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AUD/USD

  • #56,481
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:13pm Nov 15, 2012 1:13pm
Quoting fxtyrant
well atleast now it shows i know EXACTLY what im talking about... like i said..... i have been bear and ALWAYS will be if we remain below 1.0550...
i also said that AUDUSD does not necessarily have to get all the way back up to 1.0550 to find sellers... Heard of fibo retracements? 61.8% and 78.2% provides good retracement levels to find continuation for the down move....

Funny how 100pipsperday suddenly posted a FXdaily Tech analysis that Suddenly turned STRONG BUY to STRONG SELL in just a matter hours....

Heres a picture to show you guys about...
You must be kidding?To be on the wrong side of a trade for a month .You need to work on your precision and timing imo. As for the magic fib numbers, price went above your level by around 40 pips....
If you could give the forum some timeframe, that would give your claim some validity. To just say it's going to .93 or whatever is pretty vague.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #56,482
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:18pm Nov 15, 2012 1:18pm
Quoting bogus
You must be kidding?To be on the wrong side of a trade for a month .You need to work on your precision and timing imo. As for the magic fib numbers, price went above your level by around 40 pips....
If you could give the forum some timeframe, that would give your claim some validity. To just say it's going to .93 or whatever is pretty vague.
Price went above 61.8% but never closed a dailycandle above it, that tells you a nice daily rejection at 61.8%, so please.... Ive been right abput the drop.... Ive been yelling, kicking and taunting that we will recisit 1.0330....
So please choose another guy to pick on
In fact i got a guy for you.... Notice how wulfgar is not postin as frequent anymore, news update for u buddy but cloggie aint posting up numbers on twitter now.... Wulfgar's been using cloggie's number as his own for ages....
Also im not sayig 0.93, im sayig .97/.98 buddy and if you read hard on my posts, and a guy cdndollar pr sth he posted a nice fibo arch that will bring us all the way down there
And ive mentioned this multiple times im looking at 0.97/.98 are as the low of AUDUSD on the weekly time frame.... And weekly timeframe can take months before moves start happening.... But when the move starts you guys who look at m5 m15 and m30 chart are gona wonder what the fuck just happened
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,483
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:20pm Nov 15, 2012 1:20pm
Bogus, there's a good reason why I put shouters after the fact on iggy.
  • #56,484
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:24pm Nov 15, 2012 1:24pm
Quoting Ken A
Bogus, there's a good reason why I put shouters after the fact on iggy.
I probably should. How do you feel about shouters a month before the fact?
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #56,485
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:28pm Nov 15, 2012 1:28pm
Quoting bogus
I probably should. How do you feel about shouters a month before the fact?
If the reasons are valid before the facts and validated after the facts, I would be a lifetime follower even to hell and back. BUT I didn't see anyone shouted the trigger would be YEN.
  • #56,486
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:29pm Nov 15, 2012 1:29pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Price went above 61.8% but never closed a dailycandle above it, that tells you a nice daily rejection at 61.8%, so please.... Ive been right abput the drop.... Ive been yelling, kicking and taunting that we will recisit 1.0330....
So please choose another guy to pick on
In fact i got a guy for you.... Notice how wulfgar is not postin as frequent anymore, news update for u buddy but cloggie aint posting up numbers on twitter now.... Wulfgar's been using cloggie's number as his own for ages....
Also im not sayig 0.93, im sayig .97/.98 buddy and if...
You keep editing your posts. To be honest I don't pay much attention to your posts. Ok, .97/.98 WHEN? Theres a saying that even a broken clock is right twice a day, price moves up and down. You need to tell us when your analysis is invalid. Theres nothing wrong with making a call and it doesn't work out. We are dealing in probabilities, nothing is definite.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #56,487
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:39pm Nov 15, 2012 1:39pm
Quoting bogus
You keep editing your posts. To be honest I don't pay much attention to your posts. Ok, .97/.98 WHEN? Theres a saying that even a broken clock is right twice a day, price moves up and down. You need to tell us when your analysis is invalid. Theres nothing wrong with making a call and it doesn't work out. We are dealing in probabilities, nothing is definite.
Dude i dont know when... Thats the problem.... All i know is that we have the weekly emas down there and orders are sure to be piled up there.. Problem is i have nooooo idea when we would visit that area to get those i stitutional orders filled.... All i know is that.....
Like you said one thing i can say is that the invalidity is if we break above the weekly downtrend at 1.0580 and when i mean a break i meant a break, close above and a retest rejection to confirm up tremd and invalidate 0.97/.98

Besides even you are saying nothing is definite, sp what is sp surprising about not able to give you a definite time horizon?? Buddy this is forex, the big boys can move when and wherever they want the market to move....
They an heck even call AUDUSD to be pegged at parity.... I mean who the fuck knows man??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,488
  • Nov 15, 2012 2:14pm Nov 15, 2012 2:14pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Dude i dont know when... Thats the problem.... All i know is that we have the weekly emas down there and orders are sure to be piled up there.. Problem is i have nooooo idea when we would visit that area to get those i stitutional orders filled.... All i know is that.....
Like you said one thing i can say is that the invalidity is if we break above the weekly downtrend at 1.0580 and when i mean a break i meant a break, close above and a retest rejection to confirm up tremd and invalidate 0.97/.98

Besides even you are saying nothing is definite,...
the fact is that youve been wrong for weeks. that would lock up margin that could be used elsewhere assuming that you could withstand the draw down. not to mention that being right at the wrong time can be the kiss of death in fx and options. things like that matter to people who arent testing strategies all the time.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #56,489
  • Nov 15, 2012 2:18pm Nov 15, 2012 2:18pm
fxtyrant,
does it mean we have to stay below 1.033 on daily chart to confirm downtrend?
we have 2hrs before cutoff time..
  • #56,490
  • Nov 15, 2012 2:26pm Nov 15, 2012 2:26pm
point to note that sharp divergence in asia yesterday. Nikkei sharply up, everything else down.

my take is : whatever process was in place that benefited asia and global shares based on jpy, has been now reversed/replaced for benefit pf jap shares.

usually printing benefit all shares and aud but not this time.


