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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

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  • #39,741
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:35pm Nov 19, 2012 5:35pm
........First target hit so stop moved to 100.0 or entrie +1, 2775.......
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The Chonchy
  • #39,742
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:35pm Nov 19, 2012 5:35pm
Quoting pkimnyc
wouldn't say it's a luck. you had it planed.
<=========yep pure hard work/luck...
Gone to a better place
  • #39,743
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:37pm Nov 19, 2012 5:37pm
we need to break this red ema 100 to move lower, and I don't see it happening.......
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The Chonchy
  • #39,744
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:39pm Nov 19, 2012 5:39pm
Quoting smikester
Maybe we are risk off now Moodies downgraded France? In which case dollar strength, equities down, Euro down? We need some fundamental input here from the likes of Roro or Ingmar.
Yuro is a bitch and will rangefuck year end imo bailot greece did lift it up a bit but whe all know bailouts at the end dont work especially for the greece they buy tanks and shit instead working on the econmy bookmakers are shit. Risk is the spanish bailout what will lift the pair higer imo when it happens thats 1 reason why i cant be to bearish year end to many odds dont favor the move. Also december is a month something like 78% markets go up from all years so cyclical not really good thing kinda christmass rally. From a pure economic point of view i stand by the course that export countries would do well but in 2013 probally not because of the slowdown and people pile in to safe havens. But when that part is done i would look for valua look at balance sheets of countries trade surplusses especially the import export factor the usd is in a longterm cyclical down and will stay but has a off course pullbacks. So a big rally for sometime whe already did the most. ALso if you look recently what i find verry intresting is that correlations are breaking down. So the clasic roro (risk on off) trade migth dissapear. And whe can truely trade on solid fundies instead of central banks fucking with the market. So whe can sleep better.



The problem with the yuro france is the rotten apple i pointed out sometime before here and it will be but imo the most important path is what ze germans are gonna do german nrs are the most important to watch now. The thing is france been printing shit nrs for sometime now and everybody ignorred all focussed on the greece spain itally . Aslong cental banker keep fucking with the market it is hard to make any longterm projections both usd and eur are shit and ben doesnt liek a strong dollar now him running 4 more years. In the house i dont like to be to bearish on the yuro. Any spark could lift it i would rather say some fucking range with extreme moves and harder to trade in 2013. Allwel it depends what kinda a trader you are..

Like my friend scope says

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  • #39,745
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:39pm Nov 19, 2012 5:39pm
Quoting smikester
<=========yep pure hard work/luck...
The Chonchy
  • #39,746
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:44pm Nov 19, 2012 5:44pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Yuro is a bitch and will rangefuck year end imo bailot greece did lift it up a bit but whe all know bailouts at the end dont work especially for the greece they buy tanks and shit instead working on the econmy bookmakers are shit. Risk is the spanish bailout what will lift the pair higer imo when it happens thats 1 reason why i cant be to bearish year end to many odds dont favor the move. Also december is a month something like 78% markets go up from all years so cyclical not really good thing kinda christmass rally. From a pure economic point of...
.......Good rap, good rap around Ing, thanks.......
The Chonchy
  • #39,747
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:46pm Nov 19, 2012 5:46pm
Quoting smikester
Maybe we are risk off now Moodies downgraded France? In which case dollar strength, equities down, Euro down? We need some fundamental input here from the likes of Roro or Ingmar.
you are the highland devil, i think.........check this out........Treasury/Geithner soak up QE3 with CMBs........no Mo for PDs......yet

Treasury announces Cash Management Bill That Will Soak Up All Turkey Gravy Fed Market


it may or may not slow the rally. who knows? this is a crazy market. when i read it i closed out long equity trades from this morning

but, the FLOW diversion is only temporary and once we cross the rubicon into january 2013 different tale to be told imo.........The FLOW will be relentless month over month......POMO on steroids

up 3+% today long nas100, FTSE, DAX, IBEX, Italy's ITA ........and, oil from friday (nice fundamental trade off S and escalation of ME tensions)

inverse H&S pattern forming for gold?

Draghi will come out of the closet to spook the shorts on a pullback into a thin yr end market too....what better time to manipulate price?
  • #39,748
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:48pm Nov 19, 2012 5:48pm
Quoting roro53
you are the highland devil, i think.........check this out........Treasury/Geithner soak up QE3 with CMBs........no Mo for PDs......yet

Treasury announces Cash Management Bill That Will Soak Up All Turkey Gravy Fed Market


it may or may not slow the rally. who knows? this is a crazy market. when i read it i closed out long equity trades from this morning

but, the FLOW diversion is only temporary and once we cross the rubicon into january 2013...

