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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

You talk the talk I walk the talk 8 replies

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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #32,881
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:46pm Sep 18, 2012 5:46pm
........Isn't that what we want? spensive oil?....I mean we own it so if it goes up is good for us too, so think about it, and jump around......they don't have the capability to atack Iran, what kind of clown is this? that is the same thing they say about Irak, Irak is a million mans military and this and that and the war lasted tree days, lol....this people are our enemy, the ignorants,........but my question remain the same, why Iran can't have a nuclear weapon, if india have it, north korea have it, packistan have it.......so why not them?

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they are prepairing this conflict with reverse sicology to make Iran fight.......
The Chonchy
  • #32,882
  • Edited 6:12pm Sep 18, 2012 6:00pm | Edited 6:12pm
.......And this guy raps it up.........is all you need to talk, guts.....or should I say balls...

I mean think about it, Iran is the perfect enemy, for the elite, they have friends and they can't intervine in a war against Israel but they need to do it smartly other wise no one will fight.......

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The Chonchy
  • #32,883
  • Sep 18, 2012 6:15pm Sep 18, 2012 6:15pm
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The Chonchy
  • #32,884
  • Sep 18, 2012 6:19pm Sep 18, 2012 6:19pm
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The Chonchy
  • #32,885
  • Sep 18, 2012 6:32pm Sep 18, 2012 6:32pm
.......Fuc%$ war man I love rihana.......

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The Chonchy
  • #32,886
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:29pm Sep 18, 2012 7:29pm
Many pairs are showing a potential for a risk favored bounce, especially EURUSD, after falling back to the major support at 1.3053. Equities indices look like they are ready for a push to the upside, and given the strong(R2=.87) correlation of S&P500 and EURUSD over the past month, I would be very cautious in trying to short EURUSD. I'm still waiting this pair out, however if we can get a meaningful move above 1.3053, I would consider longs with a target objective of the major trendline.
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  • #32,887
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:31pm Sep 18, 2012 7:31pm
Quoting mfoste1
Many pairs are showing a potential for a risk favored bounce, especially EURUSD, after falling back to the major support at 1.3053. Equities indices look like they are ready for a push to the upside, and given the strong(R2=.87) correlation of DJIA and EURUSD over the past month, I would be very cautious in trying to short EURUSD. I'm still waiting this pair out, however if we can get a meaningful move above 1.3053, I would consider longs with a target objective of the major trendline.
4hr momentum is down. daily made an evening star pattern. careful with longs.
  • #32,888
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:36pm Sep 18, 2012 7:36pm
And this pair keeps dropping like a hot potato.

Maintaining my long on D1 but we'll see how the rest of this week goes. It looks like the bears are being rejected on the weekly chart.

Ben Bernanke is pumping $40 Billion a month in the USD because it's worth less than whale's poop and now this? Jesus Tapdancing on a Cracker Christ!

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1277965314
Not all sins are created equal
  • #32,889
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:40pm Sep 18, 2012 7:40pm
Quoting pkimnyc
4hr momentum is down. daily made an evening star pattern. careful with longs.
Careful with anything right now. In fact, if you're not in a trade right now, stay out.

But mfoste1 is right. A meaningful move about 1.3053 would be good for the bulls.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #32,890
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:41pm Sep 18, 2012 7:41pm
Quoting pkimnyc
4hr momentum is down. daily made an evening star pattern. careful with longs.

Not long as of right now, however if EURUSD gets an 8h close above 1.3053, I would look for a shift in momentum to get long. S&P500 looks ready to push ahead again, aside from any very ugly drift lower. IMO, I believe S&P500 upside potential is 1494. I'm really stepping lightly here as the ice is getting thin.
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  • #32,891
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:42pm Sep 18, 2012 7:42pm
Quoting Jay Walker
Careful with anything right now. In fact, if you're not in a trade right now, stay out.

