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AUD/USD

  • #54,661
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:40pm Oct 24, 2012 12:40pm
Quoting domino
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...03#post6126803
utter swetness....

on a side note anyone theorizing on the possibility that the EU will start picking up more countries.. ill be honest its a possibility I haven't thought of yet.... I mean they did jan 09, 2010, and 2011....whats the price impact of some of these bigger nations looking... and without the euro being devalued how will these countries stay competitive under differing economic stressors? the euro has proven to be hard to balance
Do you think about the EU or EZ. The political will is there, they are waiting for the opportunity. I'm a completely disqualified to answer this question on the economical side. If I know them well, the economic impact will certainly not stop them. They really f*ck "We the People...".
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #54,662
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:43pm Oct 24, 2012 12:43pm
Here is what I'm looking for a trade opportunity. Break or not break, the price has to move far frome the magenta line. The fomc will move it. I've to go so i'll not be able to take this. finishing the day at -40. For sure I was more interested by the belly dancer than by my trades.
GL all.
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Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #54,663
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:48pm Oct 24, 2012 12:48pm
I hope the FOMC will move the markets one way or another but I'm not holding my breath. Most observers not expecting any surprises. The FED Funds rate is expected to remain unchanged and there should be no adjustment on asset purchases. The accompanying statement should have little surprise as well. This will lead to speculation that the December meeting will be the interesting one. The Presidential election will be over and Operation Twist will have been completed. The expectations are that in December, QE3 will be expanded from $40 billion per month at present to $85 billion per month, beginning in January. No one expects and dramatic change in the FED’s monetary stance anytime soon.
  • #54,664
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:53pm Oct 24, 2012 12:53pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
I hope the FOMC will move the markets one way or another but I'm not holding my breath. Most observers not expecting any surprises. The FED Funds rate is expected to remain unchanged and there should be no adjustment on asset purchases. The accompanying statement should have little surprise as well. This will lead to speculation that the December meeting will be the interesting one. The Presidential election will be over and Operation Twist will have been completed. The expectations are that in December, QE3 will be expanded from $40 billion...
Thanks for sharing the info. Anyway it's to late, I exited and I can go out stress free.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #54,665
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:59pm Oct 24, 2012 12:59pm
Quoting maximinus
Thanks for sharing the info. Anyway it's to late, I exited and I can go out stress free.
Tomorrow is another day! Enjoy the rest of your day Maximinus.
  • #54,666
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:03pm Oct 24, 2012 1:03pm
Hey Bogus!

How you liking your E/A trade noiw?
  • #54,667
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:20pm Oct 24, 2012 1:20pm
Quoting fxtyrant
just checking to see if you ignored me...
never brother... i must of just missed the post... please direct me to ur post
  • #54,668
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:21pm Oct 24, 2012 1:21pm
Closed earlier at 365 in the green. Looking to long again at 320
  • #54,669
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:25pm Oct 24, 2012 1:25pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Hey Bogus!

How you liking your E/A trade noiw?
Lovin it
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #54,670
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:32pm Oct 24, 2012 1:32pm
Quoting bogus
Lovin it
Hahahaha. Nice trade man!
  • #54,671
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:38pm Oct 24, 2012 1:38pm
Looks like if we have a Daily close below 618 ytd hi/lo and the recent wave down close below 50% the range is set going into the next meeting.

If you believe the RBA will cut in several days going short at 1.04-1.0435 with a tight stop at 1.0450 is optimal. or at current levels with a stop a bit above 1.04 going into the week of.

If you think they will hold going long at 1.04 with a stop at 1.0365 for a move back to 1.06 is not a bad RR either

You would have to see huge number from AAPL and follow through on es tf for a reversal of risk on Gold/Oil/Copper/Palladium ect than AUD/USD will be at the top range of the sell area at 1.04-1.0435 (for me at least)
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  • #54,672
  • Oct 24, 2012 1:42pm Oct 24, 2012 1:42pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Hahahaha. Nice trade man!
THanks. Moved my stop to 1.255, we'll see how it reacts now that its hit 1.25
A/U was hinting at moving higher at the weekly open by making higher lows on the 15 minute candles about 8/9 hours ago. Hope your week continues well mate.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #54,673
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:07pm Oct 24, 2012 2:07pm
Quoting jezek5
Stop moved up to +2 at 1.0255.
Orange and pink lines first and second target.

Booked 90 pips on half,
moved stop up to 0280 on the rest.
Will look to add on a pullback.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
  • #54,674
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:07pm Oct 24, 2012 2:07pm
Same story for au futures 1h closed at exactly 1.03 next hourly breached 1.03 only to close at 1.03 making a pin could be the top for the day now looking at a fib range as mentioned above

unless appl turns around the market tomorrow
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  • #54,675
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:24pm Oct 24, 2012 2:24pm
looks like ES wants to take out 1400 watching the last 30min.

ON the bull side: just thinking out loud hear what an amazing buy opp it would be if we were trading at 1400-1390 and apple came out tomorrow with big results that would be a great long and I will look at calls my self if this occurs

although it could easily go the opposite way RSI Daily on ES is at 30.61 so oversold could be an interesting next two days.
  • #54,676
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:33pm Oct 24, 2012 2:33pm
Quoting jplazard
looks like ES wants to take out 1400 watching the last 30min.

ON the bull side: just thinking out loud hear what an amazing buy opp it would be if we were trading at 1400-1390 and apple came out tomorrow with big results that would be a great long and I will look at calls my self if this occurs

although it could easily go the opposite way RSI Daily on ES is at 30.61 so oversold could be an interesting next two days.
I think long on equities would be the best R:R vs. going short at these levels. Look at the weekly trend line. I see a nice bounce up off of the TL later this week or early next week. Obviously if we get a nice spike with US equities then AUD should follow...

The TL meets at 13000, a nice whole number. Let's see if price respects the trend line.

**As far as ES goes (S&P) I would say 1385 is the key area to watch out for.
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  • #54,677
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:41pm Oct 24, 2012 2:41pm
1hr tasty short for short term??
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Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #54,678
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:45pm Oct 24, 2012 2:45pm
Planning on entering long at 1.0315 level. Nice breakout (demand zone).
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  • #54,679
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:49pm Oct 24, 2012 2:49pm
it has not been good when we cross below the previous major high only once since the crash did we advert a bigger move lower. Appl does not deliver tomorrow than i wont think of buying anything es related till
1378

Definitlly a concerning time for where we are at. or a great Buy opp a bit lower
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  • #54,680
  • Oct 24, 2012 2:51pm Oct 24, 2012 2:51pm
Quoting Pipage
Planning on entering long at 1.0315 level. Nice breakout (demand zone).
Agree,as i see it any hold around the 0300ish level
could be good for another leg up,a pullback to that
level would be good to see what she's really got in her.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
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