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AUD/USD

  • #52,521
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:06pm Sep 18, 2012 5:06pm
Next short opp where I will be waiting are 1.0425, 1.0470,1.0490
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-18-TOS_CHARTS.jpg Size: 147 KB
  • #52,522
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:09pm Sep 18, 2012 5:09pm
Hyperion

Nice post and great reasoning I am looking back to my old sheets on the positioning also.
  • #52,523
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:16pm Sep 18, 2012 5:16pm
Thank you JP. The danger in writing anything in a forum is we are always just "talking our book" however as always, if my post jogs or clicks something in someone that works then great because that is why I look around here... always looking for the reasoning of the other side of my views....
  • #52,524
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:19pm Sep 18, 2012 5:19pm
Same here buddy,

I go through so many charts and blogs news, ect and I forget a lot of the stuff I needed to look at that were important like COT or positioning. I agree its good coming here and seeing other views and they help remind you of tasks to do or homework.
  • #52,525
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:25pm Sep 18, 2012 5:25pm
One more thing... New Moon last Saturday. AUD topped Friday... Aussie Dollar HATES New Moons. Before you all roll yer eyes and conclude I've lost the plot I have analysed this phenomonon and I'm serious
  • #52,526
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:25pm Sep 18, 2012 5:25pm
im getting ready to see AUDUSD drop to 1.0350 soon.... Head & Shoulders Patter on H4
Daily is pointing all the way down to 1.0300 with Daily EMA 200 down there.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #52,527
  • Sep 18, 2012 5:39pm Sep 18, 2012 5:39pm
Looks like a bearish flag, to me. Will the supply/support be giving way soon?

1H AU

Edit: I keep seeing this half star pattern with my lines. What does this mean? How can I use this to my advantage?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1hflaussie.png Size: 30 KB
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #52,528
  • Sep 18, 2012 7:42pm Sep 18, 2012 7:42pm
Quoting GnarlyPips
Looks like a bearish flag, to me. Will the supply/support be giving way soon?

1H AU

Edit: I keep seeing this half star pattern with my lines. What does this mean? How can I use this to my advantage?
I see the bearish wedge too. I'm short.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #52,529
  • Edited 9:40pm Sep 18, 2012 7:50pm | Edited 9:40pm
short from 1.0545, I expect the downtrend to reach 1.0320

anyone here think AUD could swim into the abyss????
  • #52,530
  • Sep 18, 2012 8:18pm Sep 18, 2012 8:18pm
PSDP,

once interest rates come down than yes I could see a scenario where it comes down much more.
  • #52,531
  • Sep 18, 2012 9:44pm Sep 18, 2012 9:44pm
Quoting jplazard
PSDP,

once interest rates come down than yes I could see a scenario where it comes down much more.
so are there any possibilities next month for the interest rate to be cut? just curios as they rarely cut it
  • #52,532
  • Sep 18, 2012 10:06pm Sep 18, 2012 10:06pm
Quoting Psdp
so are there any possibilities next month for the interest rate to be cut? just curios as they rarely cut it
Hi Psdp, it is a possibility, suggest reading below links for further info, 1st is a post by jplazard with Westpac's view on next month's rates, 2nd is jplazard with extract from RBA minutes addressing interest rates & third is the full RBA minutes.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...25#post6023225
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...23#post6020023
http://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-polic.../04092012.html
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #52,533
  • Sep 18, 2012 10:45pm Sep 18, 2012 10:45pm
I dont expect much October but there is talk.. I would look further out till NOV/DEC as the first rate cut
  • #52,534
  • Sep 18, 2012 11:11pm Sep 18, 2012 11:11pm
We have found some support at the current 61.8%% it seems. Let see if London pushes on through ]
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-18-TOS_CHARTS.jpg Size: 115 KB
  • #52,535
  • Sep 18, 2012 11:20pm Sep 18, 2012 11:20pm
Looks like BOJ just shifted momentum for the London session approaching
  • #52,536
  • Sep 18, 2012 11:43pm Sep 18, 2012 11:43pm
Posted 22 hours ago this could be the upside scenario now playing out.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1347948492
  • #52,537
  • Sep 18, 2012 11:49pm Sep 18, 2012 11:49pm
Quoting jplazard
Posted 22 hours ago this could be the upside scenario now playing out.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...5&d=1347948492
Thanks buddy. BOJ QE is good for business
just speculating
  • #52,538
  • Sep 19, 2012 12:00am Sep 19, 2012 12:00am
They are not for me though lol had to hedge on dollars..Everyone is in the game now lets all party...

Last chart of the night before a snooze

H4 since the move up in Fed anticipation we have never closed below 61.8% just bounced below to find big support always closing above.
Fib Retrace is from the 1.1079 7.27.11 (hi) to the 0.93867 10/4/11 (low)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-18-TOS_CHARTS.jpg Size: 134 KB
  • #52,539
  • Sep 19, 2012 12:35am Sep 19, 2012 12:35am
Quoting jplazard
I dont expect much October but there is talk.. I would look further out till NOV/DEC as the first rate cut
It's much more than talk . It's weight of money .
ASX 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures swung heavily yesterday towards an October cut ;

http://www.asx.com.au/sfe/targetratetracker.htm
  • #52,540
  • Sep 19, 2012 12:58am Sep 19, 2012 12:58am
Switched to longs a couple of hours ago. Could still go down , but for now she's heading up. Lets see what London brings.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
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