18 Apr 6 high)

AUD/USD: Offers 1.0430/50, some buy stops through 1.0460 and 1.0480. More offers 1.0500/20. Bids 1.0380/00 from sovereigns, real money(1.0387 daily cloud top) ahead of tech supp 1.0371 (100 day MA). Sell stops through 1.0370 ahead of larger bids 1.0350/60 and tech supp 1.0318 (200 day MA)

EUR/AUD: Offers 1.2300/10 1.2345/55 and 1.2380/00. Bids/tech 1.2275/85 (Tenkan line), likely sell stops through 1.2260 ahead of better support 1.2195/2210 (1.2197 100 day MA)
  • #39,775
  • Nov 20, 2012 2:58am Nov 20, 2012 2:58am
hi everyone,
oil is quiet so far but i am waiting.On my chart it looks like e/u going to drop but i still feeling not good about trading it.Actually i may go out today and not trade as yesterday i had a good day with oil. Have a good day all
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #39,776
  • Nov 20, 2012 3:31am Nov 20, 2012 3:31am
music...

Inserted Video


Inserted Video
  • #39,777
  • Nov 20, 2012 3:57am Nov 20, 2012 3:57am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Thunderbirds are go Sir Chonchy

Got to go, baby is calling...
.......Cat out of the bag for longs ah......I'm taking precautions with the franc already......I heard you........
The Chonchy
  • #39,778
  • Nov 20, 2012 3:58am Nov 20, 2012 3:58am
Quoting dswk
Mornin'

Daily Graph

not a good graph for Bears...

........In deed my friend, in deed, nothing a few shorts on the U/CHF won't fix..........thanks
The Chonchy
  • #39,779
  • Nov 20, 2012 4:03am Nov 20, 2012 4:03am
Quoting billytt
hi everyone,
oil is quiet so far but i am waiting.On my chart it looks like e/u going to drop but i still feeling not good about trading it.Actually i may go out today and not trade as yesterday i had a good day with oil. Have a good day all
......In my chart it looks like is going to go bullish for a while......a green arrow show up in the monthly chart and that is not good at all for bears, not good, so is time to short the franc........at least to the red ema 100, we may go, 2981 first......last high........
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1h.gif Size: 50 KB
The Chonchy
  • #39,780
  • Nov 20, 2012 4:18am Nov 20, 2012 4:18am
Quoting Piters
No conflict or war is good, regardless of motives and drives. Middle East is still less then regional and controlled conflict, and is going to stay that way until Turkey get involved.. If we are talking danger.. then pay attention to Turkey.. as a main player..

Why? difference in nationalities, religious, or even political views drives many conflicts all over the globe in history.. creating even more devastation, destruction.. In time humans gets their way to overcome those problems [differences] on some part on this planet, but on many...
.......I don't wnat to sound like a conspiracy theorist Peters, but I think you are forgeting a power out there ("there is a power somewhere so organized, that they have bether not speak above their breath when they speak in condemnation of it" ) that is got their own plans and won't stop at nothing to get to the end of it, and is not good for us the little guys at all, that think that we are cosuming their resources and want to eliminate half of the population, by coincidence the bible saids WWIII starts true the midle east, and the only two powers that could stop this are out of the game, Irak and Libia, so maybe, and I hope I am wrong but just maybe the war is inminent but not for the good of us, the little ones, like me........
The Chonchy
74 traders viewing now