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AUD/USD

  • #56,401
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:29pm Nov 14, 2012 11:29pm
Dollar Index is way overbought but i figure this will be the case until Washington comes out with aplan


Now above the 50% YTD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-11-14-TOS_CHARTS.jpg Size: 163 KB
  • #56,402
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:37pm Nov 14, 2012 11:37pm
AUD/USD - H4 and D1 Charts

As can be seen from the charts below the H4/D1 Trend Line is now broken and confirmed with yesterday's daily close.

D1 - MACD has now crossed over confirming Sell signal for AUD/USD


*I personally thought we would re-test the Weekly TL at roughly 1.058 but it doesn't look like that is going to happen now as all markets seem to be in "Risk-Off" mode due to problems in the Eurozone as well as fiscal cliff worries in the USA.

Money will find "safety" in the safe haven currencies, namely the USD. As traders we need to adapt to market changes and trade what our charts tell us. Currently AUD/USD (as well as most other majors) are pointing DOWN against the greenback.

AUD/USD 1st Target - 1.015 This level has shown excellent support in the past. I will look to take profit around this area and see what price action tells us at that time.

Good luck everybody!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD - H4.jpg Size: 135 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD - D1.jpg Size: 153 KB
  • #56,403
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:40pm Nov 14, 2012 11:40pm
100 great charts as expected and I agree also looking for confirmation on a upper trendline breakdown on Futures AU lets see if we can close below 1.0334 it will set in motion a sell follow through like last night
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-11-14-TOS_CHARTS.jpg Size: 251 KB
  • #56,404
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:44pm Nov 14, 2012 11:44pm
Good morning room,

Hi 100pips, thanks for your reply.

Hi and sorry GnralyPips.

Need to put my alarm in the middle of the night, that's the second day in a row that asia rocks the yen cross pair.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,405
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:50pm Nov 14, 2012 11:50pm
Quoting maximinus
Good morning room,

Hi 100pips, thanks for your reply.

Hi and sorry GnralyPips.

Need to put my alarm in the middle of the night, that's the second day in a row that asia rocks the yen cross pair.
Sleep is more important than money making...
  • #56,406
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:51pm Nov 14, 2012 11:51pm
Phew good thing I took profits before the bond redemption today. =D
  • #56,407
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:51pm Nov 14, 2012 11:51pm
NZD/USD Daily & Weekly Charts (NZD/USD often moves in tandem with AUD/USD)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSD - D1.jpg Size: 145 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSD - Weekly.jpg Size: 142 KB
  • #56,408
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:52pm Nov 14, 2012 11:52pm
Quoting maximinus
Good morning room,

Hi 100pips, thanks for your reply.

Hi and sorry GnralyPips.

Need to put my alarm in the middle of the night, that's the second day in a row that asia rocks the yen cross pair.
Hey no problem MaxiMinus!
  • #56,409
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:52pm Nov 14, 2012 11:52pm
Quoting HelloOz
Sleep is more important than money making...
lol yes.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,410
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:56pm Nov 14, 2012 11:56pm
AUD/USD - Hourly Technical Analysis - 1st Chart

AUD/USD - Daily Technical Analysis - 2nd Chart
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD - H1 Technical.png Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD - D1 Technical.png Size: 39 KB
  • #56,411
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:02am Nov 15, 2012 12:02am
Hi,
I know that usd index is bullish, but just take in consideration the following charts : GU 4H. If it rockets, you'll know why.
Ah yes, I know it's a audusd thread and not GU.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu daily.gif Size: 22 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gu1minute.gif Size: 35 KB
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,412
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:13am Nov 15, 2012 12:13am
Hi JP,
why there is a difference in the quote between your dollar index and the one posted by USBear Post 122,390 ?
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,413
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:27am Nov 15, 2012 12:27am
The one I refer to is the USD index contract traded on the ICE exchange not certain what that dollar index is I will ask

https://www.theice.com/productguide/...tml?specId=194
  • #56,414
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:41am Nov 15, 2012 12:41am
JP is back! Nice.

Some momentum today, but I am anticipating for things to really kick off with the US job mumbers.

Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dailyaudusd.png Size: 47 KB
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,415
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:43am Nov 15, 2012 12:43am
Quoting jplazard
100 great charts as expected and I agree also looking for confirmation on a upper trendline breakdown on Futures AU lets see if we can close below 1.0334 it will set in motion a sell follow through like last night
Thanks JP!

By the way, you see USD/JPY move today?

I will definitely look to start longing USD/JPY with any and all pull backs!

AUD/JPY could also serve as a good hedge if choosing to short AUD/USD
  • #56,416
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:50am Nov 15, 2012 12:50am
I did and I am also looking at longing USD/JPY as JPY futures broke a nice support now trading exactly at the YTD 618% Could be a nice macro sell with Japan going into recession
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-11-14-TOS_CHARTS.jpg Size: 207 KB
  • #56,417
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:57am Nov 15, 2012 12:57am
Quoting fxtyrant
if we get a follow through to the move we had..... 1.0200 lows'll be tested, but one thing that makes me beg to wonder... how many time can that 1.02 take the pounding before we fall to parity and beyond? we'll just have to see
May be the pounding had started..

Aussie & UsdCad have a life long habit of Consolidation in a "2 year cycle" then Converge/Diverge from each other..
After consolidating in a wide range for the past 2 years, looks like the pair is about to enter a M/T Converging cycle again..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD CAD W1 capture-20121115-014730.png Size: 100 KB
  • #56,418
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:03am Nov 15, 2012 1:03am
Looks like German and France numbers could give the floor here for a move back upwards into NY
setting stop to BE in case it starts to consolidate upwards
  • #56,419
  • Nov 15, 2012 1:15am Nov 15, 2012 1:15am
Hi 100pips and Jp,
if you want to play yen and yencross, just look at UJ, CAD and CADJPY, you will find that there is at least 2500 pips, yes two thousand and five hundred pips (lol) in play for the coming weeks and months;

Bye.

PS I'm out for the LO session.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,420
  • Nov 15, 2012 3:21am Nov 15, 2012 3:21am
AUDUSD is in tandem with S&P – Low is incomplete; it breaks its yearly STL, nevertheless not yet forcefully. The S&P should drag it further to a better supply level. As long as closing remain below YST high, the bearish scenario will remain intact. Selling a rally towards 10400 should be the tactic, aiming @ 10270.
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