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AUD/USD

  • #55,261
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:53pm Oct 30, 2012 8:53pm
let see if next tuesday is THE day..
melbourne cup
$100m ozlotto
interest rate cut??


Quoting fxtyrant
Dont worry too much, just be patient.... Im betting some interventions gona be done
  • #55,262
  • Oct 30, 2012 8:54pm Oct 30, 2012 8:54pm
Quoting HelloOz
let see if next tuesday is THE day..
melbourne cup
$100m ozlotto
interest rate cut??
Im actually more interested bout NFP this friday though....
it might have huge implications since its the last NFP report Before elections...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,263
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:00pm Oct 30, 2012 9:00pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Dont worry too much, just be patient.... Im betting some interventions gona be done
hey bguguen nice to see you. have to admit got trapped in the aussie on monday and tuesday. opened 2 shorts. feeling a bit nervous now. have lost a lot in these 2 days
  • #55,264
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:01pm Oct 30, 2012 9:01pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Ugh... Audusd, why you no start dropping, monthly pivot at 1.0390.... If ur gona drop, drop now....
yes buddy all this fudged data and expectations and realities never match. all economists are shit.
  • #55,265
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:03pm Oct 30, 2012 9:03pm
Quoting Nachiket
yes buddy all this fudged data and expectations and realities never match. all economists are shit.
buddy im not always right... thats why i exercise money management, this is by far the worst drawdown i had.... but its still maded at 20% of the account... and im still in profit...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,266
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:06pm Oct 30, 2012 9:06pm
Quoting fxtyrant
buddy im not always right... thats why i exercise money management, this is by far the worst drawdown i had.... but its still maded at 20% of the account... and im still in profit...
yes even my drawdown is less. I was betting on the aussie to fall overnite but it did not happen. infact it was falling well till this fudged data came and it spiked again close to monthly pivot like u said. I don't think rba is doing any kind of intervention
  • #55,267
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:07pm Oct 30, 2012 9:07pm
Quoting Nachiket
yes even my drawdown is less. I was betting on the aussie to fall overnite but it did not happen. infact it was falling well till this fudged data came and it spiked again close to monthly pivot like u said. I don't think rba is doing any kind of intervention
i dunno... im not too sure about the interest rate decision... the RBA sure did a good job making it a 50/50% chance....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,268
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:07pm Oct 30, 2012 9:07pm
Quoting Nachiket
yes even my drawdown is less. I was betting on the aussie to fall overnite but it did not happen. infact it was falling well till this fudged data came and it spiked again close to monthly pivot like u said. I don't think rba is doing any kind of intervention
after the spike it has moved only 6 pips to the downside. so does not look sell on rallies to me but i have seen it give crazy moves and more than the gbp i bet on this pair
  • #55,269
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:08pm Oct 30, 2012 9:08pm
Quoting fxtyrant
i dunno... im not too sure about the interest rate decision... the RBA sure did a good job making it a 50/50% chance....
but we need follow up buddy. talkin won't help. look at the cable it is merely trapping shorts when NY is absent. lets see what the americans do to it today
  • #55,270
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:10pm Oct 30, 2012 9:10pm
forex factory: where everyone is a demo account millionaire LOL
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #55,271
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:11pm Oct 30, 2012 9:11pm
Quoting HelloOz
let see if next tuesday is THE day..
melbourne cup
$100m ozlotto
interest rate cut??
didn't i win 70M last night ? , lets play again , must be record high
Mohan
  • #55,272
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:12pm Oct 30, 2012 9:12pm
Quoting Nachiket
after the spike it has moved only 6 pips to the downside. so does not look sell on rallies to me but i have seen it give crazy moves and more than the gbp i bet on this pair
Im watching out on H4... theres a potential of a Classic Bearish Divergence... but unconfirmed yet....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,273
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:15pm Oct 30, 2012 9:15pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Im watching out on H4... theres a potential of a Classic Bearish Divergence... but unconfirmed yet....
ok what happens after a bearish divergence
  • #55,274
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:23pm Oct 30, 2012 9:23pm
Quoting Nachiket
ok what happens after a bearish divergence
on a confirmed bearish divergence, we should be able to see a candle formation that would suggest downwards pressure..
perhaps an engulfing candle or something...
ill see if i can find you an example....
i remember i saw one on the GBPUSD....

here it is...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd h4.gif Size: 30 KB
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,275
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:34pm Oct 30, 2012 9:34pm
Quoting fxtyrant
on a confirmed bearish divergence, we should be able to see a candle formation that would suggest downwards pressure..
perhaps an engulfing candle or something...
ill see if i can find you an example....
i remember i saw one on the GBPUSD....

here it is...
Attachment
we still have 2 more hrs to go for that but where is the red line in aussie pointing to
  • #55,276
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:36pm Oct 30, 2012 9:36pm
Quoting Nachiket
we still have 2 more hrs to go for that but where is the red line in aussie pointing to
Plot it yourself on the H4 Chart of AUDUSD... and EMA 55 and EMA 200... you can see we just recently crossedover where EMA is now on top of EMA 200 and usually when THAT happens... its time to look for short....

Just look at how Price moved when the EMA55 is above EMA 200 and how price moved when EMA 55 is Below EMA 200....

i used Blue for EMA55 and Red for EMA 200
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,277
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:37pm Oct 30, 2012 9:37pm
Here you go
Quoting Nachiket
ok what happens after a bearish divergence
Attached Image
  • #55,278
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:38pm Oct 30, 2012 9:38pm
Quoting fxtyrant
Plot it yourself on the H4 Chart of AUDUSD... and EMA 55 and EMA 200... you can see we just recently crossedover where EMA is now on top of EMA 200 and usually when THAT happens... its time to look for short....

Just look at how Price moved when the EMA55 is above EMA 200 and how price moved when EMA 55 is Below EMA 200....

i used Blue for EMA55 and Red for EMA 200
ok fingers crossed. it should fall to 1.0320 atleast.
  • #55,279
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:41pm Oct 30, 2012 9:41pm
Quoting Nachiket
ok fingers crossed. it should fall to 1.0320 atleast.
to be safe i have 1.0330
also i wonder... if Asia is pushing shit up? does it mean in London and New York we will have a sell off??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #55,280
  • Oct 30, 2012 9:54pm Oct 30, 2012 9:54pm
Quoting fxtyrant
to be safe i have 1.0330
also i wonder... if Asia is pushing shit up? does it mean in London and New York we will have a sell off??
after the spike two h1 candles are red so probably it was stop loss hunting on news. some of the weaker stops like mine got hunted
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