AUD/USD | Page 2656 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

AUD/USD

Similar Threads

EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, CAD, NZD, JPY, and more... 15 replies

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and CAD/USD ready to move up 2 replies

Anyone here trading AUD/USD or USD/AUD tonight regarding AUS Home Loan Report? 1 reply

The AUD/USD 1.00 EUR/AUD 1.60 GBP/AUD 2.00 Thread! 0 replies

AUD Trade Balance and AUD Retail sales 6 replies

Attachments: AUD/USD
Exit Attachments

AUD/USD

  • #53,101
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:16pm Oct 3, 2012 9:16pm
I saw that and even quoted it here a few pages back. Ppl ask him what is the reason and he refers you to some Mountain map or a bull/bear (whatever that is) He is still saying that the bull wont die easily.. I dont know what he needs to see to realize that the growth stage and World GDP from last years high to now is a reason to be long China/Aud/Emerging

80% contraction on World economies THIS YEAR. he will cite 1.10 even at parity. But the great thing is he will never be wrong because he puts that IMOP at the end.

I try not to focus on him anymore because I know that he is A. not trading his ideas or B. he will not say ever that he is wrong or mistaken in his analysis because its 'only my opinion'
  • #53,102
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:21pm Oct 3, 2012 9:21pm
Quoting bguguen
my god... have you been reading the proclaimed "Genius" DaddyBear Posting in his thread?
theres a chart saying shit like AUDUSD is aiming for 1.10 and im like that aint gona happen....
1.10?

I wonder what that person is smoking...?
  • #53,103
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:30pm Oct 3, 2012 9:30pm
Not trying to bash DB anymore as you cant argue or even have a constructive debate with him because you will A. Get banned or B. be shown a pic and than your left to interpret. He is good people though

1.10 assumes Iron ore/Coal at pre Feb levels and that projects are still not being put off. The treasury even said the massive trade advancement was a one off and that THIS IS NOT GOING TO BE THE NORM. All I need to look at when I feel blue about myself is this. Now this is a pic/cartoon I can understand.



Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx terms of trade(4).xlsx   27 KB | 297 downloads


We are not in the same environment as last year expectations are still to high and will be reassessed lower not higher

We have have issuance and negative yields
China has not participated in this rally with the ES/Dow
All the central banks are in the game now so not upside surprise anymore unless they keep announcing more (it wont be from the fed because we are already open ended now)
  • #53,104
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:31pm Oct 3, 2012 9:31pm
Quoting HelloOz
Hi Guys,
I am new here,
Great posts, love it..

massive stimulus such as the govt handed out $900 to each tax payers.. LOL !

1.10 could happen if the rest of the countries are much worse than Oz,
I hope it reach 1.20 so i can travel to US of A..

Cheers guys,

Keep posting..
Just because you hope for it doesnt mean the market will do what you ask dude... 1.10 is WAY WAY improbable right now... until we see what reaciton we have at parity, i cannot even dare to say we will revisit 1.05 anytime soon!
One thing you got to realize is that the market can continue going down down down and oversold oversold oversold before you see a sign of reversal....

Please id rather you not creating an account just so you can post useless stuff like the one you just did, please support your theory why 1.10 could happen BEFORE parity....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #53,105
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:44pm Oct 3, 2012 9:44pm
Quoting HelloOz
Hi Guys,
I am new here,
Great posts, love it..

massive stimulus such as the govt handed out $900 to each tax payers.. LOL !

1.10 could happen if the rest of the countries are much worse than Oz,
I hope it reach 1.20 so i can travel to US of A..

Cheers guys,

Keep posting..
Welcome
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #53,106
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:58pm Oct 3, 2012 9:58pm
I will say besides some other traders here who posted great charts this week there was one chart I liked especially from Doblece
who put this up on OCT 1 http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1349131714

Aesthetically that would indeed be a logical continuation.

However, thanks to your chart I could spot another point of view in the form of a descending channel, which also has already 4 points ...



Vs the master himself (db) on this post same day and even said that the above is not likely


(it has since been redrawn)







http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1349066892





Great trade if he took it and the latter well he is not wrong in his eyes
  • #53,107
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:33pm Oct 3, 2012 10:33pm
I took the AU long at daily support + quasi bullish news at 1.0187

not expect a TON from this... maybe the 2nd hump before the break of the 1.0155/1.0188 zone...

watching, in order 212/231/248 to TP and look for a reversal back to as posted before

beyond that is a new channel and new numbers


trade safe guys

Wulf
  • #53,108
  • Edited 11:29pm Oct 3, 2012 10:40pm | Edited 11:29pm
I have an Idea. Lets make a market with in AUD/USD ( im bored what do you expect lol)

The market is where do you think the market is going to close on Friday???? in AUD/USD
Here are the rules:
1. who ever is closest to the closing price wins and gets a max $50 amazon book ect sent to them. If you win than you will have a book or whatever tickles your fancy sent to your doorstep from amazon. (by who???)

