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AUD/USD

  • #52,701
  • Sep 26, 2012 5:51am Sep 26, 2012 5:51am
Quoting stulic
Here's a nice make or break. Might start to short heavily if TL rejection is confirmed till the end of the week.
Spain trouble + October rates on hold could accelerate the move down.
Let's hope the direction is clear and lasting. Would like to see a clear break of 1.24 for more and bigger shorts on pullbacks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Don't get mad, get even!
  • #52,702
  • Sep 26, 2012 6:05am Sep 26, 2012 6:05am
http://i.imgur.com/SfyQ3.png
  • #52,703
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:22am Sep 26, 2012 7:22am
Quoting stulic
I think AUDJPY will break 90 next year and possibly even 100 before August 2013.
Stulic or Maximus, do you all see a retrace occurring in the aud/jpy pair soon? A few times already I thought a retrace was occurring and two or three bullish candles would appear but then the bears would take over like currently. From my experience this pair (aud/jpy) is way oversold and should be expecting a decent retracement sometime soon....what do you both think?
  • #52,704
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:24am Sep 26, 2012 7:24am
I have joined the 'party' minutes ago. 30 pips SL. Possible TP1 for today is 1,0307. Then the 1,0240. Let's go south.
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Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #52,705
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:43am Sep 26, 2012 7:43am
Quoting Mr.C
I have joined the 'party' minutes ago. 30 pips SL. Possible TP1 for today is 1,0307. Then the 1,0240. Let's go south.
Welcome Mr.C and enjoy the party. There are some pretty good and real party animals here !
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #52,706
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:48am Sep 26, 2012 7:48am
Don't forget today is Wednesday with triple swap. Some people will close their shorts before NY session end, so that the better idea to have fresh short after NY end - better price and no negative swap
  • #52,707
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:55am Sep 26, 2012 7:55am
With the Greek people literally throwing rocks and Spain and Italy playing chicken... hmmmm.... What will happen. I still think that with major holiday spending just around the corner.. it should get interesting.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,708
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:56am Sep 26, 2012 7:56am
Quoting 4rextrader
Stulic or Maximus, do you all see a retrace occurring in the aud/jpy pair soon? A few times already I thought a retrace was occurring and two or three bullish candles would appear but then the bears would take over like currently. From my experience this pair (aud/jpy) is way oversold and should be expecting a decent retracement sometime soon....what do you both think?
Hi 4rextrader,
I'm not well versed and am not able in projecting price action in the long term. I do only swing trade when I'm confident in my LT analyse (read weekly maxi). And when it comes to yen cross pairs especially nowadays, I'm very cautious. So shortly, if you want to take LT postition, take a small pos (all is in MM), if not only ID trade for me, morever you'll have to review your analys at the begining of each session (Asia, Eur, Ny).
Hope it helps,
GL.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #52,709
  • Sep 26, 2012 8:56am Sep 26, 2012 8:56am
Quoting maximinus
Welcome Mr.C and enjoy the party. There are some pretty good and real party animals here !
Nice to hear that. Will visit you more often. Party animals is what I like!
Twitter: MrC_Forex ; Facebook: /pages/MrC-Forex/197693770247397
  • #52,710
  • Sep 26, 2012 9:18am Sep 26, 2012 9:18am
Quoting maximinus
Hi 4rextrader,
I'm not well versed and am not able in projecting price action in the long term. I do only swing trade when I'm confident in my LT analyse (read weekly maxi). And when it comes to yen cross pairs especially nowadays, I'm very cautious. So shortly, if you want to take LT postition, take a small pos (all is in MM), if not only ID trade for me, morever you'll have to review your analys at the begining of each session (Asia, Eur, Ny).
Hope it helps,
GL.
Thanks Maximus, will do!
  • #52,711
  • Sep 26, 2012 3:07pm Sep 26, 2012 3:07pm
Long AU @ 1.0360
  • #52,712
  • Sep 26, 2012 6:50pm Sep 26, 2012 6:50pm
Looks like a rounding bottom on the 15 minute chart coming off the 61% of the last move up.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #52,713
  • Sep 26, 2012 9:21pm Sep 26, 2012 9:21pm
Price has broken up,long. Short e/a too
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FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #52,714
  • Sep 26, 2012 10:33pm Sep 26, 2012 10:33pm
Not certain if a position player wants to be heavily short or long at this range ahead of RBA. 1.0430-25 will be my range to sell again. Most likely I will close most of shorts before the Minutes as this is a very uncertain decision
  • #52,715
  • Sep 26, 2012 10:40pm Sep 26, 2012 10:40pm
Dollar Index on Daily is still strong closing above 9/13's Open(79.86) and settled at 79.895. I suspect with Spanish 10yr's forcing the Sgovernments hand on a bailout dollar will continue higher. As for overnight I would expect a retrace back to upward support near 79.55

Aud/usd overnight until NY could still benefit a bit more
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  • #52,716
  • Edited 11:17pm Sep 26, 2012 11:15pm | Edited 11:17pm
It is just minutes past 12 pm in the afternoon here in the Asian session for my time zone. Lots of upward action. Look at the previous daily candle... Which is a hammer. If it follows through on the PA of that hammer. That hammer could take it back up to 1.05 Again the key word being [if].

if=conditional.

Time will tell all. :nerd:
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,717
  • Sep 26, 2012 11:27pm Sep 26, 2012 11:27pm
End of Qtr re balancing, RSI oversold on many TF's could see AUD/USD higher but still alot f resistance in between various 61.8%-78.6% we break and close on Daily above 1.0435 than yes 1.05 would most likely be tested.

Still think though we wont see massive moves either way ahead of RBA .. we could end the week -0.10%/-0.48% down


The only big move i see pre RBA is Spain bailout, or increase tensions in C/J

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  • #52,718
  • Sep 26, 2012 11:51pm Sep 26, 2012 11:51pm
I think this could be what is moving the market for this asian session.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...ish-riots.html
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #52,719
  • Sep 27, 2012 12:25am Sep 27, 2012 12:25am
Quoting Pair-me-up
I think this could be what is moving the market for this asian session.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...ish-riots.html

Yes, the hopeium of more stimulus. Looking for a level to short back down to 1.0350
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent"
  • #52,720
  • Sep 27, 2012 12:26am Sep 27, 2012 12:26am
Some levels marked out as fresh S/D levels on the Aussie futures. See if they match up with yours! (Note: only the H-lines, not the TLs.)

1H /6A
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