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  • Post #12,321
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 1:28pm Nov 6, 2012 1:28pm
  •  Davit
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 21,295 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
May be the other way around.
Ignored
I agree Obama victory will be negative short term.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
 
 
  • Post #12,322
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 1:37pm Nov 6, 2012 1:37pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
During Obama's watch last four years, the USD has plunged to the historic low against the Aussie. Another 4 years of Obama may bring the USD to the floor. IMO
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,323
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 1:52pm Nov 6, 2012 1:52pm
  •  GnarlyPips
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Toker | 917 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
During Obama's watch last four years, the USD has plunged to the historic low against the Aussie. Another 4 years of Obama may bring the USD to the floor. IMO
Ignored

The dollar itself has been in a range under Obama. Bush actually had a cheaper dollar than Obama.

What's weird is that the dollar futures completely skips the month of November in '08...
Play the players, not the cards.
 
 
  • Post #12,324
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 2:41pm Nov 6, 2012 2:41pm
  •  etabeta
  • | Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 33 Posts
Is an Obama Victory Already Priced In?
www.forexcrunch.com/is-an-obama-victory-already-priced-in/

Trade Idea: Sell EUR/USD on Obama Win, Buy AUD/USD on Romney Win
www.forexcrunch.com/is-an-obama-victory-already-priced-in/

Which will the driver? "Fiscal Cliff"?
 
 
  • Post #12,325
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 2:43pm Nov 6, 2012 2:43pm
  •  dbutton1990
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 1,711 Posts
I just closed my short and I'm now long. Target is 1.0576

David
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor!
 
 
  • Post #12,326
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 4:23pm Nov 6, 2012 4:23pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting dbutton1990
Disliked
I just closed my short and I'm now long. Target is 1.0576

David
Ignored
Your insight please?
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,327
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 4:35pm Nov 6, 2012 4:35pm
  •  dbutton1990
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 1,711 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
Your insight please?
Ignored
The 1.0400 mark was major resistance. After failing several attempts to break it, it finally broke it last night. I have my chart below. You can see the ABCD swings that I trade off of.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: aud_usd_240m_11_6_12.gif
Size: 36 KB
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor!
 
 
  • Post #12,328
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 4:43pm Nov 6, 2012 4:43pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting dbutton1990
Disliked
The 1.0400 mark was major resistance. After failing several attempts to break it, it finally broke it last night. I have my chart below. You can see the ABCD swings that I trade off of.
Ignored
It looks like a bear flag to me.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,329
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 4:46pm Nov 6, 2012 4:46pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
It looks like a bear flag to me.
Ignored
Also, the indicator below has reached the upper limit.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,330
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 4:51pm Nov 6, 2012 4:51pm
  •  iNSIELD
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 638 Posts
AUD/USD looks to be in wave 3 currently . I am currently long AUD/JPY from 83.4 my TP is 85.2 which actually might be conservative. AUD/JPY looks to be in wave 5 now.
 
 
  • Post #12,331
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 6:50pm Nov 6, 2012 6:50pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting iNSIELD
Disliked
AUD/USD looks to be in wave 3 currently . I am currently long AUD/JPY from 83.4 my TP is 85.2 which actually might be conservative. AUD/JPY looks to be in wave 5 now.
Ignored
I believe wave 3 was done last night.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,332
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 6:53pm Nov 6, 2012 6:53pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting dbutton1990
Disliked
The 1.0400 mark was major resistance. After failing several attempts to break it, it finally broke it last night. I have my chart below. You can see the ABCD swings that I trade off of.
Ignored
I wouldn't think 1.04 is a major R. 1.0444 may be.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,333
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 6:54pm Nov 6, 2012 6:54pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
I wouldn't think 1.04 is a major R. 1.0444 may be.
Ignored
1.0444 was set on 6/20. it is also the FIB 61.80%.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,334
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 7:00pm Nov 6, 2012 7:00pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Couldn't go to vote the president due to the live wires on the street. Hope the right candidate is chosen by the people of America.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,335
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 7:04pm Nov 6, 2012 7:04pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
As to who will be the headwind to the Aussie, I guess it may not be that clear at this point. Unlike the US stocks which will be affected by Romney or Obama, this pair is also hinged on global issues like China and EU.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,336
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 7:08pm Nov 6, 2012 7:08pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
As to who will be the headwind to the Aussie, I guess it may not be that clear at this point. Unlike the US stocks which will be affected by Romney or Obama, this pair is also hinged on global issues like China and EU.
Ignored
Based on etabeta's links, there are contradicting views. IMO, if the previous pattern was complete then the new pattern will be in control regardless of who is elected.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,337
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 7:15pm Nov 6, 2012 7:15pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
Based on etabeta's links, there are contradicting views. IMO, if the previous pattern was complete then the new pattern will be in control regardless of who is elected.
Ignored
Also, the poll is going to close States after States. The impact may not be the same as what we had witnessed last night.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,338
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 7:31pm Nov 6, 2012 7:31pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
CNN projects Mitt Romney will win Kentucky and Barack Obama will win Vermont. Romney also wins Indiana.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,339
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 7:38pm Nov 6, 2012 7:38pm
  •  DaddyBear
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jan 2011 | 31,935 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
CNN projects Mitt Romney will win Kentucky and Barack Obama will win Vermont. Romney also wins Indiana.
Ignored
CNN projects Mitt Romney will win West Virginia.
daddybearforex. com
 
 
  • Post #12,340
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2012 8:00pm Nov 6, 2012 8:00pm
  •  rapidfx
  • | Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
1.0444 was set on 6/20. it is also the FIB 61.80%.
Ignored
http://img515.imageshack.us/img515/7272/ayufibo.png
yeah...looks us get stronger...and divergence is there at h4
 
 
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