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  • #9,941
  • Sep 19, 2012 8:09pm Sep 19, 2012 8:09pm
Any expectations for HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI?
  • #9,942
  • Sep 19, 2012 10:35pm Sep 19, 2012 10:35pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Yes, the bull movement has not reached the utl yet. But, when the Bears come out to slaughter the Bulls, I'd do something differently.
DB, truth time... I don't know what got into me, but after our conversation, I decided to take your advice, and closed out with a few pips. I'm still not sure why... But at this point it looks like a good idea, as it appears the downfall is continuing. The win is pretty much insignificant, but better than a loss I guess.
  • #9,943
  • Sep 19, 2012 11:08pm Sep 19, 2012 11:08pm
Quoting foxybunny
The first move this week was only the Short from 1.0556 from Mon 17-Sep, this was shown last Fri 14-Sep with the blue horizontal line.

Expected the Demand Zone to be 1.0440-1.0460, but price actually went further down to 1.0409, and there was no real bounce there, perhaps Demand was not strong there.
That means quiet during Mon, Tue, and Wed.

Now Wed 19-Sep price going within and above my initial Demand Zone of 1.0440-1.0460 after testing bottom 3-times, this could be the Up Move for the pilot.
There is more volume here with the up arrow,...

Pilot did not do much yesterday.

Now A/U is within/below Demand Zone as price is around 1.0409, back to yesterday's low.
Above post show volume not enough juice yesterday to push it up yet.

Wait for today's London/US session for clearer signal to see whether pilot is of plane or submarine, and whether pilot will take off today.
  • #9,944
  • Sep 20, 2012 12:05am Sep 20, 2012 12:05am
Low volume. It will be interesting to see if 1.04 holds.

Happy Trades,
fxstir
  • #9,945
  • Sep 20, 2012 2:43am Sep 20, 2012 2:43am
Quoting Freshpips
Long @ 1.0470
sl 1.0454
tp manual but aiming for 1.0500


Woke up to see TP was hit last night @ 1.0495
+25 pips
Then what the hell happened while I was asleep??? Damnnnnnnnnn! Missed the lot
  • #9,946
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:10am Sep 20, 2012 3:10am
The angel just came to kiss the Bull .........

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1344885975
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,947
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:13am Sep 20, 2012 3:13am
Like to see PA come down to 1.028 before considering a long
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #9,948
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:24am Sep 20, 2012 3:24am
Quoting Robot Trader
Like to see PA come down to 1.028 before considering a long
Why 1.028? GnarlyPips had the answer for you two days ago.

Quoting GnarlyPips
1H AudUsd

Bounced just a few pips away from 1.04. Supply/support now being tested after price bounced from the DTL.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1347985548
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,949
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:24am Sep 20, 2012 3:24am
Quoting DaddyBear
The angel just came to kiss the Bull .........

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1344885975
I made a mistake while being impatient last night. Otherwise I would have been happily waiting to take my profits from here until... we hit the skies.
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #9,950
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:29am Sep 20, 2012 3:29am
Quoting aeternum
I made a mistake while being impatient last night. Otherwise I would have been happily waiting to take my profits from here until... we hit the skies.
We all made mistakes all the time. Don't blame yourself. As long as you learned from your mistakes, you will be O. K. -DB-
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,951
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:31am Sep 20, 2012 3:31am
Quoting DaddyBear
The angel just came to kiss the Bull .........

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1344885975
can i get some love too? where do you think we are going papa
  • #9,952
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:34am Sep 20, 2012 3:34am
Quoting DaddyBear
We all made mistakes all the time. Don't blame yourself. As long as you learned from your mistakes, you will be O. K. -DB-
Yes I keep telling myself that. I should have been more patient. Liking your predictions so far
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #9,953
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:35am Sep 20, 2012 3:35am
Quoting vanienin
can i get some love too? where do you think we are going papa
After waking up by the angel, the Bull is trying to ..........

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1347807758
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,954
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:39am Sep 20, 2012 3:39am
Quoting aeternum
Yes I keep telling myself that. I should have been more patient. Liking your predictions so far
Nobody is perfect. This is particularly true in the Forex market.
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,955
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:49am Sep 20, 2012 3:49am
Quoting Robot Trader
Well it now looks like we are moving higher, so ideally I would like to see a duplication of the first leg up, to around 1.0565/1.06150, before starting my short attack.

We already have divergence building of the 4H, so if PA cannot push up to this level, I will look for other Bearish conformations.

The higher PA can push the better, I now expect price to at least test 1.04 again.
DB In answer to your question, I posted this chart a while back showing that I expected the 4H divergence to bring PA back down to the 1.04 level. It has now done its job and we are starting to get Bullish divergence forming on the 4H, but it needs to move down lower before it makes a worthwhile trade and I see 1.028 first level of attack followed by 1.0173 and then 1.0065.
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #9,956
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:56am Sep 20, 2012 3:56am
In my opinion we have a Head and Shoulder Pattern. The shoulder was formed on September 12 @ 1.0498. Head @ 1.0597. Regarding the neck line I'm still uncertain 1.0410? 1.0429. One thing is the price has hit hard at the shoulder line which validates the figure.For now there is a pullback towards 1.0409 or 1.0398 @ depending on the neck line.

So if the price bounces on a pullback @ @ 1.0232 TP 1.0409 then
  • #9,957
  • Sep 20, 2012 3:58am Sep 20, 2012 3:58am
Quoting GnarlyPips
1H AudUsd

Bounced just a few pips away from 1.04. Supply/support now being tested after price bounced from the DTL.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1347985548
Although I saw this TL and S/R as well but you were the one who posted it in our forum. Due to your contribution to our forum and your vision of seeing this invisible and yet very important element in the charts, I'd vouch you and give credit to you for your "discovery". -DB-
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,958
  • Sep 20, 2012 4:06am Sep 20, 2012 4:06am
Quoting DaddyBear
Nobody is perfect. This is particularly true in the Forex market.
Yes I agree. Lessons need to be learned. I am still new. There are years of experience for me to gain.
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #9,959
  • Sep 20, 2012 4:11am Sep 20, 2012 4:11am
If it doesn't bounce upwards now, it may consolidate 1.03 - 1.04/ low 1.05. I expect it to bounce against the rising trend line though.

After which we will continue the up move to 78.6 at 1.07132.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD 20 September 2012 PM.png Size: 72 KB
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #9,960
  • Sep 20, 2012 4:17am Sep 20, 2012 4:17am
It seems to me, HS in H4.
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