AUD/USD | Page 2752 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

AUD/USD

Similar Threads

EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, CAD, NZD, JPY, and more... 15 replies

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and CAD/USD ready to move up 2 replies

Anyone here trading AUD/USD or USD/AUD tonight regarding AUS Home Loan Report? 1 reply

The AUD/USD 1.00 EUR/AUD 1.60 GBP/AUD 2.00 Thread! 0 replies

AUD Trade Balance and AUD Retail sales 6 replies

Attachments: AUD/USD
Exit Attachments

AUD/USD

  • #55,021
  • Oct 28, 2012 12:32am Oct 28, 2012 12:32am
one of the best trades of the year is aproaching hope you guys start to buy es and dow the bull will be large.. will start anytime now

so here is a portfolio for u

long cotton and coffee num 2
long gold silver
long usdx
long es
short jpy
  • #55,022
  • Edited 12:52am Oct 28, 2012 12:39am | Edited 12:52am
Quoting sidhujag
one of the best trades of the year is aproaching hope you guys start to buy es and dow the bull will be large.. will start anytime now

so here is a portfolio for u

long cotton and coffee num 2
long gold silver
long usdx
long es
short jpy
I agree with US equities. I posted a DOW weekly chart on 10-24 showing where the weekly TL is. It bounced PERFECTLY off of this TL on Friday.

The chart I posted 3 days ago is first, I just took a screen shot of the DOW Weekly and DOW D1 just now (2nd & 3rd charts). Have a look... Perfect Bull setup!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW Weekly (10-24-2012).jpg Size: 185 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW Weekly (10-27-2012).jpg Size: 182 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW Daily (10-27-2012).jpg Size: 192 KB
  • #55,023
  • Oct 28, 2012 12:48am Oct 28, 2012 12:48am
Question for you SidhuJag,

If US equities are going to make a Bull run then AUD will probably be quite bullish as well, especially in comparison to the other majors. Now, where do you think AUD will peak at?

We've got 1.0585 which is the weekly TL. Lastly we have a MAJOR zone of resistance up at 1.08 - 1.10.

Where do you see AUD peaking at this go around?

AUD, NZD, and GBP all look pretty bullish on the weekly charts.


Next question: If you are short JPY then what JPY cross pair do you see being the most bullish during the next few weeks/months BESIDES USD/JPY?
  • #55,024
  • Oct 28, 2012 12:58am Oct 28, 2012 12:58am
Quoting sidhujag
one of the best trades of the year is aproaching hope you guys start to buy es and dow the bull will be large.. will start anytime now

so here is a portfolio for u

long cotton and coffee num 2
long gold silver
long usdx
long es
short jpy
Any particular reasons US Equities and commodities will be bullish at the same time of dollar bullish?
  • #55,025
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:02am Oct 28, 2012 1:02am
Quoting Ken A
Any particular reasons US Equities and commodities will be bullish at the same time of dollar bullish?
I'm also curious why Equities and USDX will both be bullish.

I would think it would be:

Bullish: Equities, Commodities, Precious Metals, and most major cross pairs.

Bearish: USD & JPY
  • #55,026
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:22am Oct 28, 2012 1:22am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I'm also curious why Equities and USDX will both be bullish.

I would think it would be:

Bullish: Equities, Commodities, Precious Metals, and most major cross pairs.

Bearish: USD & JPY
Hey 100P,

That could happen Risk-On breaks out of norms when certain conditions apply. I am interested in his analysis of global economy outlooks and Time Frames of each items mentioned above.
  • #55,027
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:22am Oct 28, 2012 1:22am
Quoting RBlackburn
I've starting recording my trades. Here i scalp the aussie on tuesday/wednesday. I wasn't aware of the news & got alot of slippage on 1 trade.

Thinking the AUD will be bearish next week...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTkWWNCQrB4&feature=plcp

So your just taking wild shots in the dark then...
  • #55,028
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:32am Oct 28, 2012 1:32am
Quoting Ken A
Hey 100P,

That could happen Risk-On breaks out of norms when certain conditions apply. I am interested in his analysis of global economy outlooks and Time Frames of each items mentioned above.
Interesting. Yea, I'm also curious about his time frame as well. This year definitely is a unique year with US elections and the "Fiscal Cliff" looking over us...

From what I understand stocks seem to do better during the 4th quarter.

As data from Bespoke Investment Group notes:

*The S&P 500 has averaged a +2.44% performance in fourth quarters since 1928.

*In the last 20 years, it has averaged +4.57% in fourth quarters.

*In the last 30 years, it has advanced in 24 of 30 fourth quarters with an average price return of better than 7%.

http://www.billlosey.com/blog/stocks...th-quarter.php
  • #55,029
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:43am Oct 28, 2012 1:43am
We've got a Tsunami Warning out here in Hawaii! 7.7 earthquake off of West Coast of Canada has created this.

