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AUD/USD

  • #56,121
  • Nov 8, 2012 3:49pm Nov 8, 2012 3:49pm
On daily we have flat uper edge of red cumo.It is strong support /resistance line and if it goes up it will try to suck price back in to the cloud.We could have dance along that line before more up or close below 1.0313 for more sell.momentum positiv on daily.

4hr momentum positiv and still above cloud.possible more up.1 hr is in sell.possible and most likly target is 1.0370-80 area.if sell remain it could break on down arround novembar 10-th(next week).untill 4 hr sell signal this is just getting ready for small pullback for now.will trade it that way.after that will see
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  • #56,122
  • Nov 8, 2012 3:52pm Nov 8, 2012 3:52pm
that multi tf ichi indicator shows last marked area wheare was pull back from 1 hr cloud to 4 hr which made nice support for more buy.it could be same thing now. i remeber 2-3 days many was writing about bigger sell but untill that 4 hr cloud is taken must look this other way.
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  • #56,123
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:01pm Nov 8, 2012 4:01pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Im contemplating making a tightly moderated thread catered to traders who work the Australian session.
Currencies like the yen, aussie, kiwi, Hkd, sgd, krw
And related futures...

Would anyone be interested in contributing to such a thread?

Pls discuss

That would be awesome, although I prolly wouldn't be able to contribute much because Im still tryna learn, it would be great to learn from everyone since i particulary trade aud pairs like aud/jpy
  • #56,124
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:14pm Nov 8, 2012 4:14pm
Quoting Wulfgar
cleared... holding longs from 0411 aggregate... lookin to the 72 next
since you post this aussie has dropped 40pips?
are you still holding longs from 0411?

i see 0472 as the resistance tl on daily chart..
  • #56,125
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:18pm Nov 8, 2012 4:18pm
Quoting HelloOz
since you post this aussie has dropped 40pips?
are you still holding longs from 0411?

i see 0472 as the resistance tl on daily chart..

No I posted afterwards the trade hit my protective stop @ 1.0421( http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...34#post6178334)

didnt expect these major support areas to go so easily

$spx broke through a major level with ease... suprising...

this week may be a MAJOR MAJOR turning point in risk sentiment
  • #56,126
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:25pm Nov 8, 2012 4:25pm
There's no more post previewing?

The last two wicks are interesting.

Daily
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #56,127
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:36pm Nov 8, 2012 4:36pm
Quoting maximinus
I have an idea, I exit my aud short, and just after it will tank What do you think ?
I've thought this about my trades too!
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #56,128
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:36pm Nov 8, 2012 4:36pm
Quoting sidhujag
short xau tight stop
stop to be
  • #56,129
  • Nov 8, 2012 4:50pm Nov 8, 2012 4:50pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Im contemplating making a tightly moderated thread catered to traders who work the Australian session.
Currencies like the yen, aussie, kiwi, Hkd, sgd, krw
And related futures...

Would anyone be interested in contributing to such a thread?

Pls discuss
I'd be interested in the thread & being in Australia that's my main session. Presently though as I'm still learning I don't have heaps to contribute and am only trading AUD/USD until more comfortable with my methodology.
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #56,130
  • Nov 8, 2012 6:15pm Nov 8, 2012 6:15pm
Quoting cdndollar
3rd Weekly TL rejection kicking in with Daily & H4 divergences being play out here..

the short & wrong crowd are starting to capitulated & some may had flipped over to the long camp carrying underwater positions..
Attachment
AUDUSD & EURUSD about to switch roles.
closed Euro & Cable shorts & reversed to long earlier..

fxtyrant you're doing fine kid..
I like you're style & substances but just tone it down a bit for the conventional crowds..
  • #56,131
  • Nov 8, 2012 6:46pm Nov 8, 2012 6:46pm
Typical Friday jawboning from firstly RBA who's govenor said (in stark contrast to the financial advisors know your client ruling) .. "if you dont like low interest rates take more risk" WOW.. thats not clever.

Secondly we have Obama speaking to try and bluff his way through the fiscal cliff.. He bluffed the American voter so this will be easy..

EUR/AUD held that strong support zone 1.2200-30 and has had a slight bounce which is normal for the first decent challenge.

Those with deep pockets can hold until 1.2325 breaks

GBP/AUD stalling helped by BOE putting their QE on hold.

Not convinced as before so would cut and wait for 1.5200 break

Gold now back on the march which surprised me yesterday as thought it would have earlier.

