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  • #10,421
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:54am Oct 3, 2012 9:54am
Its a BIG BEAR
Attached Image
  • #10,422
  • Oct 3, 2012 9:58am Oct 3, 2012 9:58am
When all those large specs who are long to their ears all start stampeding to get out of the door at the same time - all hell breaks loose. This is gonna be fun to watch !!!
  • #10,423
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:17am Oct 3, 2012 10:17am
Now if we can sneak in a little rally here possibly up to the H1 50MA (turquoise line), it might be a good area to short yet again. Right now the 21MAC is keeping it contained.
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  • #10,424
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:25am Oct 3, 2012 10:25am
Its strangely silent in here today. Is everybody still a bull ? I'm excited about this. Where are my bull friends now ? Where are the bears too ? Hmmmm, am I the only bear ???
  • #10,425
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:29am Oct 3, 2012 10:29am
Closed long around 19 pips avg'd. I would like some retracement also to reenter short.
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"My 2 cents"
  • #10,426
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:34am Oct 3, 2012 10:34am
Quoting chiknthief
Its strangely silent in here today. Is everybody still a bull ? I'm excited about this. Where are my bull friends now ? Where are the bears too ? Hmmmm, am I the only bear ???
they are just buying goodies from the money thats been made from the rba rate cut....

1.0166 left before up swing again.
or all the way to .98xx
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #10,427
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:35am Oct 3, 2012 10:35am
Quoting Stimulus
Closed long around 19 pips avg'd. I would like some retracement also to reenter short.

I agree. The short term TF's are quite oversold. Some relief (retracement) would be healthy. The 21 MAC is being stubborn right now.
  • #10,428
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:37am Oct 3, 2012 10:37am
Quoting gnomoneey
they are just buying goodies from the money thats been made from the rba rate cut....

1.0166 left before up swing again.
or all the way to .98xx
Yep, the bulls are feeling the pressure.
  • #10,429
  • Edited 10:41am Oct 3, 2012 10:40am | Edited 10:41am
ChiK, What part do you read to determine warnings on aussie selloff?
http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm
"My 2 cents"
  • #10,430
  • Oct 3, 2012 10:50am Oct 3, 2012 10:50am
Quoting Stimulus
ChiK, What part do you read to determine warnings on aussie selloff?
http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm

I posted a COT chart back one page from here. I look for a BIG wide open alligator mouth on the COT line charts (commercials at extreme longs or extreme shorts combined with large specs at extremes opposite of the commercials) Whenever you see BIG wide open alligator mouths, you know that mouth will start closing in on the large specs shortly. At that point you use your own favorite timing indicators to enter the market. The COT is not a timing indicator. It just shows where the commercials are positioned in the mkt. They are always right.
  • #10,431
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:02am Oct 3, 2012 11:02am
Quoting Stimulus
ChiK, What part do you read to determine warnings on aussie selloff?
http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm

I prefer COT line charts because they give you a historical view. Its makes it easier to spot extremes in the market that bring the major turning points. Just the data without a visual, confuses me.
  • #10,432
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:10am Oct 3, 2012 11:10am
This was my recent post from AUD/USD thread (since someone was asking where everyone went):

I would wait for it to break below parity before shorting. Right now there's really not much reason to trade this pair in either direction. That's just my opinion.
  • #10,433
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:18am Oct 3, 2012 11:18am
Quoting Stimulus
Gmorning Luis, If wave IV makes it past 1.0250 I will be happy and take most of the table and go to break even on the rest since im against momentum.

Is that a primary count?
I think if we dont break 1.0234 would be hard to see 1.0250
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #10,434
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:22am Oct 3, 2012 11:22am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
This was my recent post from AUD/USD thread (since someone was asking where everyone went):

I would wait for it to break below parity before shorting. Right now there's really not much reason to trade this pair in either direction. That's just my opinion.

Thanx 2+2, for your contribution !!! We are now BELOW both the weekly and daily ichimoku cloud. Just another sign.
  • #10,435
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:25am Oct 3, 2012 11:25am
Weekly ichimoku cloud currently : 10232

Daily ichimoku cloud currently : 10290
  • #10,436
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:32am Oct 3, 2012 11:32am
One of my short term systems is flashing a buy signal on the H1 chart. Looking for more confirmation. A retracement may be in the works.
  • #10,437
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:41am Oct 3, 2012 11:41am
Quoting chiknthief
One of my short term systems is flashing a buy signal on the H1 chart. Looking for more confirmation. A retracement may be in the works.
Watch out for those flashes!!

http://www.flatlandradio.com/sitebui...es/flasher.gif
  • #10,438
  • Oct 3, 2012 11:44am Oct 3, 2012 11:44am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Watch out for those flashes!!

http://www.flatlandradio.com/sitebui...es/flasher.gif

You betcha !!!
  • #10,439
  • Edited 1:50pm Oct 3, 2012 12:29pm | Edited 1:50pm
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Watch out for those flashes!!

http://www.flatlandradio.com/sitebui...es/flasher.gif
2+2=4ex, are you a woman or a Mama?
daddybearforex. com
  • #10,440
  • Oct 3, 2012 1:46pm Oct 3, 2012 1:46pm
Gidday Traders

Man hedged last night
thinking it would retrace
10220 long
10205 short

Thinking long would hit 10270,this did not happen

expecting a retrace sooner or later
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