  • #56,491
  • Nov 15, 2012 2:41pm Nov 15, 2012 2:41pm
Quoting redteamgo
the fact is that youve been wrong for weeks. that would lock up margin that could be used elsewhere assuming that you could withstand the draw down. not to mention that being right at the wrong time can be the kiss of death in fx and options. things like that matter to people who arent testing strategies all the time.
I dont care if it locks up margin man.... I place very small trades
Also ur margin requirement depends on ur account leverage size..
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,492
  • Nov 15, 2012 3:41pm Nov 15, 2012 3:41pm
Quoting redteamgo
the fact is that youve been wrong for weeks. that would lock up margin that could be used elsewhere assuming that you could withstand the draw down. not to mention that being right at the wrong time can be the kiss of death in fx and options. things like that matter to people who arent testing strategies all the time.
Well if he is trading live he was close to his margin limit I believe at one point.. the fact that it didn't happen maybe it is weaker than it looks...in reality if market is going to get you it gets you quick and kills you right away. You're on the right side if market is keeping your positions in check.
  • #56,493
  • Nov 15, 2012 3:51pm Nov 15, 2012 3:51pm
This was first idea.
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...6&d=1352801871

Ok we got second version (break of 200 ema).Now i need test from below if that same EMA or test of that 4hr suport line also from below. and then new wave on more down.That test should be nice place for more sell.target hope to bee support blue line of weekly triangle.On the way down more sell .That was the plan in first place and hope to see it done in few weeks.
Hope to see that target before end of this year because of this fiscal clif in USA when dollar could be losing price again.
  • #56,494
  • Nov 15, 2012 3:52pm Nov 15, 2012 3:52pm
oh charts
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  • #56,495
  • Nov 15, 2012 4:03pm Nov 15, 2012 4:03pm
Quoting HelloOz
fxtyrant,
does it mean we have to stay below 1.033 on daily chart to confirm downtrend?
we have 2hrs before cutoff time..
failed to close below,
not sure what will happen now,
is 38.2fib a reliable indicator?
  • #56,496
  • Nov 15, 2012 4:22pm Nov 15, 2012 4:22pm
Quoting sidhujag
Well if he is trading live he was close to his margin limit I believe at one point.. the fact that it didn't happen maybe it is weaker than it looks...in reality if market is going to get you it gets you quick and kills you right away. You're on the right side if market is keeping your positions in check.
dude i was never close to my margin limit.... 20% around 1.0400 besides i was short GBPUSD so that should give some cushioning....
but i was certain that AUDUSD will revisit 1.0330 as long as we stayed below 1.0580.... and we did.... if my Tadawulfx demo account wasnt closed due to some lame ass reason... i would've been out of my shorts from above 1.0330... Probably take a small hit for the 1.03 short but still profitable and still growing...

i had the bigger picture in mind.... just timing of my entry could be perfected a bit... but i hope i've demostrated enough that it DOESNT have to reach 1.0580 to find fresh sells... we found huge sellers ate the 61.8% fib retracement of the fall we had from 1.06 down to 1.0180.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,497
  • Nov 15, 2012 4:23pm Nov 15, 2012 4:23pm
Quoting HelloOz
failed to close below,
not sure what will happen now,
is 38.2fib a reliable indicator?
well looking at the daily chart EMA 200 being at 1.0316 today was where AUDUSD found support....
problem is we need a bullish candle TODAY if we are to bounce back up... otherwise we COULD still be in the down move...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,498
  • Nov 15, 2012 4:25pm Nov 15, 2012 4:25pm
Quoting HelloOz
failed to close below,
not sure what will happen now,
is 38.2fib a reliable indicator?

There's four badly drawn lines which indicate current possibilities in my mind. If the yellow line comes to fruition, I believe this would create a MAJOR move down way way down beyond down's dreams. (Something like .85)

Considering next week is Thanksgiving, I would think volume will be low. (This will be my first holiday season for trading. Almost 4 months to go for my first year.)
Attached Image
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,499
  • Nov 15, 2012 4:46pm Nov 15, 2012 4:46pm
Quoting GnarlyPips
There's four badly drawn lines which indicate current possibilities in my mind. If the yellow line comes to fruition, I believe this would create a MAJOR move down way way down beyond down's dreams. (Something like .85)

Considering next week is Thanksgiving, I would think volume will be low. (This will be my first holiday season for trading. Almost 4 months to go for my first year.)
im thinking Red line more likely...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,500
  • Nov 15, 2012 4:48pm Nov 15, 2012 4:48pm
Quoting fxtyrant
well looking at the daily chart EMA 200 being at 1.0316 today was where AUDUSD found support....
problem is we need a bullish candle TODAY if we are to bounce back up... otherwise we COULD still be in the down move...

Tyrant I feel that you are either a banker trying to fill people with bogus trades or that you cant trade! I dont know why I feel this but I just do! I've read many of your posts and you talk a good game thats for sure. Looking at your trades explain to me/us why you are -500 pips on your open trades. Trading is simple really, trade what you see and dont guess where price will take you because you will end up with egg on your face!!

Also one of your trades is or was -200 pips, why have you let it go that far without cutting your losses?
Trading comes quickly, patience and discipline does not!
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