Whe also have they fed operation twist is ending they will come with something else what about a massive injections. Bernanke has nothing to lose he knows he is out in 4 years.
  • #39,749
  • Nov 19, 2012 5:56pm Nov 19, 2012 5:56pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Whe also have they fed operation twist is ending they will come with something else what about a massive injections. Bernanke has nothing to lose he knows he is out in 4 years.
......Bernanke has nothing to lose and a lot to gain in interests on those juice loans he lend to our goverment but I don't think the next chairman will stop doing loans to our mofo goverment, they are all in the take, they are all in bed together, bastards.......or did allan grenspan did anything diferent than lend money to the goverment right and left, well ben is the champion that is for sure, i wonder how rosthshild will compensate him for all this masive loans to a world of banks.........mofo bastards, shiet feck, son of.........
The Chonchy
  • #39,750
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:01pm Nov 19, 2012 6:01pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Whe also have they fed operation twist is ending they will come with something else what about a massive injections. Bernanke has nothing to lose he knows he is out in 4 years.
.........will the empire last another 4 years?
The Chonchy
  • #39,751
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:03pm Nov 19, 2012 6:03pm
Quoting chonchy
.........will the empire last another 4 years?
Who knows bro but 1 thing i know is that i havent seen so many people bearish for long time and only some bulls thats all i know
  • #39,752
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:04pm Nov 19, 2012 6:04pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Whe also have they fed operation twist is ending they will come with something else what about a massive injections. Bernanke has nothing to lose he knows he is out in 4 years.
i think the FED has already indicated twist is to be extended so minimun is $85 billion of FLOW into the PD network per month for at least the duration of 2013 (from what i read i believe that is a MINIMUM)(i think you will see a larger number)
  • #39,753
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:06pm Nov 19, 2012 6:06pm
Quoting roro53
i think the FED has already indicated twist is to be extended so minimun is $85 billion of FLOW into the PD network per month for at least the duration of 2013 (from what i read i believe that is a MINIMUM)(i think you will see a larger number)
well says to me to the moon
  • #39,754
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:06pm Nov 19, 2012 6:06pm
Quoting roro53
you are the highland devil, i think.........check this out........Treasury/Geithner soak up QE3 with CMBs........no Mo for PDs......yet

Treasury announces Cash Management Bill That Will Soak Up All Turkey Gravy Fed Market


it may or may not slow the rally. who knows? this is a crazy market. when i read it i closed out long equity trades from this morning

but, the FLOW diversion is only temporary and once we cross the rubicon into january 2013...
I agree, it is a fight between political differences [incompabilities] in EU land, and Huge US budget cliff MESS..

a PB before some good Greece "saving" news.. ??? possible.. not out of the wood in any way...
again.. history [recent one] teaches that big decision RE: agencies and sovereign rates, are temporary events.. US, Spain.. ect.. ect..

As France, a small slap to Hollande hands, to be more careful with taxes and way where he lead France in future.. Killing the entrepreneurial spirit in France is not a way to lead the country out of recession..

No event IMHO..
  • #39,755
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:09pm Nov 19, 2012 6:09pm
Well if it stays like this till year end i can buy all the way up equities then. And offset audusd short
  • #39,756
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:13pm Nov 19, 2012 6:13pm
.........I think roro is rite, this is what people like to see, are we sain, are we moving forward.........

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The Chonchy
  • #39,757
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:15pm Nov 19, 2012 6:15pm
.......the problem is to find how to all fit in this new society........

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#!

http://www.autoblog.com/2012/11/17/2...ncid=webmail42
The Chonchy
  • #39,758
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:18pm Nov 19, 2012 6:18pm
Quoting Piters
I agree, it is a fight between political differences [incompabilities] in EU land, and Huge US budget cliff MESS..

a PB before some good Greece "saving" news.. ??? possible.. not out of the wood in any way...
again.. history [recent one] teaches that big decision RE: agencies and sovereign rates, are temporary events.. US, Spain.. ect.. ect..

As France, a small slap to Hollande hands, to be more careful with taxes and way where he lead France in future.. Killing the entrepreneurial spirit in France is not a way to lead the country out...
nice. i like the way you put the Moody's DG into context, Piters.

i trade the CAC40 and the selling on it has been relatively shallow as compared to pretty much all other indexes...France being Europe's 2nd largest ec so if Hollande does a 180 turn and moves off the election rhetoric and comes with an aggressive stance promoting growth that along with the printing fuel already in place may turn all of this into a pretty nice bonfire...........maybe wrong, but everything is possible, nothing impossible kind of thinking
  • #39,759
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:22pm Nov 19, 2012 6:22pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Who knows bro but 1 thing i know is that i havent seen so many people bearish for long time and only some bulls thats all i know
maybe is because people are starting to feel 2008 here again, or maybe because they all know fiat money is not going to last, or maybe they are all wrong and the four year channel down is going to change up now, who know's

..........monthly chart, channel down, is going to change up now, maybe perhaps, who know's.......remember they love to go up when everybody is down........
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The Chonchy
  • #39,760
  • Nov 19, 2012 6:30pm Nov 19, 2012 6:30pm
Weapon of mass political destruction #1
Income Taxes and “Revenue Enhancers”
Obama promised during the campaign that he would end the Bush-era tax cuts for households making more than $250,000 a year; and immediately after election day he vowed not to budge from that pledge.

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/fisca...truction-50935
The Chonchy
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