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AUD/USD

  • #54,641
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:20am Oct 24, 2012 9:20am
Quoting fxtyrant
you sure?
yes BG


#14264
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #54,642
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:25am Oct 24, 2012 9:25am
Zircon it looks like if the bears can break 1.033 in the short term this may be a move back down if not and we can break 1.035 we may be witnessing the start of a trend change in AUD/USD. What do you think?
  • #54,643
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:26am Oct 24, 2012 9:26am
Quoting Zircon
yes BG


#14264
m not gona say a word..... only piece of advice... wait for the day end
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,644
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:28am Oct 24, 2012 9:28am
Quoting iNSIELD
Zircon it looks like if the bears can break 1.033 in the short term this may be a move back down if not and we can break 1.035 we may be witnessing the start of a trend change in AUD/USD. What do you think?
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...12#post6089612


I hope this for bears
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #54,645
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:32am Oct 24, 2012 9:32am
me too lol I am of the opinion we see 1.043 minimum
  • #54,646
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:34am Oct 24, 2012 9:34am
Quoting fxtyrant
m not gona say a word..... only piece of advice... wait for the day end
I am not trading Aussie now but i hope all the best for all...
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #54,647
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:34am Oct 24, 2012 9:34am
hey BG Do you think US stops mini QE3 bc of good home sales number?
  • #54,648
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:37am Oct 24, 2012 9:37am
Quoting iNSIELD
hey BG Do you think US stops mini QE3 bc of good home sales number?
Ben Bernanke suggested that this QE3 comes in multiple courses.... now i can tell you their mission for QE3 is to make sure home sales increase, the whole point of the QE3 is to lower unemployment and to restimulate housing market..... 1 part of it is showing recovery, and im not the only one saying the US housing market is on the recover....

This would put a halt on upcoming QE3 bundle UNTIL the next bad data comes out.... so this should really act as a dollar bullish moment, unfortunately we (AUDUSD bears) seen china PMI and Australian CPI good news and it floods to London... But what needs to be seen is NEW York....
New York is gona be interesting....

So if anything... lets say i get it wrong with the Australian and China Datas, so im not always right.... but personally i wasnt expecting these data...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,649
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:38am Oct 24, 2012 9:38am
I am candles trader, when i see two weekly bull tightened in play ,I'l be if i was short selling.
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #54,650
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:42am Oct 24, 2012 9:42am
BG that does make alot of sense and on the whole I agree with u the only problem being is that what that statistic doesn't show is that in the midwest home sales fell 37.3% and bc of this I'm not sure how Bernanke will approach QE3
  • #54,651
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:42am Oct 24, 2012 9:42am
Quoting Zircon
I am candles trader, when i see two weekly bull tightened in play ,I'l be if i was short selling.
I would be chicken to Long the Aussie, knowing its still in a down trend and Gold is on the poise to drop...
Only reason i can find is news moving the Aussie and GBP, possibly out of the EURO on spanish uncertainty....

all i can say is get ready for the next leg of drop in Gold.... that should put some pressure on them short term Aussie bulls.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,652
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:43am Oct 24, 2012 9:43am
Boy I tell u Zircon a break of 1.035 or 1.033 will lead the way for this pair it looks like some big move in either direction is building up
  • #54,653
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:44am Oct 24, 2012 9:44am
Quoting iNSIELD
BG that does make alot of sense and on the whole I agree with u the only problem being is that what that statistic doesn't show is that in the midwest home sales fell 37.3% and bc of this I'm not sure how Bernanke will approach QE3
Dude Homes in Mid West are worthless... theres no demand for it....
people dont live in mid west places... seriously.... what States are you even talk about the mid west??
BTW, markets today are driven by new today clearly.... so its not really Technical flows and thats what Bulls should be worried about.... Market dont move WITH news... they move as Technical Flow of Money tells them to....
so i would be a bit skeptical of a move like this today....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,654
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:48am Oct 24, 2012 9:48am
lol I live in the midwest ppl have started moving away from the Northeast bc cost of living is so high and bad economy in the US.
  • #54,655
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:50am Oct 24, 2012 9:50am
Quoting fxtyrant
I would be chicken to Long the Aussie, knowing its still in a down trend and Gold is on the poise to drop...
Only reason i can find is news moving the Aussie and GBP, possibly out of the EURO on spanish uncertainty....

all i can say is get ready for the next leg of drop in Gold.... that should put some pressure on them short term Aussie bulls.
I hope to have this courage on you , i will be rich very rich.

Depends on your size of trading, I trade only when i am sure .

Anyway good luck
If skills could be acquired by watching, every dog would be a butcher. Turk
  • #54,656
  • Oct 24, 2012 9:54am Oct 24, 2012 9:54am
Quoting Zircon
I hope to have this courage on you , i will be rich very rich.

Depends on your size of trading, I trade only when i am sure .

Anyway good luck
i trade when im cetain too...
plotting trendlines on the weekly and i can see AUDUSD has a range from 1.06 to 0.98,
Daily 1.06 to 1.0180, so i dont see why we wont see 1.02 again.
i know my ranges....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,657
  • Oct 24, 2012 10:43am Oct 24, 2012 10:43am
Well the numbers ive called have been absolutely spot on this AM.... after the 283 was held on the 4HR post news the 0294 held as support then the 0317 was critical... it broke, took a retest and price went right to 0351

That the Big area guys.. if price can manage a close above the 0351/0360 that confirms the resumption of the Dailies to the top side... if not it means we are still in a consolidation/bearish condition


GL my friends

Wulf

ps wtg 100pips on your EU shorts
  • #54,658
  • Oct 24, 2012 10:49am Oct 24, 2012 10:49am
Quoting Wulfgar
Well the numbers ive called have been absolutely spot on this AM.... after the 283 was held on the 4HR post news the 0294 held as support then the 0317 was critical... it broke, took a retest and price went right to 0351

That the Big area guys.. if price can manage a close above the 0351/0360 that confirms the resumption of the Dailies to the top side... if not it means we are still in a consolidation/bearish condition


GL my friends

Wulf

ps wtg 100pips on your EU shorts
just checking to see if you ignored me...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,659
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:22pm Oct 24, 2012 12:22pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...03#post6126803
utter swetness....

on a side note anyone theorizing on the possibility that the EU will start picking up more countries.. ill be honest its a possibility I haven't thought of yet.... I mean they did jan 09, 2010, and 2011....whats the price impact of some of these bigger nations looking... and without the euro being devalued how will these countries stay competitive under differing economic stressors? the euro has proven to be hard to balance
  • #54,660
  • Oct 24, 2012 12:30pm Oct 24, 2012 12:30pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Well the numbers ive called have been absolutely spot on this AM.... after the 283 was held on the 4HR post news the 0294 held as support then the 0317 was critical... it broke, took a retest and price went right to 0351

That the Big area guys.. if price can manage a close above the 0351/0360 that confirms the resumption of the Dailies to the top side... if not it means we are still in a consolidation/bearish condition


GL my friends

Wulf

ps wtg 100pips on your EU shorts

Hey thanks Wulf! I don't normally play EUR/USD but thought it was good R:R. Quick in and out with those trades.

AUD/USD Daily candle is looking extremely bullish right now... I think FOMC is bears last chance for this week in regards to AUD otherwise we will more than likely be closing above 1.0360

I guess time will tell! Hope you've been having a good week Wulf!
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