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  • #10,061
  • Sep 25, 2012 9:57pm Sep 25, 2012 9:57pm
Quoting foxybunny
Doblece, seem did not hold, can have your chart updates on your pitchfork to see possible down target projections ?

1.0330
1.04
1.03
1.0211

let's see what happens
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #10,062
  • Sep 25, 2012 10:13pm Sep 25, 2012 10:13pm
weekly tf....

price below weekly n monthly pivot..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Aud1.png Size: 123 KB
Peace Yo!
  • #10,063
  • Sep 26, 2012 1:24am Sep 26, 2012 1:24am
Thread as calm as the market itself!
My Currency is Urgency
  • #10,064
  • Sep 26, 2012 2:59am Sep 26, 2012 2:59am
This market has been like watching paint dry....FUDGE
  • #10,065
  • Sep 26, 2012 3:04am Sep 26, 2012 3:04am
Quoting Daytrader74
This market has been like watching paint dry....FUDGE
Actually, I think paint doesn't take this long to dry.

Happy Trades,
fxstir
  • #10,066
  • Edited 3:44am Sep 26, 2012 3:11am | Edited 3:44am
Quoting foxybunny
Doblece, seem did not hold, can have your chart updates on your pitchfork to see possible down target projections ?
Sure, here it is, with a secondary pitchfork born to the first one.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pitchfork foxybunny.gif Size: 33 KB


Another view as to the projection of the H&S head, and maybe a bullish crab.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h&s projection and pattern.gif Size: 36 KB


Anyway and given the actual PA on H4 I would be expecting a retest of the break anywhere between 1.0385 and 1.0413 before a deeper plunge.
  • #10,067
  • Sep 26, 2012 3:40am Sep 26, 2012 3:40am
Quoting doblece
Sure, here it is, with a secondary pitchfork born to the first one.

Attachment

Thanks Doblece.

Now I have about 2 Demand Zones if price keep falling:
(1) 1.0300 - 1.0320
(2) 1.0190 - 1.0210


Price may also bounce on my old Fib 23.6% 1.0282.

Could not see your H&S, but I can see a possible Bullish Butterfly though.

Let's see what will give it support.
  • #10,068
  • Sep 26, 2012 4:22am Sep 26, 2012 4:22am
Quoting foxybunny
Thanks Doblece.

Now I have about 2 Demand Zones if price keep falling:
(1) 1.0300 - 1.0320
(2) 1.0190 - 1.0210


Price may also bounce on my old Fib 23.6% 1.0282.

Could not see your H&S, but I can see a possible Bullish Butterfly though.

Let's see what will give it support.
Indeed it could also be a butterfly, which would better coincide with your first demand zone.

Here's again the H&S
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: crabb.gif Size: 42 KB
  • #10,069
  • Sep 26, 2012 4:51am Sep 26, 2012 4:51am
Quoting doblece
Here's again the H&S
Thanks for the "heads up"
Reminds me Barbamama off the old french cartoon ... made me smile really
http://www.barbapapa.fr/
forget about tomorrow, just steal away into the night
  • #10,070
  • Sep 26, 2012 5:14am Sep 26, 2012 5:14am
Quoting spekitox
Thanks for the "heads up"
Reminds me Barbamama off the old french cartoon ... made me smile really
http://www.barbapapa.fr/
LOL thanks for the link, now I have a new entertainment site for my grand-daughter

Here's Barbamama birth and subsequent productive offspring ...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNlDJJoZSJI


Maybe she will dig learning french as well with all those videos hehe ...
  • #10,071
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:17am Sep 26, 2012 7:17am
Quoting gnomoneey
1.0330
1.04
1.03
1.0211

let's see what happens
1.033x hit and bounced to 1.0375...i think that's all it wont go to 1.04

xau/usd dropped $10 in 1hr 15min...waiting for 174x



thanks,

G
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #10,072
  • Sep 26, 2012 7:33am Sep 26, 2012 7:33am
FUDGE
  • #10,073
  • Sep 26, 2012 9:10am Sep 26, 2012 9:10am
The BIG picture : The AUD COT is still in a very bearish setup. So was the USD. The USD already tanked and the AUD hardly went anywhere. NOW, as of last weeks COT numbers the USD has changed from very bearish to its most BULLISH positioning in the last 12 months. Look out !!!

The forex skew has disappeared (where the USD falls faster than the AUD). I am now officially bearish the forex AUD/USD pair. When this market goes it just might just be the trade of the year. Get ready for the fun, folks !!!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD COT.png Size: 12 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: COT USD.png Size: 11 KB
  • #10,074
  • Sep 26, 2012 9:21am Sep 26, 2012 9:21am
Monthly PA still stuck in the 21 MAC. When it BUSTS out - its gonna be B-I-G !!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: monthly mac.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #10,075
  • Sep 26, 2012 9:47am Sep 26, 2012 9:47am
Here is a daily MAC chart with weekly MAC (dashed lines) and monthly MAC (solid lines) added to the chart for comparison purposes. You can see we're clearly at support right now. (daily red line/weekly green line at about the same price) 'IF' PA does not turn up right here and continues south, it could be the trigger for a huge bear move right now. If we get a rally right now at this level the bear will be delayed a little while longer but he'll be back. We're at the pivot point right now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: m-w-d macs.gif Size: 28 KB
  • #10,076
  • Sep 26, 2012 9:56am Sep 26, 2012 9:56am
Learn to love boring markets. They give you plenty of time to plot your strategy. Everybody knows boring markets turn into explosive markets.

Trading is 80% pure boredom, 10% anxiety, and 10% pure hell.
  • #10,077
  • Sep 26, 2012 10:07am Sep 26, 2012 10:07am
Weekly chart shows that the price is in a Range market and it's going to touch the upper resistance but the price is also in a triangle and inear the long-term bearish TL and it has made a double top on 1.062 resistance opening the bearish view..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AudusdB.png Size: 71 KB


Otherwise if the price will resume its uptrend it could reach the 1.618 of Fibonacci extension to the 1.078 resistance

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AudUsdA.png Size: 70 KB
  • #10,078
  • Sep 26, 2012 10:23am Sep 26, 2012 10:23am
The COT clearly presents a bearish picture longer term. A shorter term rebound seems reasonable. Lets see how things unfold.
  • #10,079
  • Sep 26, 2012 11:58am Sep 26, 2012 11:58am
Where is DB ? Did somebody piss him off ???
  • #10,080
  • Sep 26, 2012 1:35pm Sep 26, 2012 1:35pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: barbapapa.JPG Size: 117 KB


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2l95fuAVWs

(Noticed that there's Johnny Halliday among the audience - 0:17 O_O)
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