But mfoste1 is right. A meaningful move about 1.3053 would be good for the bulls.
let's see...

previous range bottom was about 3100(ish).

p.s. no worries. don't normally trade during asia.
  • #32,892
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:44pm Sep 18, 2012 7:44pm
Quoting mfoste1
Not long as of right now, however if EURUSD gets an 8h close above 1.3053, I would look for a shift in momentum to get long. S&P500 looks ready to push ahead again, aside from any very ugly drift lower. IMO, I believe S&P500 upside potential is 1494. I'm really stepping lightly here as the ice is getting thin.
i see what you are looking at. thanks.
  • #32,893
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:45pm Sep 18, 2012 7:45pm
Hey Foste, meaningful move above 3053 I get but just for fun, if you gambled life and limbs, where would you go long above it?
Not all sins are created equal
  • #32,894
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:59pm Sep 18, 2012 7:59pm
Quoting Jay Walker
Hey Foste, meaningful move above 3053 I get but just for fun, if you gambled life and limbs, where would you go long above it?
I would look to go long at the 1.31 figure, and I would be looking for a target somewhere near 1.3460(400dma). My logic in deriving this is such: If the pair finds bulls at 1.3053, they will certainly be looking to take out the major trendline(1.3225), assuming many bears are selling near there. Bulls are in clear control right now, trading above 100 and 200dma.
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  • #32,895
  • Sep 18, 2012 8:08pm Sep 18, 2012 8:08pm
Quoting mfoste1
I would look to go long at the 1.31 figure, and I would be looking for a target somewhere near 1.3460(400dma). My logic in deriving this is such: If the pair finds bulls at 1.3053, they will certainly be looking to take out the major trendline(1.3225), assuming many bears are selling near there. Bulls are in clear control right now, trading above 100 and 200dma.
nice posts as always mfoste indeed price is well above the 100 and 200 ema on daily
  • #32,896
  • Sep 18, 2012 8:23pm Sep 18, 2012 8:23pm
Quoting mfoste1
I would look to go long at the 1.31 figure, and I would be looking for a target somewhere near 1.3460(400dma). My logic in deriving this is such: If the pair finds bulls at 1.3053, they will certainly be looking to take out the major trendline(1.3225), assuming many bears are selling near there. Bulls are in clear control right now, trading above 100 and 200dma.
Pretty solid logic if you ask me.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #32,897
  • Sep 18, 2012 9:20pm Sep 18, 2012 9:20pm
Quoting mfoste1
Many pairs are showing a potential for a risk favored bounce, especially EURUSD, after falling back to the major support at 1.3053. Equities indices look like they are ready for a push to the upside, and given the strong(R2=.87) correlation of S&P500 and EURUSD over the past month, I would be very cautious in trying to short EURUSD. I'm still waiting this pair out, however if we can get a meaningful move above 1.3053, I would consider longs with a target objective of the major trendline.
........Good charts and posts mfoste1 as usual, thanks a lot, I'm planing to go short then my Usd/Chf as e/u is continuing north.......

.......Thanks again mfoste1 and company.......
The Chonchy
  • #32,898
  • Sep 18, 2012 9:25pm Sep 18, 2012 9:25pm
hi bud how you doing
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #32,899
  • Sep 18, 2012 9:32pm Sep 18, 2012 9:32pm
Quoting billytt
hi bud how you doing
.........Hanging in my shorts billytt but with all the analisis posted here i think I should get on with my hedge again........
The Chonchy
  • #32,900
  • Sep 18, 2012 9:37pm Sep 18, 2012 9:37pm
Quoting chonchy
.........Hanging in my shorts billytt but with all the analisis posted here i think I should get on with my hedge again........
thats the only trouble with analysis, a lot of people here have excellent skills regarding analysis but sometimes they conflict. i think thats why i do not normally follow analysis their is always a positive and negative to every thing that happens. These times though are different and i am sure you will get through it. take care
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
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