Fun n games ahead with "fortune or fail friday"
  • #56,132
  • Nov 8, 2012 7:01pm Nov 8, 2012 7:01pm
Ain't that nifty. Stuck on the 50.
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Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #56,133
  • Nov 9, 2012 3:10am Nov 9, 2012 3:10am
quiet here, whats going on ?!?!?

I started building usdsgd short.

Orientation point 1.2.

i think chinese leadership change will be good for stocks and therefore sgd.
  • #56,134
  • Nov 9, 2012 3:36am Nov 9, 2012 3:36am
Quoting macroman
quiet here, whats going on ?!?!?

I started building usdsgd short.

Orientation point 1.2.

i think chinese leadership change will be good for stocks and therefore sgd.
Should be a good play Macroman!


Trend Shift Underway for Emerging Markets

An Emerging Uptrend

Developing economies face no fiscal cliff ... and have no government debt crisis to resolve. In fact, recent economic data tells me that many Asian economies ... from China to Singapore to South Korea ... may have already bottomed with growth poised to accelerate again.

Stock markets in the developing world are confirming this by bucking the recent correction in U.S. and European stocks — with emerging market share prices surging higher.

And it looks to me like the emerging market uptrend has a lot further to run, despite persistent uncertainty here at home.

Take a look at the chart below, and you'll see how emerging stock markets have fared vs. the S&P 500 Index over the last several months.

http://images.moneyandmarkets.com/2573/chart2s.gif

The MSCI Emerging Market Index is up more than 5.5 percent since September 1, while the U.S. blue chip index is essentially flat — having given up all of the post-QE3 gains.

This is powerful evidence that a sustainable, secular shift in trend is underway. Another reason this rally should be sustainable is the fact that ...

Emerging Markets Are Packed Full of Compelling Value!

The MSCI Emerging Market Index trades at just 10 times 2013 earnings estimates, compared to 12.4 for the S&P 500. Right off the bat you're getting roughly a 20 percent valuation discount in emerging markets, but it gets even better...

Emerging market profits are growing much faster — expanding 9.2 percent this year — and should surge 14.2 percent in 2013, according to estimates.

Meanwhile, S&P 500 profits are forecast to grow just 5 percent this year and 10.6 percent in 2013, which may prove difficult following disappointing third-quarter results.

Of course plenty of uncertainties remain that could derail global markets. But if we manage to avoid these "disaster scenarios," then select emerging markets may be the best place to consider investing right now for a sizeable relief rally.
  • #56,135
  • Nov 9, 2012 3:50am Nov 9, 2012 3:50am
http://upload.tehran98.com/images/8f...far2op1qpd.gif
  • #56,136
  • Nov 9, 2012 3:54am Nov 9, 2012 3:54am
Hello all,
I know that some here don't appreciate when I post cadjpy chart, but, I want to share a good scalp set up imo.
Risk minim, reward correct. But the reward could turn to be a very good one if this setup become the first step of trend change for the day.
GL
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Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #56,137
  • Edited 4:26am Nov 9, 2012 4:05am | Edited 4:26am
thanks for encouraging words 100 pips/day man.

I plan to add more on usdsgd tl break, and more on audusd tl break and more if i find any other setup in this direction.

bought small postion in oil.

beting on major up leg.

commited 0.2 of normal risk so far.
  • #56,138
  • Nov 9, 2012 4:29am Nov 9, 2012 4:29am
Quoting plesac
that multi tf ichi indicator shows last marked area wheare was pull back from 1 hr cloud to 4 hr which made nice support for more buy.it could be same thing now. i remeber 2-3 days many was writing about bigger sell but untill that 4 hr cloud is taken must look this other way.
4 hr cloud was again support.1st picture from post from last night and new one.4 hr momentum still positiv and trend is up.This is still not in sell mode for me
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  • #56,139
  • Nov 9, 2012 4:37am Nov 9, 2012 4:37am
this is my map - audchf. expecting intensive rally and all my trades will be risk on until proven wrong.
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  • #56,140
  • Nov 9, 2012 4:55am Nov 9, 2012 4:55am
Quoting macroman
thanks for encouraging words 100 pips/day man.

I plan to add more on usdsgd tl break, and more on audusd tl break and more if i find any other setup in this direction.

bought small postion in oil.

beting on major up leg.

commited 0.2 of normal risk so far.
No problem MacroMan!

I think USD/SGD is a good choice personally! As far as AUD/USD goes, still kind of on the fence but it hasn't not really showed any real signs of breaking down past the Daily TL as of yet so you should be fine with that for the time being.

Oil: Hasn't moved much in days! Looks like it is getting ready for a BIG move, and my bet will be UP!

Looks like you have some pretty solid trades brother! Good luck
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