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AUD/USD

  • #55,681
  • Nov 2, 2012 8:25pm Nov 2, 2012 8:25pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Okay first of all... I DONT GIVE A SHIT if i added at 1.02 and stuff did i not tell you?? my target is 0.95 so PLEASE shut up... you are seriously coming across as an idiot... i called truce with you via PM just because i dont want to publicly denounce you about gold.... not because i feel bad about being a prick....

Besides Demo or not... Practice makes perfect and thats what im trying to do... If you are so badass, why dont you show us all what account you really trade huh? demo.... so what if im trading demo? ive made it clear im trading...
Im coming off as an idiot? Lol ur adding at 1.02 sl 1.055 with tp at 0.95 but ur adding as it goes up your adding more risk your expectancy is decreasing your money management is broken. Ur using 40 pip tp on some and going into 100 pip dd so thats atleast 2 risk 1 reward. Please clarify to me
and your so called ff buddies how that works? Grace me with ur knowledge. Yea u call it truce and then denounce what i said earlier.

About gold yea it was a free trade not blind like yours. I told you the target is still below but it may want to rise
a bit because of the trapped buyers. So it didnt sue me i didnt lose on it. Lol ur trying to find anything to argue against. Atthe point you were adding price wasnt even turning you were going in blind so the advice i gave you was valid. You had 40% profit vanish because of that. Look at your dd its increasing every peak is higher.

No worries Keep doing it. I also love how you speak for others lol Anyone with 2 Marbles in their head can see your money managent is wack.. u need to grow up kid.
  • #55,682
  • Nov 2, 2012 8:29pm Nov 2, 2012 8:29pm
Quoting maximinus
HI JP,
I just mentionned for the members that it's going to fall, but no one gave importance, at least, I received no reply. #55610
I haven't taken this trade because i was overloaded with my cadjpy wich one went smooth .

PS: JP, can you give the fibo level that you use, thanks.
No problem if nobody gave a reply. What matters is that you saw it, and called it....

I saw it : See comment 55572 .

It's nice when a skill is used and the result is what you were expecting based on knowledge and experience. Ya... what a hobby.
It's the simple things in life that have the most powerful meaning.
  • #55,683
  • Nov 2, 2012 8:32pm Nov 2, 2012 8:32pm
I was just trying to help but you just dot get it.. So i now know how to deal with you..
  • #55,684
  • Nov 2, 2012 8:50pm Nov 2, 2012 8:50pm
i am sticking with taking risk on signals. It served me well last month and will not change horses now. until shanghai is above 2k.

only minor loser was selling usjy, wich was risk-off trade. So market has spoken.

I added futures broker to my broker list.
  • #55,685
  • Nov 2, 2012 8:56pm Nov 2, 2012 8:56pm
Quoting sidhujag
Im coming off as an idiot? Lol ur adding at 1.02 sl 1.055 with tp at 0.95 but ur adding as it goes up your adding more risk your expectancy is decreasing your money management is broken. Ur using 40 pip tp on some and going into 100 pip dd so thats atleast 2 risk 1 reward. Please clarify to me
and your so called ff buddies how that works? Grace me with ur knowledge. Yea u call it truce and then denounce what i said earlier.

About gold yea it was a free trade not blind like yours. I told you the target is still below but it may want to rise
a bit...
like i said buddy... my strategy doesnt base on entering 1 trade and 1 trade alone...
IF it is then yes my trade strategy is whacked... unfortunately when i place 0.1 lot on my 5k account i have never thought about entering 1 trade....

BY THE WAY... Anyone with ANY balls between thier head like you said... WOULD SEE THE GAINs so kiss on it

Anyways.... like YOU SAID.... Gold may try to go up... LOL sure.... sure... i was saying Down down down and no up.... couldnt even break above that Daily EMA55.... and you call for 1780 highs to be tested again... lol what happened? drop straight o my 1660 btw the 1660 target is now 1667 because of EMA200 moving up...

But hey, guess what? watch my account grow.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,686
  • Nov 2, 2012 9:14pm Nov 2, 2012 9:14pm
There it goes again like this. You know what? In recent weeks some of us has been taking profit by selling and buying. So, both of you are neither wrong or right. If you both want to give us clue, please include the target and the timeframe. I could say here that AUD will go to 1.05xx or 0.9xxx and it will, but when? Between those timeframe I am sure many of us will take profit (and loss) in lower timeframe.

