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  • #53,581
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:32pm Oct 10, 2012 7:32pm
hmmmm.... i cant interpret this.... increased jobs but unemployment increased.... seems like a bad news.... so AUDUSD bearish me thinks.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,582
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:32pm Oct 10, 2012 7:32pm
wow.. aud... unemployment 5.4%
  • #53,583
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:32pm Oct 10, 2012 7:32pm
272 is target #1
310 is target #2
  • #53,584
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:34pm Oct 10, 2012 7:34pm
Quoting HelloOz
wow.. aud... unemployment 5.4%
yea notice this.... 14.5k jobs increased and unemployment rate still crept up 0.1%.... thats bad news...
so does it mean jobs should've tried to reach 20k in order to be below 5.3% for good news?? hmmm
Id be loading up SHORTS big time on this rise....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,585
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:34pm Oct 10, 2012 7:34pm
thats what i thought.. exactly same data as i wanted - lol.added short 1.0250 with stoploss 1.0320
Quoting bguguen
hmmmm.... i cant interpret this.... increased jobs but unemployment increased.... seems like a bad news.... so AUDUSD bearish me thinks.
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #53,586
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:35pm Oct 10, 2012 7:35pm
Quoting bguguen
i guess all i can say now is we agree to disagree each other.... because personally i dont see us reaching a conclusion and lets look at the Unemployment coming out instead....
Let time tells.
I've seen so many people give their analysis about forex, and there is not even a single person can't predict it with 100% accuracy. But, both of you really give some insight in fundamental side of this pair. thanks.
  • #53,587
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:36pm Oct 10, 2012 7:36pm
Quoting sidhujag
272 is target #1
310 is target #2
What was your entry price?
  • #53,588
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:37pm Oct 10, 2012 7:37pm
yeah baby! love asia kamikaze attack
  • #53,589
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:38pm Oct 10, 2012 7:38pm
Quoting bguguen
yea notice this.... 14.5k jobs increased and unemployment rate still crept up 0.1%.... thats bad news...
so does it mean jobs should've tried to reach 20k in order to be below 5.3% for good news?? hmmm
Id be loading up SHORTS big time on this rise....
There's something called participation rate, it's the unemployed officially registering with Centrelink as looking for work, the unemployment rate ticked up to 5.4% because of the increase of people asking for unemployment benefits and looking for work, not because not enough jobs were created, 14.5K new jobs is actually a pretty strong number.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #53,590
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:39pm Oct 10, 2012 7:39pm
more jobs but .3% rise in unemployment rate, a reverse of last months results. Then price was around similar level and went up. This time going up too, I don't understand. What am I missing?
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #53,591
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:40pm Oct 10, 2012 7:40pm
Im a bear and even I can agree with the bulls here the participation rate and the increase in jobs will not be a bear argument this week.

Look above as we will take out 1.0275 for the big retrace where the selling can commence.

Bears its over this week on macro look for the ceiling or next week.
  • #53,592
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:41pm Oct 10, 2012 7:41pm
Quoting bguguen
hmmmm.... i cant interpret this.... increased jobs but unemployment increased.... seems like a bad news.... so AUDUSD bearish me thinks.

Increase in the particpation rate .
And , the full-time employment split was up 32.1k
It's a pretty basic equation .
  • #53,593
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:41pm Oct 10, 2012 7:41pm
Quoting stulic
There's something called participation rate, it's the unemployed officially registering with Centrelink as looking for work, the unemployment rate ticked up to 5.4% because of the increase of people asking for unemployment benefits and looking for work, not because not enough jobs were created, 14.5K new jobs is actually a pretty strong number.
im pretty sure the participation rate has increased is still not a good news, when participation rate picks up like this it means employment change next time will have to be above 14.5k in order to get unemployment rate to start reversing....
or i could be wrong here... still seeing this as a chance to load up on shorts...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,594
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:42pm Oct 10, 2012 7:42pm
the participation rate is steady, full time employment increase, part time employment increasing, and more jobs were created than expected.
People want to work and are actively looking- that is the take away ppl should see from this and its good for AUD

Question is will the positions be filled that we have to wait for.
  • #53,595
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:42pm Oct 10, 2012 7:42pm
SOLD AUD/USD @ 1.0260 i think its hard to break this level Sl @ 1.0320 Tp @ 61.8 fib which is 1.0204
  • #53,596
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:44pm Oct 10, 2012 7:44pm
Quoting jplazard
Im a bear and even I can agree with the bulls here the participation rate and the increase in jobs will not be a bear argument this week.

Look above as we will take out 1.0275 for the big retrace where the selling can commence.

Bears its over this week on macro look for the ceiling or next week.
Thats why im loading up shorts on the up move...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,597
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:44pm Oct 10, 2012 7:44pm
Quoting jplazard
the participation rate is steady, full time employment increase, part time employment increasing, and more jobs were created than expected.
People want to work and are actively looking- that is the take away ppl should see from this and its good for AUD

Question is will the positions be filled that we have to wait for.
this could actually turn into a huge trading week due to the trading right meow primarily why im watching for once.. becareful through here
  • #53,598
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:45pm Oct 10, 2012 7:45pm
The market has been looking for a reason to retrace a bit here and this nugget of news could be the one that does it look for London. Short covering if we take out 1.0275-80 will not be far behind.
  • #53,599
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:46pm Oct 10, 2012 7:46pm
Quoting Balmain Boy
Increase in the particpation rate .
And , the full-time employment split was up 32.1k
It's a pretty basic equation .
Change rose 14.5k (survey 5k, prior -8.8k revised -9.1k)
Unemployment rate rose to 5.4% (survey 5.3%, prior 5.1%)
Full time employment rose 32.1k(prior 0.6k, revised 0.8k).
Part time employment fell 17.7k (prior -9.3k revised -9.9k).
Participation rate rose to 65.2% (survey 65.0%, prior 65.0%).

Participation only up 0.2%.... Unemployment rate increased by 0.3%...

Participation versus Unemployment.
+0.2%-0.3% = -0.1%....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,600
  • Oct 10, 2012 7:46pm Oct 10, 2012 7:46pm
Quoting jplazard
the participation rate is steady, full time employment increase, part time employment increasing, and more jobs were created than expected.
People want to work and are actively looking- that is the take away ppl should see from this and its good for AUD

Question is will the positions be filled that we have to wait for.
You are being premature with your assessment yet. Lots can happen till Friday.
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