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AUD/USD

  • #54,361
  • Oct 21, 2012 2:12pm Oct 21, 2012 2:12pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Yep!

My analysis still stands in regards to AUD being mostly bullish this week.
1.0300 is the major handle.
forexpillariscipline & patience Trader
  • #54,362
  • Oct 21, 2012 3:31pm Oct 21, 2012 3:31pm
Quoting Wulfgar
Hey my friends

While Ill still be trading the forex on the larger TF swings, upon review of the current macro economic climate Ill be turning the bulk of my attention to the futures markets. Specifically the ES, CL and 6E/6A as well as some other equities and indices.

Volume is down tremendously in forex due to all the CB interference and it has chased many of the larger players out of the FX markets. Friday was an excellent elegant example of such deleveraging. The Dow drops the most in 4 months along with the spx and nasdaq on tremendous volume...
lol
  • #54,363
  • Oct 21, 2012 3:43pm Oct 21, 2012 3:43pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
gap down?

310...
The LOD is 1.03065
  • #54,364
  • Oct 21, 2012 3:52pm Oct 21, 2012 3:52pm
Quoting fxjawn
lol
lol
  • #54,365
  • Oct 21, 2012 4:02pm Oct 21, 2012 4:02pm
Quoting richy
lol


hope you have a good week man
  • #54,366
  • Oct 21, 2012 5:22pm Oct 21, 2012 5:22pm
Some levels to watch for. 1.0365 and 1.0275.

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • #54,367
  • Edited 5:46pm Oct 21, 2012 5:26pm | Edited 5:46pm
prolly not the best time to hold Long on AUDUSD at these levels...
XAUUSD look destined for 1650 area again....

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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PS. for anyone wondering who i am... well its me bguguen, a frequent contributor on this forum, i just managed to get my username changed and thats all.... im still around, still bearish on AUDUSD till we see 0.98....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,368
  • Edited 6:26pm Oct 21, 2012 6:14pm | Edited 6:26pm
Hello all. I'm currently short a/u on long e/a.
Looks like e/a is forming a rounding bottom on 15 minute chart.
1.0288 is next support for a/u providing it breaks the round number.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #54,369
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:30pm Oct 21, 2012 6:30pm
Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #54,370
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:33pm Oct 21, 2012 6:33pm
Quoting bogus
Chart
Dear All @

I think AUD/USD is good price to buy Now at 1.0302

What your call
  • #54,371
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:38pm Oct 21, 2012 6:38pm
Quoting aleneznm
Dear All @

I think AUD/USD is good price to buy Now at 1.0302

What your call
i see AUDUSD down to 1.0250 very soon.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,372
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:41pm Oct 21, 2012 6:41pm
Quoting aleneznm
Dear All @

I think AUD/USD is good price to buy Now at 1.0302

What your call

Nice bullish engulfing candle forming on the M30

Based off of the past 10 year statistics I have a 75% chance that the gap will be filled with AUD/JPY TODAY! Odds are definitely in my favor...
  • #54,373
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:45pm Oct 21, 2012 6:45pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Nice bullish engulfing candle forming on the M30

Based off of the past 10 year statistics I have a 75% chance that the gap will be filled with AUD/JPY TODAY! Odds are definitely in my favor...
gaps will be filled sooner or later, doesnt mean itll happen right away,
Besids AUDUSD looking heavy down to test the upwards trendling at 1.0250, which corresponds well to Silver and Gold Sell off... Gold is being sold off targeting 1650....

maybe time to revisit your strategy?? cuz i see a bearish gold....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,374
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:47pm Oct 21, 2012 6:47pm
Quoting fxtyrant
i see AUDUSD down to 1.0250 very soon.
ya maybe but its the wrong time to trade.. we are on a bearish correction w1 on a bullish trend d1 on a bearish correction m15.. So bad choice
to get in this pair now
  • #54,375
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:48pm Oct 21, 2012 6:48pm
Quoting fxtyrant
gaps will be filled sooner or later, doesnt mean itll happen right away,
Besids AUDUSD looking heavy down to test the upwards trendling at 1.0250, which corresponds well to Silver and Gold Sell off... Gold is being sold off targeting 1650....

maybe time to revisit your strategy?? cuz i see a bearish gold....
50 pips im au equals 50 dollars gold since when? golds due for a correction... Its been selling off while au rises so check your strategy. A 25 rise im gold and we can see 1.450
  • #54,376
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:50pm Oct 21, 2012 6:50pm
Quoting fxtyrant
gaps will be filled sooner or later, doesnt mean itll happen right away,
Besids AUDUSD looking heavy down to test the upwards trendling at 1.0250, which corresponds well to Silver and Gold Sell off... Gold is being sold off targeting 1650....

maybe time to revisit your strategy?? cuz i see a bearish gold....
I understand Gaps get filled sooner or later. But based off of statistics from 2002-2010 AUD/JPY gaps were filled the same day 75% of the time in the 8 years worth of statistics.

This is why I said the odds are in my favor! I don't mean sometime, I mean today...

Also, as JP pointed out multiple times, correlation between Gold and AUD is non-existent more than often, so that doesn't hold much water.
  • #54,377
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:50pm Oct 21, 2012 6:50pm
Quoting sidhujag
50 pips im au equals 50 dollars gold since when?
i never said 50 pips in AU = 50 dollars in gold... All im saying is.... Its not time to be bullish on AU given the circumstance that Gold broke below to open up 1650 as a possible location before any reacting.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,378
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:52pm Oct 21, 2012 6:52pm
Quoting fxtyrant
i never said 50 pips in AU = 50 dollars in gold... All im saying is.... Its not time to be bullish on AU given the circumstance that Gold broke below to open up 1650 as a possible location before any reacting.....
doesnt matter smart money is still long au short term... Yes commercials are short gold but they also decreased net shorts... golds downtrend can end any day.. I also see your target but might not reach it if au eu gu decide to rise
  • #54,379
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:53pm Oct 21, 2012 6:53pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
I understand Gaps get filled sooner or later. But based off of statistics from 2002-2010 AUD/JPY gaps were filled the same day 75% of the time in the 8 years worth of statistics.

This is why I said the odds are in my favor! I don't mean sometime, I mean today...

Also, as JP pointed out multiple times, correlation between Gold and AUD is non-existent more than often, so that doesn't hold much water.

Good for you.... i dont trade AUDJPY... but my word of advice is that AUDUSD is still not a good pair to be bullish right now. i will still look to load up short maybe up at 1.0350 and 1.04 this week.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #54,380
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:55pm Oct 21, 2012 6:55pm
gold can hit its target mid this week while au keeps its low easily. If it does long is better option with rr at 1.01
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