Don't argue like you both know exactly where the price is going to be. In fact both of you and all of us are basically making educated prediction based on TA or statistical or whatever tools we have. None of us can be 100% right.
  • #55,687
  • Nov 2, 2012 9:15pm Nov 2, 2012 9:15pm
socialists just another corrupt lobby that is out of power right now but thanks to them, they keep counting job losses. probably a bit skewed as there is no single mention of adding jobs.

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2012/no...jobs-n02.shtml
  • #55,688
  • Nov 2, 2012 9:16pm Nov 2, 2012 9:16pm
lets just share ideas about the trade itself, and not trading system/style, everyone have their own personality[ risk appetite, patience ] and preference [mentality]. Each have their own, so no point to debate. Some are using martingale, some are using rr and with fixed sl and etc.

However, in the professional point of view, the account is only grow if the equity is in sync with the balance at a very close dd or positive floats, because negative dd/floats are actually still losses that have yet to be strike off the balance/equity unless things turn around and position turns green again.

I won't said my account grew 20% when my equity is 80% out of current balance. I will said my account grew when i have everything strike off from floats and % increase.

The daily close on aud/usd is bearish as it went up first and went down and found resistance on 1.0395 with its top at 1.0415 at the moment. The crack on 1.0350 apparently send it down to 1.0331, still its like a stair case, many level of support has to be broken. But no doubt it's a bearish engulfing sign.

We are not god, we cannot say price will reach here or there, lets just move along with it wherever it wants to go ? That's what retail traders do right. What's the point to decide where it will go, bullish or bearish just make some good money.

example of hedging.

buy 1.0368, stop 1.0350,
sell 1.0395, stop 1.0405.

u can try to sneak into a trade with both ways to plot entry, or maybe have 2 account, one buyer bias, one seller bias, so u nurse the trade that's going to be take profit, once resistance is found, perhaps its time for taking partial, and build a reverse one.

maybe price went from 1.0368 to 1.0395 first, stop loss can be shifted to be, and build a reverse trade just in case price go down, so u get into 2 sides of it, u can reduce the lot size of 1.0395 by 1/2 of 1.0368 initial, as price go down from 1.0395, u may set to be again when its near 1.0375, let ur initial 1.0368 be stop out, and nurse the trade further.

actually sell and buy always work, time frame differs, fundamental changes, some people are winner today, some are loser today but winner tommorrow.

so looking at price action, we can know where to break off a relationship with price as well, and increase the probability of the next upcoming trade. apparently, yesterday everything sell off, even when aud did try to go up, it was send down.

perhaps when at 1.0331, u might want to hedge a small buy up when ur sell 1.0395 can be trailed to 1.0350 etc etc.

Quote
It's either we have a trade that has a high probability that it's going to be a winner, we will let the profit run. Or we killed a trade faster to cut our losers short. Don't ever attempt to counter-trend a trade after a breakout is identified. Buy because the price wants to go up, sell because the price wants to go down. Learn to buy higher, and sell lower only with certain conditions.
  • #55,689
  • Nov 2, 2012 9:39pm Nov 2, 2012 9:39pm
Quoting 5percent
lets just share ideas about the trade itself, and not trading system/style, everyone have their own personality[ risk appetite, patience ] and preference [mentality]. Each have their own, so no point to debate. Some are using martingale, some are using rr and with fixed sl and etc.

However, in the professional point of view, the account is only grow if the equity is in sync with the balance at a very close dd or positive floats, because negative dd/floats are actually still losses that have yet to be strike off the balance/equity unless things...
i agree, i cant exacly say my account is growing for as long as i have floating losses... but this'll change soon enough...
but still... WITH the floating loss included... m account is still up 1.8k from initial deposit of 5000....
and i keep Drawdown to a minimal of 20% AGGREGATE.... so in effect depending on each trade size..... obviously a 1.0 lot would easily reach 20% aggregate but because i trade at 0.1 lots im about 10x less likely to reach 20% drawdown in aggregate with 0.1 lot alone.... makes sense??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,690
  • Nov 3, 2012 12:51am Nov 3, 2012 12:51am
so the market is expecting a rate cut
will the RBA disappoint?
  • #55,691
  • Nov 3, 2012 1:02am Nov 3, 2012 1:02am
I think both of you fxtyrant and sidhu are on the same ttrain and going to the same destination but one of you are on the right window seat and the other on the left window seat lookng at completely different sceneries .

Stop arguing by saying you have a better view.. Look front and you find that you are both looking at thr same fat ass driver.

