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Silent Service Method

  • #14,641
  • Sep 16, 2012 7:27am Sep 16, 2012 7:27am
Quoting Naked Trader
Nice touch trade from the inter-day session.
Nice trade. If the recent low holds there is potential for a longer term buy here imho.
  • #14,642
  • Sep 16, 2012 8:27am Sep 16, 2012 8:27am
Quoting Naked Trader

I don't see why QE3 will assist while it had failed in the last two times.
The only people this helps are bankers. In fact, this has been a great theft from the people right out in the open.......just that the people have been mentally dulled enough now that they don't recognize it.
  • #14,643
  • Sep 16, 2012 8:28am Sep 16, 2012 8:28am
Quoting mypipbull
This one is tempting.....but gonna pass. Already short AUD/CHF.
I saw this one. To be honest, I think that we will break above that level sooner or later......far too much working against the USD at the moment.
  • #14,644
  • Sep 16, 2012 9:08am Sep 16, 2012 9:08am
If it wasn't for the weekend, it would have been nice trying to hold it.
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  • #14,645
  • Sep 17, 2012 12:05am Sep 17, 2012 12:05am
Quoting clockwork71
I saw this one. To be honest, I think that we will break above that level sooner or later......far too much working against the USD at the moment.
While I don't disagree (a failed pin would be a great signal) its the AUD 'in general' that had me interested.
On the AUD Futures chart 1.05 looks like the make or break level. Its bounce or breakout time. Either way there is a trade being offered here somewhere.
We can clearly see the higher lows on the weekly which could/would favour an upside breakout....as uncomfortable as I 'feel' about it...
Time will tell.....as usual....
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  • #14,646
  • Sep 17, 2012 7:34am Sep 17, 2012 7:34am
Quoting mypipbull
While I don't disagree (a failed pin would be a great signal) its the AUD 'in general' that had me interested.
On the AUD Futures chart 1.05 looks like the make or break level. Its bounce or breakout time. Either way there is a trade being offered here somewhere.
We can clearly see the higher lows on the weekly which could/would favour an upside breakout....as uncomfortable as I 'feel' about it...
Time will tell.....as usual....
Yep. You can't trade off of what should be anymore these days. It's why I don't do anything more than just following order flow. I made a shortie play on the Aussie last night to where we are for a small counter. Though I would be very surprised to see us drop below 0428 (H4) level. If that happens, then we can be looking at long term shorts again. Provided the H4 can drag the daily with it, of course...
  • #14,647
  • Sep 17, 2012 7:34am Sep 17, 2012 7:34am
Quoting mypipbull
While I don't disagree (a failed pin would be a great signal) its the AUD 'in general' that had me interested.
On the AUD Futures chart 1.05 looks like the make or break level. Its bounce or breakout time. Either way there is a trade being offered here somewhere.
We can clearly see the higher lows on the weekly which could/would favour an upside breakout....as uncomfortable as I 'feel' about it...
Time will tell.....as usual....
Yep.......

I don't "like" it either, but the market does whatever erratic thing it wants to.
  • #14,648
  • Sep 17, 2012 7:58pm Sep 17, 2012 7:58pm
Quoting Venice
Yep. You can't trade off of what should be anymore these days. It's why I don't do anything more than just following order flow.....
Agreed. Personally I do not like the AUD fundamentally at the moment. I re-entered short AUD/CHF at Bar6 (pin bar). Today closed below the recent swing low (depending on your feed). This looks pretty bearish. A solid close below 0.97 and we could see a deeper push to the downside. This pair has a ship load of room available to the downside.
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  • #14,649
  • Sep 17, 2012 8:41pm Sep 17, 2012 8:41pm
Cable Ascending Triangle, Monthly. Come back to this one in a few months?? lol.
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  • #14,650
  • Sep 18, 2012 6:38am Sep 18, 2012 6:38am
Aussie H&S, filled at the right shoulder, a little bit of slippage by about 10 pips or so. Am going to let this one go for a while... There is now a supply zone to protect the order... which means, order flow is down now. Because of QE though, will monitor for a shift in momentum. Could just end up being a turd.
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  • #14,651
  • Sep 18, 2012 1:21pm Sep 18, 2012 1:21pm
hi Chris
you dont know me but it does not metter just wanna say THANK YOU for all your help here on FF and james16group and on traderguy. hope your are doing great on market and in real life ! thank you, you are a great person!
  • #14,652
  • Sep 18, 2012 8:15pm Sep 18, 2012 8:15pm
Quoting tinkerbelle
hi Chris
you dont know me but it does not metter just wanna say THANK YOU for all your help here on FF and james16group and on traderguy. hope your are doing great on market and in real life ! thank you, you are a great person!
Thanks tinkerbelle. I am surprised that my stuff is still up at J16........lol
  • #14,653
  • Sep 19, 2012 3:37pm Sep 19, 2012 3:37pm
Amazing.........looks like we are trying to push higher now. Sooner or later, this overvalued Euro really starts to hurt the EU.
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  • #14,654
  • Sep 19, 2012 3:40pm Sep 19, 2012 3:40pm
Quoting clockwork71
Amazing.........looks like we are trying to push higher now. Sooner or later, this overvalued Euro really starts to hurt the EU.
Yeah, the jerks could at least give us a chance to buy in as well.
  • #14,655
  • Sep 19, 2012 3:46pm Sep 19, 2012 3:46pm
Quoting Venice
Yeah, the jerks could at least give us a chance to buy in as well.
Of Course... USD Weekly... Trend is up... Weekly, that is... We just now got back to weekly demand... usually this is a buy signal. (For US$). I don't have a futures account, sorry, can't show with pretty chart. However, this is good for at least a small bounce, and it is starting... HL so far... but it's only Wednesday.

