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AUD/USD

  • #56,381
  • Nov 14, 2012 9:33am Nov 14, 2012 9:33am
Quoting GnarlyPips
Well, I'd never buy a book costing that much. But as I've said before, there's too much to take into account. There could even be a quasar on the edge of the universe that's probably needed for calculations.

Though, I FUCKING HATE GETTING STOPPED OUT TO THE PIP. Argh. I will have to stop with the stops, I guess.

I've actually been going against my rule of "never reloading the carts" lately on the Aussie. As long as I hedge the minute losses, though, I keep a level head. (Despite these all caps and swear words.)

The circle: I was anticipating that price would venture towards the left most line of the square, but not that it would spike that much. This little template is pretty nice, though.

15M
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,382
  • Nov 14, 2012 9:36am Nov 14, 2012 9:36am
Update of the daily circle, getting close to judgement day. (Whether or not there will be a surge of momentum this week, in either direction, though I am short biased.)

Daily
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,383
  • Nov 14, 2012 9:38am Nov 14, 2012 9:38am
Quoting GnarlyPips
Update of the daily circle, getting close to judgement day. (Whether or not there will be a surge of momentum this week, in either direction, though I am short biased.)

Daily
nice chart... if we follow the right edge of the circle like we did going up on the left edge... we shall see 0.97 again... lol
too early to say though...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,384
  • Nov 14, 2012 9:46am Nov 14, 2012 9:46am
Quoting fxtyrant
nice chart... if we follow the right edge of the circle like we did going up on the left edge... we shall see 0.97 again... lol
too early to say though...
Ty. It could either be that this week will be the week that starts the mutli-week journey towards below parity, although, based on the 15M (stupid loss), it could start really coming down on the ~16th of next month. (I need to draw the weekly or monthly circle.)

Though, I don't think anything will come to fruition from the "secede" mini-movement. It's currently being trolled by 4chan, and the fact that there's people who will sign every state possible. (I think you should only be able to sign your own state to get a better representation.) Then, the fact that Gov. Perry of Texas stated he wouldn't secede. (My dad thinks he's a pussy, but it would be stupid to secede for any state.)

I would like to sign the petition that would have people deported by will if they really want to leave the country, though.
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,385
  • Nov 14, 2012 9:55am Nov 14, 2012 9:55am
Quoting C-12
No buyers.
lol..the buyers are all chase away by the bear..
well..what FOMC gonna do again tonight..
  • #56,386
  • Nov 14, 2012 10:06am Nov 14, 2012 10:06am
Quoting joechien
lol..the buyers are all chase away by the bear..
well..what FOMC gonna do again tonight..
Anything but mention QE and ill be a happy beanie
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,387
  • Nov 14, 2012 10:09am Nov 14, 2012 10:09am
Quoting fxtyrant
Anything but mention QE and ill be a happy beanie
well liked or not..still gonna happens tonight..tick tock tick tock..3 more hours..
  • #56,388
  • Nov 14, 2012 10:22am Nov 14, 2012 10:22am
Quoting joechien
well liked or not..still gonna happens tonight..tick tock tick tock..3 more hours..
Stop praying... just Trade the facts... until he says QE is going to continue.... no reason to take any positions right now.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,389
  • Nov 14, 2012 10:23am Nov 14, 2012 10:23am
Hi guyz, forgive my ignorance, are you talking about one of the 50 federal state leaving the federation. Talk about secession ???
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,390
  • Nov 14, 2012 10:37am Nov 14, 2012 10:37am
Quoting maximinus
Hi guyz, forgive my ignorance, are you talking about one of the 50 federal state leaving the federation. Talk about secession ???
its not ur ignorance buddy.... i wasnt aware of it either... dont even know what its all about....
also not that i know everything... this i really dont know... "the implications of a state leaving the federal system"....
doesnt it depends which state?
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,391
  • Nov 14, 2012 10:41am Nov 14, 2012 10:41am
Quoting fxtyrant
its not ur ignorance buddy.... i wasnt aware of it either... also not that i know everything... this i really dont know... "the implications of a state leaving the federal system"....
doesnt it depends which state?
NO, i'm not interested by this news fot trading matters, I only trade my chart. I'm interested by the constitutionnal implications that could have. A truly passionating question, if this talk about leaving the federation is serious and not only political gossip. The question of wich state is not important, juridicaly speaking. Of course in a economical point of view the question of state is important.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,392
  • Nov 14, 2012 12:13pm Nov 14, 2012 12:13pm
Quoting maximinus
NO, i'm not interested by this news fot trading matters, I only trade my chart. I'm interested by the constitutionnal implications that could have. A truly passionating question, if this talk about leaving the federation is serious and not only political gossip. The question of wich state is not important, juridicaly speaking. Of course in a economical point of view the question of state is important.