First wave hitting Hawaiian Islands in a little less than 2 hours...
  • #55,030
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:47am Oct 28, 2012 1:47am
Quoting 100PipsADay
We've got a Tsunami Warning out here in Hawaii! 7.7 earthquake off of West Coast of Canada has created this.

First wave hitting Hawaiian Islands in a little less than 2 hours...
Yea I know hope you are on higher grounds in Hawai.
  • #55,031
  • Oct 28, 2012 1:48am Oct 28, 2012 1:48am
Quoting Ken A
Yea I know hope you are on higher grounds in Hawai.
I'm like 150 yards from the shoreline! But we are slightly uphill from the water. Might have to drive up to the mountain base in a little just to be safe...
  • #55,032
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:24am Oct 28, 2012 2:24am
Quoting Ken A
Any particular reasons US Equities and commodities will be bullish at the same time of dollar bullish?
it should rise as es ranges and range when es rises.. It should be at a long term bottom for all the reasons we beat it to death last few posts
  • #55,033
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:28am Oct 28, 2012 2:28am
Quoting 100PipsADay
Question for you SidhuJag,

If US equities are going to make a Bull run then AUD will probably be quite bullish as well, especially in comparison to the other majors. Now, where do you think AUD will peak at?

We've got 1.0585 which is the weekly TL. Lastly we have a MAJOR zone of resistance up at 1.08 - 1.10.

Where do you see AUD peaking at this go around?

AUD, NZD, and GBP all look pretty bullish on the weekly charts.

i dont wanna call out nums but look for selloffs during aud news its simple to trade au based on reaction but mm will be key. Sometimes after a selloff we may still rise into ny etc for stop hunting... Your safe say if you get 2 news releases with bearish pa back to back. But cAn
go as high as 1.15 on correlation if china bakes good numbers for everyone to see.


Next question: If you are short JPY then what JPY cross pair do you see being the most bullish during the next...
hmm i think cj maybe or even ej maybe as europe situation dies down. Real shit will be when france and germany start arguing over who gets the lion share of all the cheap money. Euro has been outperforming many others ea eg ec all look like long term bottom setups.
  • #55,034
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:30am Oct 28, 2012 2:30am
Quoting sidhujag
it should rise as es ranges and range when es rises.. It should be at a long term bottom for all the reasons we beat it to death last few posts
I completely agree with USD being at a long term bottom, just wasn't sure how/why ES would rise with USD. But what you just posted makes sense to me.
  • #55,035
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:33am Oct 28, 2012 2:33am
Quoting sidhujag
hmm i think cj maybe or even ej maybe as europe situation dies down. Real shit will be when france and germany start arguing over who gets the lion share of all the cheap money. Euro has been outperforming many others ea eg ec all look like long term bottom setups.
I'm going to take a look at different JPY cross pairs for long term trade opportunities. Most of them are looking very good on Weekly and even Monthly charts.

CAD/JPY has been holding it's Weekly uptrend very nicely. Closed Friday right on the TL...

Thanks for your perspective Jag!
  • #55,036
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:35am Oct 28, 2012 2:35am
aud is funny news comes out at the opposite time of day when high liquidity comes. Look for aud bears during news as a hint. Set it to be and hope it survives. I honestly think smart money will see other
commodities as a safer play and move money out esp if china news keeps getting worsed.. Im not sure about playing aud in near term as there are better things to look at right now
  • #55,037
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:37am Oct 28, 2012 2:37am
I'm still Bearish on the EUR for the long term, sounds like you are bullish long term?

I just don't see their situation fixed, more like the can got kicked down the road for the time being...
  • #55,038
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:37am Oct 28, 2012 2:37am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I'm going to take a look at different JPY cross pairs for long term trade opportunities. Most of them are looking very good on Weekly and even Monthly charts.

CAD/JPY has been holding it's Weekly uptrend very nicely. Closed Friday right on the TL...

Thanks for your perspective Jag!
i been waiting for a strong push down on jpy pairs but might have missed boat on it.. maybe will have to add after it closes above 80. I wanted uj at 78 or lower but well see after their meeting.
  • #55,039
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:38am Oct 28, 2012 2:38am
Quoting sidhujag
aud is funny news comes out at the opposite time of day when high liquidity comes. Look for aud bears during news as a hint. Set it to be and hope it survives. I honestly think smart money will see other
commodities as a safer play and move money out esp if china news keeps getting worsed.. Im not sure about playing aud in near term as there are better things to look at right now
I'll definitely keep my eye on it. However, it has outperformed EUR, GBP, CAD, and even NZD during the past 2 weeks.
  • #55,040
  • Oct 28, 2012 2:40am Oct 28, 2012 2:40am
Quoting 100PipsADay
I'm still Bearish on the EUR for the long term, sounds like you are bullish long term?

I just don't see their situation fixed, more like the can got kicked down the road for the time being...
after maybe 2015 im bearish... that year is important if you look at the chart.

But look at cross pairs and see that eur is strongest currency.. Also retailers shorting it is a bonus. u might be right though cause it is 50% of usdx
and i see more miney going to usdx rather than eur
32 traders viewing now