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX&p=w1

Now the question, QE or not to affect prices? I have to buy when in demand, irrelevant of fundies (no point to a system if I let the nonsense affect it), so i'll be looking for shorts on the euro. Risk will take care of the rest. Now we just got to pay attention to momentum shift, or demand consumption.
  • #14,656
  • Sep 19, 2012 4:50pm Sep 19, 2012 4:50pm
Quoting Venice
Of Course... USD Weekly... Trend is up... Weekly, that is... We just now got back to weekly demand... usually this is a buy signal. (For US$). I don't have a futures account, sorry, can't show with pretty chart. However, this is good for at least a small bounce, and it is starting... HL so far... but it's only Wednesday.

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX&p=w1

Now the question, QE or not to affect prices? I have to buy when in demand, irrelevant of fundies (no point to a system if I let the nonsense affect it), so i'll...


there you go..pretty ..cant say..but agree ..at a DEMAND ZONE..


https://www.tradingview.com/x/fy3QWbLA/

baz
  • #14,657
  • Sep 19, 2012 4:56pm Sep 19, 2012 4:56pm
Quoting baz
there you go..pretty ..cant say..but agree ..at a DEMAND ZONE..


https://www.tradingview.com/x/fy3QWbLA/

baz
Hah, that looks like it could potentially be very head & shouldery.
  • #14,658
  • Sep 19, 2012 5:12pm Sep 19, 2012 5:12pm
Quoting Venice
Of Course... USD Weekly... Trend is up... Weekly, that is... We just now got back to weekly demand... usually this is a buy signal. (For US$). I don't have a futures account, sorry, can't show with pretty chart. However, this is good for at least a small bounce, and it is starting... HL so far... but it's only Wednesday.

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX&p=w1

Now the question, QE or not to affect prices? I have to buy when in demand, irrelevant of fundies (no point to a system if I let the nonsense affect it), so i'll be looking...
Also USDX in monthly demand. The only thing I don't like so much is it's 2nd time at the daily demand so can't rule out one more deeper dip back into it again.
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  • #14,659
  • Sep 19, 2012 7:04pm Sep 19, 2012 7:04pm
Quoting clockwork71
Amazing.........looks like we are trying to push higher now. Sooner or later, this overvalued Euro really starts to hurt the EU.
If we fail to make a higher high here I will be looking to sell. This recent High is also at the 38% fib if you buy into that business. Also lines up with a mid September 2011 support level (has been traded through since to be fair though).
So with the USD in an area to possibly bounce the EUR by rights should roll back over....in theory of course....
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  • #14,660
  • Sep 19, 2012 8:11pm Sep 19, 2012 8:11pm
Quoting mypipbull
If we fail to make a higher high here I will be looking to sell. This recent High is also at the 38% fib if you buy into that business. Also lines up with a mid September 2011 support level (has been traded through since to be fair though).
So with the USD in an area to possibly bounce the EUR by rights should roll back over....in theory of course....
We'll see. In the mean time, I am leaving the damn Euro alone.
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