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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #36,681
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:04am Oct 15, 2012 5:04am
Quoting Piters
yup mate.. breaking point.. towards 1.3020 or rejection and test the LTL.. I hate when this come to DPP just before NY open.. means we need a good push up from Fundies.. otherwise.. we just may drop..

I done 2 trades, one short since friday and one in asia.. I agree s far no setup for me..

Xfactor is better to watch ..
I discover that to learn how to be engaged with the market without a trade helps me not to get in any trades but only in the ones with high probability.
Chaos is the law of nature; order is the dream of man.
  • #36,682
  • Edited 5:07am Oct 15, 2012 5:04am | Edited 5:07am
Quoting Skynet
MY take on the EUR/USD...i am more interested in this congestion/compression going on on the daily chart......is it getting poised for a breakout...of course, it may bounce off the trendlines a couple more times...but the breakout will eventually happen...in what direction? well...take a look at the chart.
:
Agreed... But i feel suspicious about a down move looking on my chart D1... (EMA 50 + MA 200) are going to cross... Up.....

Look my Blue circle...
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  • #36,683
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:04am Oct 15, 2012 5:04am
........but 15M is turning down now so I don't know.......is tricky today, I think New York will tell the tale......

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The Chonchy
  • #36,684
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:06am Oct 15, 2012 5:06am
Quoting Piters
yup mate.. breaking point.. towards 1.3020 or rejection and test the LTL.. I hate when this come to DPP just before NY open.. means we need a good push up from Fundies.. otherwise.. we just may drop..

I done 2 trades, one short since friday and one in asia.. I agree s far no setup for me..

Xfactor is better to watch ..
.......I think you are correct there.....
The Chonchy
  • #36,685
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:06am Oct 15, 2012 5:06am
Quoting Jackguar
I discover that to learn how to be engaged with the market without a trade helps me not to get in any trades but only in the ones with high probability.
The Chonchy
  • #36,686
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:09am Oct 15, 2012 5:09am
Quoting dswk
:
Agreed... But i feel suspicious about a down move looking on my chart D1... (EMA 50 + MA 200) are going to cross... Up.....
.......My daily is a mess but it is in deed up so I think it may continue up like I said to look for the uper trend line in skynet's chart, 3020 sounds about rite like peter's said.......we will see......patiente......
The Chonchy
  • #36,687
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:14am Oct 15, 2012 5:14am
Quoting chonchy
....the 30M sounds like is up to the uper trend line, let see if it breaks it......

thank you, boss.

Quoting dswk
agreed... But i feel suspicious about a down move looking on my chart D1... (EMA 50 + MA 200) are going to cross... Up.....

Look my Blue circle...
i see your point from a pure price action point of view...take a look at the potentially interfering s/r zones and trendlines on the daily...sort of explain why EU is in a daily consolidation.

i will say that technically, an upmove is more likely than a downward move...however, i will let this market decides for me.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #36,688
  • Edited 5:32am Oct 15, 2012 5:18am | Edited 5:32am
Quoting chonchy
.....How those it work Jack? if it breaks the box you go at it? sort of like the triangles......thanks in advance....
Best BO are the one the do not break strongly, but the one that create a pre-tension before the break, meaning if prices bounce a few time between the average and the barrier of the box printing also a few dojis before the break, that is the optimal break, of course trades are best taken in the direction of the least resistance, taking in consideration HH, HL, LH and LL's within the box.

If the trade is missed because not only the pre-tension BO are successful trades, the calm scalper will wait for a pull back to the average to take trades in the direction of the trend, which are about a few setup that one needs to consider, of course the manner of the actual trend and of the pullback will be taken in consideration in the possibility of how to enter if at all.
Chaos is the law of nature; order is the dream of man.
  • #36,689
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:27am Oct 15, 2012 5:27am
Quoting chonchy
...the 30M sounds like is up to the uper trend line, let see if it breaks it......
the best case i can make for an upmove at this point is this. check the chart...it will be preferable to enter at the touch of that trendline....

i have included two attachments illustrating what i mean:
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-10-15_06-26_png (PNG.jpg Size: 15 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-10-15_06-24_OANDA.jpg Size: 88 KB
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #36,690
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:33am Oct 15, 2012 5:33am
Quoting Skynet
the best case i can make for an upmove at this point is this. check the chart...it will be preferable to enter at the touch of that trendline....

i have included two attachments illustrating what i mean:
Chaos is the law of nature; order is the dream of man.
  • #36,691
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:35am Oct 15, 2012 5:35am
i am curious, what you wrote below, do you have analytical studies on it? i will like to read it.

by analytical studies, i mean robust statistical data.


Quoting Jackguar
Best BO are the one the do not break strongly, but the one that create a pre-tension before the break, meaning if prices bounce a few time between the average and the barrier of the box printing also a few dojis before the break, that is the optimal break, of course trades are best taken in the direction of the least resistance, taking in consideration HH, HL, LH and LL's within the box.

If the trade is missed because not only the pre-tension BO are successful trades, the calm scalper will wait for a pull back to the average to take trades in the...
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #36,692
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:37am Oct 15, 2012 5:37am
Quoting Skynet
i am curious, what you wrote below, do you have analytical studies on it? i will like to read it.

by analytical studies, i mean robust statistical data.
Pm is coming.
Chaos is the law of nature; order is the dream of man.
  • #36,693
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:40am Oct 15, 2012 5:40am
Quoting Jackguar
Pm is coming.
I cannot pm you.

Sorry, robust statistical data non available also because past data will not guarantee future development.
Chaos is the law of nature; order is the dream of man.
  • #36,694
  • Oct 15, 2012 5:49am Oct 15, 2012 5:49am
Quoting Jackguar
I cannot pm you.

Sorry, robust statistical data non available also because past data will not guarantee future development.
Just did.
Chaos is the law of nature; order is the dream of man.
  • #36,695
  • Oct 15, 2012 6:11am Oct 15, 2012 6:11am
#Spain continues to avoid formally asking for its much needed financial assistance

... But yurrow up...

^^

Is Felix Baumgartner still on his helium ballon ? No.... he have succefully jumped... but yurrow... not...
  • #36,696
  • Oct 15, 2012 6:13am Oct 15, 2012 6:13am
Quoting dswk
#Spain continues to avoid formally asking for its much needed financial assistance

... But yurrow up...

^^

Is Felix Baumgartner still on his helium ballon ? No.... he have succefully jumped... but yurrow... not...
  • #36,697
  • Oct 15, 2012 6:20am Oct 15, 2012 6:20am
Quoting dswk
#Spain continues to avoid formally asking for its much needed financial assistance

... But yurrow up...

^^

Is Felix Baumgartner still on his helium ballon ? No.... he have succefully jumped... but yurrow... not...
thwy wait till elections same as china willlauch qe on nov 8
  • #36,698
  • Oct 15, 2012 6:28am Oct 15, 2012 6:28am
Quoting rekon67
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...7&d=1350112059
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  • #36,699
  • Edited 9:38am Oct 15, 2012 9:30am | Edited 9:38am
same as usual ....
They push the price @ EU open... release it before EU close... Still uptrend but ... boring... Of course it's always Hi Lo in play... but ... pfff ... boring.

will look around for other pairs i thinks... Yurrow make me sick...

Music from my friendly team on WE parties ^^ :
Enjoy.. At least...

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  • #36,700
  • Oct 15, 2012 9:43am Oct 15, 2012 9:43am
and another one because i hate the current yurrow congestion....


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