I wouldn't worry about this "secede" movement. Texas, the biggest influence if any state were to secede (again), isn't going to secede. Gov. Perry has state he will not endorse such a move. Anyhow, for there to be any considerable representation for the secede movement in Texas, there will have to be a couple million wanting it, as the states pop. is 25m. >100k isn't enough to change <25m people's lives.

If anything, Puerto Rico will become a state in the coming years. (I can't wait!)

Anyhow, here's the weekly chart with the circle. Interesting to see that the price is right under both the weekly and daily circular line.
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,393
  • Nov 14, 2012 12:26pm Nov 14, 2012 12:26pm
Quoting GnarlyPips
I wouldn't worry about this "secede" movement. Texas, the biggest influence if any state were to secede (again), isn't going to secede. Gov. Perry has state he will not endorse such a move. Anyhow, for there to be any considerable representation for the secede movement in Texas, there will have to be a couple million wanting it, as the states pop. is 25m. >100k isn't enough to change <25m people's lives.

If anything, Puerto Rico will become a state in the coming years. (I can't wait!)

Anyhow, here's the weekly chart with the circle. Interesting...
Thank you Generaly pips. I follow with interest your charts...keep on your research.

BTW do you think that the coming FOM will move the market ?

100 pipsaday, if you read this post, your reply is awaited, because you are pretty good at this game
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,394
  • Nov 14, 2012 12:46pm Nov 14, 2012 12:46pm
Quoting maximinus
Thank you Generaly pips. I follow with interest your charts...keep on your research.

BTW do you think that the coming FOM will move the market ?

100 pipsaday, if you read this post, your reply is awaited, because you are pretty good at this game

Generaly? Lol.

I don't know how the markets will react. I'm watching Obama talk right now. I think things will be calm, for some reason. Though, Obama has said that a bill can be passed to prevent a tax hike on the first 250k on income. I wouldn't be surprised to see A/U go down, but would be surprised to see it move up, especially past 1.045.
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,395
  • Nov 14, 2012 1:54pm Nov 14, 2012 1:54pm
The secession story is not what the markets are focusing on. Obama opened up the comm channels to the white house with the "we the people" site and that allows millions if they want to sign petitions via the web. That's all it is. Eveyone knows it didn't work for Texas last time...
I see this down move in the Aussie as simply playing cath up to the rest of the risk markets personally.
I like the corelations between the aud and the blackrock resources ETF see below... Market is 80% long as well as per CTFC reports.
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  • #56,396
  • Nov 14, 2012 2:41pm Nov 14, 2012 2:41pm
good one. Although normally aud leading and not stocks. SP broke fib confluence (on my chart 1368 and I am scrapping my long idea.

back to neutral. From winnings can afford couple of coffees.
  • #56,397
  • Nov 14, 2012 3:46pm Nov 14, 2012 3:46pm
Quoting maximinus
Thank you Generaly pips. I follow with interest your charts...keep on your research.

BTW do you think that the coming FOM will move the market ?

100 pipsaday, if you read this post, your reply is awaited, because you are pretty good at this game
Hey Maximinus!

What exactly are you asking here, is it in regards to FOMC? If so, there is nothing telling me that "QE Infinity" is going to stop this time around. I remember reading an article last week that their target rate to stop QE3 is 6.5% unemployment rate. There were a few other things mentioned but that was the main point that stood out in my mind.

However, this does not necessarily mean "USD Weakness" from this point forward. Looking at the Daily charts a lot of the majors along with US equities are starting to lose momentum towards the upside, a few (DOW, S&P, GBP and NZD) have broken their up trends.
  • #56,398
  • Nov 14, 2012 4:44pm Nov 14, 2012 4:44pm
if we get a follow through to the move we had..... 1.0200 lows'll be tested, but one thing that makes me beg to wonder... how many time can that 1.02 take the pounding before we fall to parity and beyond? we'll just have to see
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #56,399
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:22pm Nov 14, 2012 11:22pm
Real-Time Technical Analysis

D1 - AUD/USD now showing "Sell" signal
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  • #56,400
  • Nov 14, 2012 11:27pm Nov 14, 2012 11:27pm
trying swing for a little bit to get back in synch with the market. Missed the big move last night but the hourly closed below a fib so looking for some follow through. Setting the stop loss a bit above the red fib here looking for the target below..
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