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AUD/USD

  • #53,501
  • Oct 10, 2012 1:47pm Oct 10, 2012 1:47pm
Quoting domino
I never trust those things honestly those guys just talk alot of shit
Always trade what your chart shows you not what they said.
forexpillariscipline & patience Trader
  • #53,502
  • Oct 10, 2012 1:59pm Oct 10, 2012 1:59pm
is anyone anticipating bad employment and unemployment date for AUD in a few hours? I am currently short....
  • #53,503
  • Oct 10, 2012 2:04pm Oct 10, 2012 2:04pm
Quoting 4rextrader
is anyone anticipating bad employment and unemployment date for AUD in a few hours? I am currently short....
right,i also short
  • #53,504
  • Oct 10, 2012 2:38pm Oct 10, 2012 2:38pm
Quoting 4rextrader
is anyone anticipating bad employment and unemployment date for AUD in a few hours? I am currently short....
Technical is on a retracement ride right now... and i am tempted to wait until the data comes out....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,505
  • Oct 10, 2012 2:44pm Oct 10, 2012 2:44pm
i got short from 1.0255(SL BE) but im thinking bout closing them now.I dont expect aud to come out with negative data.If we get positive data then we might pop up to 1.0390-1.0400 area again and nzdusd 0.8255-300 area -if negative than audusd 1.0076 should hold and nzd usd 0.8067-70
Quoting bguguen
Technical is on a retracement ride right now... and i am tempted to wait until the data comes out....
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #53,506
  • Oct 10, 2012 2:48pm Oct 10, 2012 2:48pm
Quoting eqshack
i got short from 1.0255(SL BE) but im thinking bout closing them now.I dont expect aud to come out with negative data.If we get positive data then we might pop up to 1.0390-1.0400 area again and nzdusd 0.8255-300 area
however i think different... i will see... if data is bad and we get a spike up to 1.0250 or 1.03 im shorting....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,507
  • Oct 10, 2012 2:55pm Oct 10, 2012 2:55pm
but If Unemployment Rate is bad and Employment Change is good-we go down..me thinks spike up and down
Quoting bguguen
however i think different... i will see... if data is bad and we get a spike up to 1.0250 or 1.03 im shorting....
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #53,508
  • Oct 10, 2012 2:57pm Oct 10, 2012 2:57pm
Quoting eqshack
but If Unemployment Rate is bad and Employment Change is good-we go down..me thinks spike up and down
Its not always as easy as you think..... you really better wait for the data to come out befor eyou do anything.... you cannot expect the market to go down because of expectation when the ACTUAL figure could come out to haunt you...
BETTER wait until actual figures come out.
but yes my bias is bearish, but im hoping i get chances to load more long
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,509
  • Oct 10, 2012 3:55pm Oct 10, 2012 3:55pm
price action not cooperating with my 'aud up' idea last 24 hrs.
  • #53,510
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:19pm Oct 10, 2012 4:19pm
Quoting macroman
price action not cooperating with my 'aud up' idea last 24 hrs.
We still have employment data to contend with comin up soon
  • #53,511
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:37pm Oct 10, 2012 4:37pm
Quoting domino
Im not a top or bottom picker I don't focus on it. I focus on the climate and trade management.
Always do
actually they are set around the time the inflation rate differential stops widening months before the rates stop widening due to the fact inflation rate differential is the effect of the currency price vrs all other currency prices and the ability to conduct business at those prices.
unfortunately that will not happen soon because of debt ratio divergences if you track back the rates of the USD you'll notice the downward oscillation from...
I would rather enjoy a nice short squeeze that will force RBA to carry out an intervention... the longer it stays at these rates the harder I see it falling..Food and commodity inflation should put pressure on the commodity country. Interest rates will drop commensurate to the drop in the Chinese economy.

If you believe in a hard landing then you should believe AUD is overpriced... however if you are buying the chinese dip long term, then AUD will remain a buy if it holds.
  • #53,512
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:40pm Oct 10, 2012 4:40pm
hmmm is it just me or does it feel we like we would be visiting 1.0150 again??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,513
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:47pm Oct 10, 2012 4:47pm
Quoting bguguen
hmmm is it just me or does it feel we like we would be visiting 1.0150 again??


lil lower... pending data...
  • #53,514
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:51pm Oct 10, 2012 4:51pm
Quoting Wulfgar


lil lower... pending data...
i know theres a pending data but my god.... technicals are suggesting its gona drive to 1.0200 before data release....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,515
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:52pm Oct 10, 2012 4:52pm
Quoting sidhujag
I would rather enjoy a nice short squeeze that will force RBA to carry out an intervention... the longer it stays at these rates the harder I see it falling..Food and commodity inflation should put pressure on the commodity country. Interest rates will drop commensurate to the drop in the Chinese economy.

If you believe in a hard landing then you should believe AUD is overpriced... however if you are buying the chinese dip long term, then AUD will remain a buy if it holds.
Look at GBP, EUR, NZD, CAD, Oil, Gold, Dow, S&P, they are all heading down. Typical "Risk Off" mode.

Why would AUD be any different? Some are moving down faster than others but it looks to me (Daily Chart) that we have more room to go. Much more room...

What do you mean by hold? Where is the "support" you are referring to?
  • #53,516
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:55pm Oct 10, 2012 4:55pm
Quoting 100PipsADay
Look at GBP, EUR, NZD, CAD, Oil, Gold, Dow, S&P, they are all heading down. Typical "Risk Off" mode.

Why would AUD be any different? Some are moving down faster than others but it looks to me (Daily Chart) that we have more room to go. Much more room...

What do you mean by hold? Where is the "support" you are referring to?
sidu's analysis is flawed in away.... all he needs to do is LOOK at weekly and realize where the recent high is and that the fact it is a Lower High suggests theres a down trend on this baby...

The low is around 0.98 on weekly but that is too soon to say, i would like to see a close below 1.02 this week though.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,517
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:56pm Oct 10, 2012 4:56pm
in agreement with new lows... we are still heading to the 1.0099/1.0125 for at least a little break in the action

http://clip2net.com/s/2nSBf
  • #53,518
  • Oct 10, 2012 4:59pm Oct 10, 2012 4:59pm
Quoting bguguen
sidu's analysis is flawed in away.... all he needs to do is LOOK at weekly and realize where the recent high is and that the fact it is a Lower High suggests theres a down trend on this baby...

The low is around 0.98 on weekly but that is too soon to say, i would like to see a close below 1.02 this week though.
I completely agree, when looking at Weekly we have been in a down trend since it peaked July 24th 2011.
  • #53,519
  • Oct 10, 2012 5:00pm Oct 10, 2012 5:00pm
AUD pairs has different mode of move,thats why its good to follow the Trend .
forexpillariscipline & patience Trader
  • #53,520
  • Oct 10, 2012 5:07pm Oct 10, 2012 5:07pm
Quoting Wulfgar
in agreement with new lows... we are still heading to the 1.0099/1.0125 for at least a little break in the action

http://clip2net.com/s/2nSBf
expert to expert opinion, do you thing AUDUSD would close below 1.0200 this week?? if data releases are bad im intrigued to say we will....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
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