Lol have a good weekend guys.. Cant wait till tuesday
Election
Rba meeting
Melb cup
100m lotto
  • #55,692
  • Nov 3, 2012 1:03am Nov 3, 2012 1:03am
Quoting grandia
so the market is expecting a rate cut
will the RBA disappoint?
What disapoint me more is i dont win the lotto
  • #55,693
  • Nov 3, 2012 3:09am Nov 3, 2012 3:09am
Quoting HelloOz
I think both of you fxtyrant and sidhu are on the same ttrain and going to the same destination but one of you are on the right window seat and the other on the left window seat lookng at completely different sceneries .

Stop arguing by saying you have a better view.. Look front and you find that you are both looking at thr same fat ass driver.

Lol have a good weekend guys.. Cant wait till tuesday
Election
Rba meeting
Melb cup
100m lotto
tuesday election is so close now I can't believe it. I guess my guy Gary Johnson isn't going to win it.
Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #55,694
  • Nov 3, 2012 3:11am Nov 3, 2012 3:11am
Quoting jplazard
On longing Cad/JPY I will stay away from fundis as much as possible and 100pips has been the go to guy for me at least on JPY fundamentals. I do remember a few weeks back the Canadian Central Bank signaled it was going to delay raising rates depressing hopes of longs to be in the first Major economy to raise rates post 08 so that still should factor in the minds at least it does for me. Maybe ppl got ahead of themselves and now are unwinding but I don’t trade CAD full time so not sure on that mentality

As for technical because CAD/JPY Its...
This is Aud/Usd thread?
  • #55,695
  • Nov 3, 2012 3:13am Nov 3, 2012 3:13am
Quoting maximinus
Hi JPL,
if I apply quicly your tech to the cadjpy, I get this. And if I want to apply this strat, I have to wait that the price goes above 81.80 for long it. Am I right ?
This is Aud/Usd thread?
  • #55,696
  • Nov 3, 2012 3:04pm Nov 3, 2012 3:04pm
i don't usually post charts anymore as everyone have their biasness/perspective, but here's are some perspectives of price on the chart that i done for the last 2 months of 2012. I don't trade price on any biasness of bull nor bear. I always trade it with two possibilities along with s,r and price action with fibo. So here are the charts, i won't elaborate or give analysis here, if you are interested about the analysis, pm me for links.

Some people don't understand why i use boxes, but boxes are actually visual aids for my analysis.

It's quite visual, try to interpret .
daily chart
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...n-1024x411.png
figure A, possibility
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...l-1024x382.png
figure b, possibility
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...w-1024x389.png
near term daily
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...y-1024x463.png
  • #55,697
  • Nov 3, 2012 3:05pm Nov 3, 2012 3:05pm
Quoting 5percent
i don't usually post charts anymore as everyone have their biasness/perspective, but here's are some perspectives of price on the chart that i done for the last 2 months of 2012. I don't trade price on any biasness of bull nor bear. I always trade it with two possibilities along with s,r and price action with fibo. So here are the charts, i won't elaborate or give analysis here, if you are interested about the analysis, pm me for links.

Some people don't understand why i use boxes, but boxes are actually visual aids for my analysis.

It's quite...
Quoting 5percent
i don't usually post charts anymore as everyone have their biasness/perspective, but here's are some perspectives of price on the chart that i done for the last 2 months of 2012. I don't trade price on any biasness of bull nor bear. I always trade it with two possibilities along with s,r and price action with fibo. So here are the charts, i won't elaborate or give analysis here, if you are interested about the analysis, pm me for links.

It's quite visual, try to interpret .
daily chart
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...n-1024x411.png
figure...
4 hours
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...m-1024x419.png
http://myforexbase.com/wp-content/up...k-1024x415.png
  • #55,698
  • Nov 4, 2012 6:15am Nov 4, 2012 6:15am
Quoting jezek5
Closed in full at 0385. for 80.
Don't like end of month flows.
Still holding long from 0253,stop at 0320.
Still in this trade but thinking my TP stop will be hit soon.
Its been a nice little run and lots of extra free positive swap money so i'm happy with this trade.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: w3.gif Size: 17 KB
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #55,699
  • Nov 4, 2012 10:54am Nov 4, 2012 10:54am
aud dollar weekly outlook

http://scrawlingcharts.blogspot.com
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #55,700
  • Nov 4, 2012 1:05pm Nov 4, 2012 1:05pm
Quoting Luis Carlos
aud dollar weekly outlook

http://scrawlingcharts.blogspot.com
Hi Luis,

I know you trade using EW but I'm curious to hear about your experiences with EW.

What is the best time frame for EW analysis and how accurate has it been in regards to your live account?

Just curious... Thanks for sharing your views Luis!
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