2. The person who is furthest from the closing price is the individual who is the (Who pays for it) person. They have to get the winners home address or address given by the winner and find out what he/she wants not exceeding $50 and send it.

3. Now in the event that the losing party does not honor the agreement and reneges I the market maker/specialist will honor the obligation to the winner. But know that the next time we do this the losing party can not participate. We are honorable traders (i hope) and expect to honor our losses and wins.

THIS WILL BE FUN and we can blow off some steam when the markets are dead like this. Everyone claims to be great and there are many great traders here who post lets see who is better than most. If anyone wants to participate (i need a second party to make a market at the least ) Than post your Friday close price and I will keep track of who has what level for the close.


EDIT: if your uncomfortable giving your address we can do some kindle or apple store type deal where the address is not needed...Pair just told me about Dropbox another great concept



EDIT TO THE 1ST edit lol I think i found the perfect soulution with no personal info needed like address

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B004KNWWO0/gcrnsts

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B004LLIKVU/gcrnsts

e gift card from amazon..



....I think there is a way to email the gift card to other recipients



The market closes for guesstamation at NY OPEN THURSDAY so get your price up and lets make a market!!!!!
  • #53,109
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:47pm Oct 3, 2012 10:47pm
Lol, JP, you must be bored Fridays too far away for me. I'm still short from the rate announcement (stop at 1.0240). Good luck though.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #53,110
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:48pm Oct 3, 2012 10:48pm
PS, you might end up with a few pretend (demo) books.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #53,111
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:50pm Oct 3, 2012 10:50pm
haah that is ok I don't mind if traders here are in demo at least they are wanting to learn i tip my hat too that.

all I want is their idea for where we could close. They dont have to reveal trade secrets or a TA Fundi explanation
  • #53,112
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:51pm Oct 3, 2012 10:51pm
Quoting jplazard
I have an Idea. Lets make a market with in AUD/USD ( im bored what do you expect lol)

The market is where do you think the market is going to close on Friday???? in AUD/USD
Here are the rules:
1. who ever is closest to the closing price wins and gets a max $50 amazon book ect sent to them. If you win than you will have a book or whatever tickles your fancy sent to your doorstep from amazon. (by who???)

2. The person who is furthest from the closing price is the individual who is the (Who pays for it) person. They have to get the...
1.0365

First!
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #53,113
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:02pm Oct 3, 2012 11:02pm
Alright we have a market!! I am doing some plotting here and will post a level soon
  • #53,114
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:02pm Oct 3, 2012 11:02pm
Quoting jplazard
haah that is ok I don't mind if traders here are in demo at least they are wanting to learn i tip my hat too that.

all I want is their idea for where we could close. They dont have to reveal trade secrets or a TA Fundi explanation
True, I used to get up in the night to adjust my stops even if it was a demo. Nothing wrong with demos.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #53,115
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:04pm Oct 3, 2012 11:04pm
Haha I used to stay up 17hrs on a demo because I wanted the real experience and needed the fastest learning curve that is funny you did that
  • #53,116
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:08pm Oct 3, 2012 11:08pm
Quoting jplazard
haah that is ok I don't mind if traders here are in demo at least they are wanting to learn i tip my hat too that.

all I want is their idea for where we could close. They dont have to reveal trade secrets or a TA Fundi explanation
Ah ah ah ! I'm awaiting that the testo exhibitor take the bet and awaiting for a good bcz it's a bit risky than the usual "I told you so...ish"
I'll play next times, when the testo exhibitor will be out again.
GL.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #53,117
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:11pm Oct 3, 2012 11:11pm
that is true the market needs to have integrity first so if this goes smooth I await your entry next time
  • #53,118
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:14pm Oct 3, 2012 11:14pm
Quoting jplazard
that is true the market needs to have integrity first so if this goes smooth I await your entry next time
Sure, I'll play and lose of course! But the essentiel is in playing with good mates
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #53,119
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:15pm Oct 3, 2012 11:15pm
I 100% agree that it is fun with ppl you talk to on the daily.
  • #53,120
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:24pm Oct 3, 2012 11:24pm
JP.. put me in for 1.0138
20 traders viewing now